TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #11939307
Played May 25Finished
Petr Orlowski
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 6
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
711611115117911
Jan Herink
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingPetr Orlowski above · Jan Herink below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 89 set 5, 9-11
89 points played in total.
H2H Petr Orlowski 1–1 Jan Herink Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Orlowski)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Orlowski form (0%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOrlowski 1.67 / Herink 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Orlowski)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #11939307
Orlowski1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite50% won 32 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it87% 13 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it67% 22 of 33
Herink2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 34 of 78
Down 0–1, comes back25% 12 of 49
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 33
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeOrlowski1wins
AwayHerink1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricOrlowskiHerinkO − HBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match35.529.5+6.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOrlowskiHerinkBasisWin rate · lifetime177 / 380 vs 177 / 39246.6%45.2%177 / 380 vs 177 / 392Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.738.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
OrlowskiOrlowski 1.67/Herink 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Orlowski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Herink won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WMar 3 · 20:00P. Orlowski—3J. Herink—0
LFeb 24 · 20:15P. Orlowski—2J. Herink—3
P. Orlowski10
WSep 9 · 20:43J. Jnr1.8311118972P. Orlowski1.83851111113WSep 9 · 19:15J. Gruber2.00311911122P. Orlowski1.73117118143WSep 9 · 18:45P. Orlowski1.4491111113S. Kalensky2.63114691LSep 9 · 17:45P. Orlowski1.919101111112J. Jnr1.80111295133LSep 7 · 20:59D. Brichacek2.101111123P. Orlowski1.6775100LSep 7 · 19:30P. Orlowski1.8085110A. Pavlik1.911111133WSep 7 · 18:30P. Orlowski1.5011119113S. Kalensky2.50761171WSep 7 · 17:30P. Orlowski1.83111110113D. Brichacek1.83571261WSep 6 · 08:34P. Orlowski1.73111114133R. Merkl2.009416111LSep 6 · 07:30R. Merkl1.9171111113P. Orlowski1.80119891
J. Herink10
LJun 2 · 20:18J. Gruber1.531111113J. Herink2.387740LJun 2 · 19:15J. Herink2.2014101121J. Gruber1.6116128113LJun 2 · 18:15J. Herink2.004970P. Hala1.731111113LJun 2 · 17:15J. Herink2.751212561M. Svitac1.40141011113LMay 25 · 20:14J. Herink1.83791151P. Orlowski1.8311113113LMay 25 · 18:45J. Herink2.008970R. Merkl1.731111113WMay 25 · 17:45J. Herink2.0041111113P. Hala1.73118981LApr 27 · 21:03P. Hala1.801111113J. Herink1.917950WApr 27 · 19:30J. Gruber1.44811661J. Herink2.6311811113WApr 27 · 19:00J. Herink2.506101113113J. Jnr1.50111261162
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