TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #12100360
Played Jun 26Finished
Milan Cetner
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911511117115119
Vaclav Hruska Sr
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingMilan Cetner above · Vaclav Hruska Sr below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 90 set 5, 11-9
90 points played in total.
H2H Milan Cetner 39–22 Vaclav Hruska Sr Vaclav Hruska Sr has won 22 of their 61 meetings.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Cetner)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cetner form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCetner 1.73 / Sr 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Cetner)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #12100360
Cetner1.73
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 154 of 226
Up 2–0, closes it95% 90 of 95
Up 1–0, closes it85% 117 of 138
Sr2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 99 of 241
Down 0–1, comes back24% 30 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back11% 8 of 76
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCetner4wins
AwaySr6wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSr leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCetner50%3 of 6
AwaySr75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cetner6Sr4n = 10Cetner took 6 of 10
S2Cetner5Sr5n = 10split evenly
S3Cetner4Sr6n = 10Sr took 6 of 10
S4Cetner1Sr4n = 5Sr took 4 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricCetnerSrC − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match33.136.3−3.2per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCetnerSrBasisWin rate · lifetime597 / 1196 vs 670 / 140449.9%47.7%597 / 1196 vs 670 / 1404Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CetnerCetner 1.73/Sr 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Cetner · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Cetner won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LJun 26 · 06:30M. Cetner—129961V. Sr—101111113
LJun 23 · 13:30M. Cetner—104120V. Sr—1211143
LJun 23 · 12:30M. Cetner—112331V. Sr—71111113
LJun 8 · 13:30M. Cetner—6111451V. Sr—11816113
LJun 8 · 10:30M. Cetner—6370V. Sr—1111113
WJun 4 · 11:30M. Cetner—1115113V. Sr—21360
LJun 3 · 13:00M. Cetner—11411672V. Sr—511711113
WJun 3 · 10:30M. Cetner—1011511133V. Sr—126116112
WJun 3 · 06:00M. Cetner—1113113V. Sr—41180
WJun 1 · 12:30M. Cetner—1311133V. Sr—117110
M. Cetner10
LJun 29 · 12:58M. Cetner2.002111181J. Strnad1.7311138113LJun 29 · 12:30J. Strnad1.501111133M. Cetner2.5086110LJun 29 · 11:30M. Cetner1.83114891M. Stefek1.8351111113WJun 29 · 10:30P. Stuchlik3.2561080M. Cetner1.331112113WJun 26 · 13:30M. Stefek1.67511271M. Cetner2.1011911113LJun 26 · 11:00M. Cetner2.00671191M. Stefek1.7311116113WJun 26 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek1.91125991M. Cetner1.80101111113LJun 26 · 09:00M. Stefek2.101811123M. Cetner1.67169100WJun 26 · 08:00M. Stefek1.80671191M. Cetner1.9111118113LJun 26 · 07:00J. Strnad1.571611113M. Cetner2.2514390
V. Sr10
WSep 3 · 21:30V. Sr1.731111113J. Grohsgott2.004880WSep 3 · 20:30M. Lubas2.105790V. Sr1.671111113WSep 3 · 19:30V. Sr1.73119135123J. Grohsgott2.004111111102WSep 3 · 18:30J. Pelikan2.207101171V. Sr1.6111128113LAug 23 · 17:29M. Regner1.44971111113V. Sr2.6311119562LAug 23 · 16:30M. Regner1.44811511113V. Sr2.6311511452WAug 23 · 15:30V. Sr2.25111110113M. Syroha1.57341211WAug 23 · 14:30J. Grohsgott2.1010680V. Sr1.671211113LAug 22 · 09:30M. Syroha1.44111251113V. Sr2.63810111162LAug 22 · 08:00M. Syroha1.531311113V. Sr2.3811180
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