TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #11976946
Played Jun 2Finished
Jan Herink
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
12141210511611––
Matej Svitac
Away
1.40
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingJan Herink above · Matej Svitac below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 81 set 4, 6-11
81 points played in total.
H2H Jan Herink 8–16 Matej Svitac Jan Herink has won 8 of their 24 meetings.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Svitac)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Svitac form (60%) is below what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHerink 2.75 / Svitac 1.40
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Svitac)+3.0pp
Setka Cup · #11976946
Herink2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 36 of 81
Down 0–1, comes back26% 13 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back9% 3 of 34
Svitac1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite60% won 60 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it89% 33 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it72% 47 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHerink3wins
AwaySvitac7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSvitac leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHerinkn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwaySvitac77.8%7 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Herink1Svitac9n = 10Svitac took 9 of 10
S2Herink3Svitac7n = 10Svitac took 7 of 10
S3Herink7Svitac3n = 10Herink took 7 of 10
S4Herink2Svitac5n = 7Svitac took 5 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricHerinkSvitacH − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match32.637.3−4.7per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHerinkSvitacBasisWin rate · lifetime179 / 396 vs 227 / 42945.2%52.9%179 / 396 vs 227 / 429Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SvitacHerink 2.75/Svitac 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.3%
Svitac · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Svitac won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WDec 11 · 12:15J. Herink—3M. Svitac—0
LDec 8 · 13:20J. Herink—1M. Svitac—3
LDec 8 · 12:15J. Herink—1M. Svitac—3
LSep 22 · 12:55J. Herink—1M. Svitac—3
WSep 22 · 10:45J. Herink—3M. Svitac—2
LSep 15 · 12:55J. Herink—0M. Svitac—3
WSep 15 · 09:45J. Herink—3M. Svitac—1
LSep 11 · 09:45J. Herink—1M. Svitac—3
LSep 1 · 10:45J. Herink—0M. Svitac—3
LAug 18 · 12:13J. Herink—1M. Svitac—3
J. Herink10
LJun 2 · 20:18J. Gruber1.531111113J. Herink2.387740LJun 2 · 19:15J. Herink2.2014101121J. Gruber1.6116128113LJun 2 · 18:15J. Herink2.004970P. Hala1.731111113LMay 25 · 20:14J. Herink1.83791151P. Orlowski1.8311113113WMay 25 · 19:15P. Orlowski1.6776111192J. Herink2.10111157113LMay 25 · 18:45J. Herink2.008970R. Merkl1.731111113WMay 25 · 17:45J. Herink2.0041111113P. Hala1.73118981LApr 27 · 21:03P. Hala1.801111113J. Herink1.917950WApr 27 · 19:30J. Gruber1.44811661J. Herink2.6311811113WApr 27 · 19:00J. Herink2.506101113113J. Jnr1.50111261162
M. Svitac10
LSep 14 · 12:53M. Svitac1.83911491L. Smazik1.8311811113WSep 14 · 11:45L. Smazik1.8311351152M. Svitac1.83511119113LSep 14 · 10:45M. Hajek1.6111149113M. Svitac2.205121141LSep 14 · 09:15Z. Vasatko1.731111113M. Svitac2.007650LSep 10 · 12:48L. Kolman2.2011117113M. Svitac1.61761161WSep 10 · 11:15M. Svitac2.1013119113L. Smazik1.671181181WSep 10 · 10:15M. Svitac2.25811911113M. Hajek1.5711911832WSep 10 · 09:15M. Svitac1.731111113L. Kolman2.009540WSep 8 · 12:43Z. Vasatko1.7395121162M. Svitac2.001111108113WSep 8 · 11:15T. Kanka1.911312491M. Svitac1.80111411113
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