TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #11939362
Played May 25Finished
Jan Herink
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811911711––––
Roman Merkl
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingJan Herink above · Roman Merkl below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 57 set 3, 7-11
57 points played in total.
H2H Jan Herink 1–5 Roman Merkl Jan Herink has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Merkl)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Merkl form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHerink 2.00 / Merkl 1.73
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Merkl)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #11939362
Herink2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 34 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back25% 12 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Merkl1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite48% won 43 of 90
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it71% 31 of 44
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeHerink1wins
AwayMerkl5wins
3 of 6 to a deciderMerkl leads 5–1, and 3 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHerinkn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayMerkl80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Herink1Merkl5n = 6Merkl took 5 of 6
S2Herink2Merkl4n = 6Merkl took 4 of 6
S3Herink5Merkl1n = 6Herink took 5 of 6
S4Herink1Merkl5n = 6Merkl took 5 of 6
S5Herink1Merkl2n = 3Merkl took 2 of 3
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away350%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricHerinkMerklH − MBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set15−4of 6Avg pointsper match40.543.7−3.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHerinkMerklBasisWin rate · lifetime177 / 392 vs 335 / 70345.2%47.7%177 / 392 vs 335 / 703Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.839.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MerklHerink 2.00/Merkl 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.7%
Merkl · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Merkl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LFeb 1 · 07:45J. Herink—2R. Merkl—3
LDec 4 · 15:45J. Herink—1R. Merkl—3
WJun 19 · 10:45J. Herink—3R. Merkl—2
LMay 27 · 11:15J. Herink—2R. Merkl—3
LJan 3 · 13:45J. Herink—1R. Merkl—3
LJan 3 · 11:45J. Herink—1R. Merkl—3
J. Herink10
LJun 2 · 20:18J. Gruber1.531111113J. Herink2.387740LJun 2 · 19:15J. Herink2.2014101121J. Gruber1.6116128113LJun 2 · 18:15J. Herink2.004970P. Hala1.731111113LJun 2 · 17:15J. Herink2.751212561M. Svitac1.40141011113LMay 25 · 20:14J. Herink1.83791151P. Orlowski1.8311113113WMay 25 · 19:15P. Orlowski1.6776111192J. Herink2.10111157113WMay 25 · 17:45J. Herink2.0041111113P. Hala1.73118981LApr 27 · 21:03P. Hala1.801111113J. Herink1.917950WApr 27 · 19:30J. Gruber1.44811661J. Herink2.6311811113WApr 27 · 19:00J. Herink2.506101113113J. Jnr1.50111261162
R. Merkl10
LSep 14 · 21:08P. Rucky1.5361111123R. Merkl2.381174101WSep 14 · 19:30S. Kalensky1.83611591R. Merkl1.8311811113LSep 14 · 19:00R. Merkl2.2585111192P. Rucky1.57111149113WSep 14 · 18:00R. Merkl2.001112123J. Jnr1.73610100LSep 13 · 08:35L. Kolman1.8351111113R. Merkl1.83114991LSep 13 · 07:30L. Provaznik1.401115113R. Merkl2.7541380WSep 13 · 07:00R. Merkl2.20117118113L. Kolman1.6141191182WSep 13 · 06:00R. Merkl2.25121174113P. Hala1.57105111172LSep 8 · 20:14J. Juppa1.80114911113R. Merkl1.9181111882LSep 8 · 19:15P. Maly2.001111113R. Merkl1.739770
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