TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #11804939
Played Apr 27Finished
Jan Herink
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
61110121161311116
Jan Simecek Jnr
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJan Herink above · Jan Simecek Jnr below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 13-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 97 set 5, 11-6
97 points played in total.
H2H Jan Herink 4–6 Jan Simecek Jnr Jan Herink has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Jnr)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Herink form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHerink 2.50 / Jnr 1.50
Signal prob.38% / 63%
Edge (Jnr)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #11804939
Herink2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Jnr1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHerink4wins
AwayJnr6wins
Jnr leads 6–4.
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Herink4Jnr6n = 10Jnr took 6 of 10
S2Herink3Jnr7n = 10Jnr took 7 of 10
S3Herink3Jnr7n = 10Jnr took 7 of 10
S4Herink4Jnr3n = 7Herink took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricHerinkJnrH − JBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.436.1−0.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHerinkJnrBasisWin rate · lifetime186 / 435 vs 222 / 42542.8%52.2%186 / 435 vs 222 / 425Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.639.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
JnrHerink 2.50/Jnr 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Jnr · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Herink won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
W—J. Herink—3J. Jnr—2
L—J. Herink—1J. Jnr—3
W—J. Herink—1J. Jnr—3
L—J. Herink—0J. Jnr—3
L—J. Herink—3J. Jnr—1
W—J. Herink—1J. Jnr—3
L—J. Herink—0J. Jnr—3
W—J. Herink—3J. Jnr—1
L—J. Herink—3J. Jnr—0
L—J. Herink—1J. Jnr—3
J. Herink10
LJun 2 · 20:18J. Gruber1.531111113J. Herink2.387740LJun 2 · 19:15J. Herink2.2014101121J. Gruber1.6116128113LJun 2 · 18:15J. Herink2.004970P. Hala1.731111113LJun 2 · 17:15J. Herink2.751212561M. Svitac1.40141011113LMay 25 · 20:14J. Herink1.83791151P. Orlowski1.8311113113WMay 25 · 19:15P. Orlowski1.6776111192J. Herink2.10111157113LMay 25 · 18:45J. Herink2.008970R. Merkl1.731111113WMay 25 · 17:45J. Herink2.0041111113P. Hala1.73118981LApr 27 · 21:03P. Hala1.801111113J. Herink1.917950WApr 27 · 19:30J. Gruber1.44811661J. Herink2.6311811113
J. Jnr10
WSep 14 · 20:39J. Jnr1.361111143S. Kalensky3.0099120WSep 14 · 20:00J. Jnr1.53111113143P. Rucky2.3813411121WSep 14 · 18:30S. Kalensky2.6397110J. Jnr1.441111133LSep 14 · 18:00R. Merkl2.001112123J. Jnr1.73610100LSep 9 · 20:43J. Jnr1.8311118972P. Orlowski1.83851111113WSep 9 · 19:45J. Jnr1.611211113S. Kalensky2.2010680WSep 9 · 18:15J. Gruber1.40591171J. Jnr2.7511117113WSep 9 · 17:45P. Orlowski1.919101111112J. Jnr1.80111295133WSep 2 · 20:34P. Maly1.91613631J. Jnr1.80111111113LSep 2 · 19:30J. Jnr1.8039100R. Merkl1.911111123
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