TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #11809387
Played Apr 27Finished
Pavel Hala
Home
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117119115––––
Jan Herink
Away
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingPavel Hala above · Jan Herink below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-5
Point 54 set 3, 11-5
54 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Hala 16–14 Jan Herink Jan Herink has won 14 of their 30 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hala)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Herink form (40%) is below what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHala 1.80 / Herink 1.91
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Hala)+2.5pp
Setka Cup · #11809387
The market does not separate these two
1.80 against 1.91 — a coin flip with a margin on top.
Below 3pp of separation the engine pins the read to 50 ± 4 and then drops the pick. So no percentage is published here — the price is the datum.
Hala1.80
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Herink1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHala4wins
AwayHerink6wins
Herink leads 6–4.
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hala5Herink5n = 10split evenly
S2Hala3Herink7n = 10Herink took 7 of 10
S3Hala6Herink4n = 10Hala took 6 of 10
S4Hala4Herink2n = 7Hala took 4 of 7
S5Hala1Herink2n = 3Herink took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHalaHerinkHala − HerinkBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.138.5−0.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHalaHerinkBasisWin rate · lifetime396 / 837 vs 186 / 43547.3%42.8%396 / 837 vs 186 / 435Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HalaHala 1.80/Herink 1.91
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hala · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hala won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
L—P. Hala—3J. Herink—1
L—P. Hala—3J. Herink—0
W—P. Hala—3J. Herink—2
W—P. Hala—1J. Herink—3
L—P. Hala—1J. Herink—2
W—P. Hala—0J. Herink—3
L—P. Hala—3J. Herink—1
L—P. Hala—2J. Herink—3
L—P. Hala—3J. Herink—2
W—P. Hala—3J. Herink—0
P. Hala10
WSep 13 · 09:03P. Hala1.5311812113L. Provaznik2.389111081WSep 13 · 08:00P. Hala1.83101211113L. Kolman1.831210291WSep 13 · 06:30L. Provaznik2.009850P. Hala1.731111113LSep 13 · 06:00R. Merkl2.25121174113P. Hala1.57105111172LSep 11 · 17:03P. Hala1.6713760O. Horak2.101511113LSep 11 · 16:00P. Hala2.2511551152V. Lopata1.57911118113WSep 11 · 14:30A. Pavlik1.83137110P. Hala1.831511133WSep 11 · 14:00O. Horak2.0039110P. Hala1.731111133LSep 9 · 17:03P. Hala1.5071131192P. Provaznik2.50119118113WSep 9 · 16:00P. Hala1.8317911113L. Kolman1.831511351
J. Herink10
LJun 2 · 20:18J. Gruber1.531111113J. Herink2.387740LJun 2 · 19:15J. Herink2.2014101121J. Gruber1.6116128113LJun 2 · 18:15J. Herink2.004970P. Hala1.731111113LJun 2 · 17:15J. Herink2.751212561M. Svitac1.40141011113LMay 25 · 20:14J. Herink1.83791151P. Orlowski1.8311113113WMay 25 · 19:15P. Orlowski1.6776111192J. Herink2.10111157113LMay 25 · 18:45J. Herink2.008970R. Merkl1.731111113WMay 25 · 17:45J. Herink2.0041111113P. Hala1.73118981WApr 27 · 19:30J. Gruber1.44811661J. Herink2.6311811113WApr 27 · 19:00J. Herink2.506101113113J. Jnr1.50111261162
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