TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #11804862
Played Apr 27Finished
Josef Gruber
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811118611611––
Jan Herink
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingJosef Gruber above · Jan Herink below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 72 set 4, 6-11
72 points played in total.
H2H Josef Gruber 3–2 Jan Herink Jan Herink has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Gruber)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gruber form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGruber 1.44 / Herink 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Gruber)-0.0pp
Setka Cup · #11804862
Gruber1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Herink2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeGruber3wins
AwayHerink2wins
Gruber leads 3–2.
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gruber4Herink1n = 5Gruber took 4 of 5
S2Gruber2Herink3n = 5Herink took 3 of 5
S3Gruber3Herink2n = 5Gruber took 3 of 5
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home240%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home120%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away120%
These 5 meetings
MetricGruberHerinkG − HBasisWins32+1in 5 meetingsFirst set41+3of 5Avg pointsper match35.233.4+1.8per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGruberHerinkBasisWin rate · lifetime122 / 229 vs 186 / 43553.3%42.8%122 / 229 vs 186 / 435Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.537.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GruberGruber 1.44/Herink 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.5%
Gruber · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Herink won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
W—J. Gruber—0J. Herink—3
W—J. Gruber—2J. Herink—3
W—J. Gruber—3J. Herink—0
L—J. Gruber—3J. Herink—1
L—J. Gruber—0J. Herink—3
J. Gruber10
LSep 9 · 20:14S. Kalensky2.50711611113J. Gruber1.5011611942LSep 9 · 19:15J. Gruber2.00311911122P. Orlowski1.73117118143LSep 9 · 18:15J. Gruber1.40591171J. Jnr2.7511117113LSep 9 · 17:15J. Gruber1.40117741S. Kalensky2.7561111113LAug 31 · 20:58P. Orlowski1.73911119113J. Gruber2.0011791182WAug 31 · 19:15J. Gruber1.361111113O. Chadima3.004740LAug 31 · 18:15J. Gruber1.91412931P. Orlowski1.80111011113WAug 31 · 17:15J. Gruber1.3611116113V. Herrmann3.00791171WAug 18 · 21:10P. Maly2.25513110J. Gruber1.571115133WAug 18 · 19:30J. Gruber1.8311713123A. Pavlik1.8331111101
J. Herink10
LJun 2 · 20:18J. Gruber1.531111113J. Herink2.387740LJun 2 · 19:15J. Herink2.2014101121J. Gruber1.6116128113LJun 2 · 18:15J. Herink2.004970P. Hala1.731111113LJun 2 · 17:15J. Herink2.751212561M. Svitac1.40141011113LMay 25 · 20:14J. Herink1.83791151P. Orlowski1.8311113113WMay 25 · 19:15P. Orlowski1.6776111192J. Herink2.10111157113LMay 25 · 18:45J. Herink2.008970R. Merkl1.731111113WMay 25 · 17:45J. Herink2.0041111113P. Hala1.73118981LApr 27 · 21:03P. Hala1.801111113J. Herink1.917950WApr 27 · 19:00J. Herink2.506101113113J. Jnr1.50111261162
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