TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12100262
Played Jun 26Finished
Martin Stefek
Home
1.80
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611711118911––
Milan Cetner
Away
1.91
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMartin Stefek above · Milan Cetner below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 74 set 4, 9-11
74 points played in total.
H2H Martin Stefek 32–36 Milan Cetner Martin Stefek has won 32 of their 68 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Stefek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cetner form (20%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStefek 1.80 / Cetner 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Stefek)+2.5pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12100262
Stefek1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 161 of 277
Up 2–0, closes it90% 86 of 96
Up 1–0, closes it73% 116 of 158
Cetner1.91
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 114 of 306
Down 0–1, comes back21% 38 of 178
Down 0–2, comes back9% 9 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStefek3wins
AwayCetner7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderCetner leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStefek75%3 of 4
AwayCetner100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stefek4Cetner6n = 10Cetner took 6 of 10
S2Stefek3Cetner7n = 10Cetner took 7 of 10
S3Stefek7Cetner3n = 10Stefek took 7 of 10
S4Stefek1Cetner6n = 7Cetner took 6 of 7
S5Stefek1Cetner2n = 3Cetner took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricStefekCetnerS − CBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.338.2−2.9per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStefekCetnerBasisWin rate · lifetime527 / 1110 vs 595 / 119247.5%49.9%527 / 1110 vs 595 / 1192Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StefekStefek 1.80/Cetner 1.91
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Stefek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Cetner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 23 · 22:30M. Stefek—1111113M. Cetner—5540
LJun 23 · 11:00M. Stefek—9811131M. Cetner—11114153
LJun 21 · 22:00M. Stefek—11411492M. Cetner—911911113
LJun 20 · 12:00M. Stefek—41111962M. Cetner—117611113
WJun 19 · 16:30M. Stefek—13911113M. Cetner—1111481
LJun 17 · 13:00M. Stefek—9121171M. Cetner—111013113
WJun 17 · 11:00M. Stefek—113116113M. Cetner—81171142
LJun 17 · 07:00M. Stefek—6760M. Cetner—1111113
LJun 14 · 01:00M. Stefek—7690M. Cetner—1111113
LJun 11 · 07:30M. Stefek—10101121M. Cetner—12129113
M. Stefek10
LSep 7 · 09:00K. Darin1.50111214113M. Stefek2.502101671LSep 7 · 08:00M. Stefek1.67141011472T. Andrle2.101212911113LSep 7 · 07:30J. Didi1.831111113M. Stefek1.834450WSep 7 · 06:00M. Stefek3.001181011113K. Darin1.3671112792LSep 6 · 17:00A. Svoboda1.611111123M. Stefek2.2059100LSep 6 · 16:30J. Novotny1.5091111113M. Stefek2.50118721LSep 6 · 15:30M. Stefek1.83119771A. Svoboda1.8341111113LSep 6 · 14:30F. Briza1.33111411113M. Stefek3.25216781LSep 6 · 13:00J. Briska2.2031111113M. Stefek1.61119951LSep 6 · 12:00M. Stefek2.258670J. Briska1.571111113
M. Cetner10
LJun 29 · 12:58M. Cetner2.002111181J. Strnad1.7311138113LJun 29 · 12:30J. Strnad1.501111133M. Cetner2.5086110LJun 29 · 11:30M. Cetner1.83114891M. Stefek1.8351111113WJun 29 · 10:30P. Stuchlik3.2561080M. Cetner1.331112113WJun 26 · 13:30M. Stefek1.67511271M. Cetner2.1011911113WJun 26 · 12:30M. Cetner1.73951111113V. Sr2.0011117592LJun 26 · 11:00M. Cetner2.00671191M. Stefek1.7311116113WJun 26 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek1.91125991M. Cetner1.80101111113LJun 26 · 09:00M. Stefek2.101811123M. Cetner1.67169100LJun 26 · 07:00J. Strnad1.571611113M. Cetner2.2514390
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