Jaroslav Strnad 1964 vs Milan Cetner 3-0

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #12100284

Played Jun 26Finished

Jaroslav Strnad 1964

Home

1.57

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 2

Final

3 – 0

Set by set

1614113119––––

Milan Cetner

Away

2.25

At publish

Lost last 2

Form at publish

3–7Last 10Lost last 2

How it is goingJaroslav Strnad 1964 above · Milan Cetner below

Set 1 · 16-14

Set 2 · 11-3

Set 3 · 11-9

Point 64 set 3, 11-9

64 points played in total.

H2H Jaroslav Strnad 1964 35–27 Milan Cetner Milan Cetner has won 27 of their 62 meetings.

Last 10 · 6–4Same sideHead to head

Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Strnad)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Cetner form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsStrnad 1.57 / Cetner 2.25

Signal prob.60% / 40%

Edge (Strnad)+1.0pp

Czech Liga Pro · #12100284

Strnad1.57

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

20%takes the first set · 2 of 10

As favourite62% won 146 of 236

Up 2–0, closes it95% 71 of 75

Up 1–0, closes it84% 112 of 134

Cetner2.25

30%won 3 of 10 · last 10

Lost last 2

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog37% won 116 of 310

Down 0–1, comes back21% 38 of 180

Down 0–2, comes back8% 9 of 107

Head to head

H2H window

The recordacross 10 meetings

HomeStrnad6wins

AwayCetner4wins

2 of 10 to a deciderStrnad leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.

First set to match win · in this matchup

HomeStrnad71.4%5 of 7

AwayCetner66.7%2 of 3

Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one

S1Strnad7Cetner3n = 10Strnad took 7 of 10

S2Strnad4Cetner6n = 10Cetner took 6 of 10

S3Strnad6Cetner4n = 10Strnad took 6 of 10

S4Strnad4Cetner3n = 7Strnad took 4 of 7

Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate

How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code

3–0Straight, home220%

3–1Four sets, home330%

3–2Decider, home110%

2–3Decider, away110%

1–3Four sets, away220%

0–3Straight, away110%

These 10 meetings

MetricStrnadCetnerS − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.538.1+1.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3

Career, not this matchup

MetricStrnadCetnerBasisWin rate · lifetime644 / 1307 vs 599 / 119849.3%50%644 / 1307 vs 599 / 1198Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.1per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Strnad

Strnad 1.57/Cetner 2.25

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

59.9%

Strnad · sealed before the serve

What happened

3–0

Strnad won

Recent Results

H2H · no odds on record10

WJun 26 · 07:00J. Strnad—1611113M. Cetner—14390

WJun 24 · 24:00J. Strnad—51111113M. Cetner—115591

LJun 23 · 10:00J. Strnad—1781071M. Cetner—151112113

WJun 22 · 02:00J. Strnad—11515113M. Cetner—3111361

LJun 14 · 01:00J. Strnad—7690M. Cetner—1111113

WJun 6 · 23:00J. Strnad—1111118123M. Cetner—713611102

LJun 3 · 11:00J. Strnad—1185111M. Cetner—71111133

WMay 30 · 08:59J. Strnad—1114113M. Cetner—51290

LMay 30 · 07:00J. Strnad—481411132M. Cetner—1111129153

WMay 29 · 13:30J. Strnad—11134113M. Cetner—7111181

J. Strnad10

WSep 7 · 13:30P. Kulhanek1.739121341J. Strnad2.00111015113 WSep 7 · 12:30J. Strnad1.2210131110113J. Svec4.00121151272 LSep 7 · 11:00J. Strnad1.805870P. Kulhanek1.911111113 WSep 7 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek2.208480J. Strnad1.611111113 LSep 6 · 02:59J. Strnad1.80471151V. Kosar1.9111119113 LSep 6 · 02:00M. Novotny1.3311119123J. Strnad3.259811101 LSep 6 · 24:30J. Strnad1.83811451M. Ulrych1.8311911113 WSep 5 · 23:00J. Strnad2.251111123V. Kosar1.5765100 WSep 5 · 22:00P. Berdych1.80611981J. Strnad1.9111911113 LSep 5 · 12:59J. Strnad1.615930M. Barta2.201111113

M. Cetner10

LJun 29 · 12:58M. Cetner2.002111181J. Strnad1.7311138113 LJun 29 · 12:30J. Strnad1.501111133M. Cetner2.5086110 LJun 29 · 11:30M. Cetner1.83114891M. Stefek1.8351111113 WJun 29 · 10:30P. Stuchlik3.2561080M. Cetner1.331112113 WJun 26 · 13:30M. Stefek1.67511271M. Cetner2.1011911113 WJun 26 · 12:30M. Cetner1.73951111113V. Sr2.0011117592 LJun 26 · 11:00M. Cetner2.00671191M. Stefek1.7311116113 WJun 26 · 10:00M. Chalupnicek1.91125991M. Cetner1.80101111113 LJun 26 · 09:00M. Stefek2.101811123M. Cetner1.67169100 WJun 26 · 08:00M. Stefek1.80671191M. Cetner1.9111118113

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