TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Jan Pribyl vs Frantisek Chaloupka 3-2 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Jan Pribyl
Home
1.62
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116118711611119
Frantisek Chaloupka
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:38 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeJan Pribyl to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJan Pribyl above · Frantisek Chaloupka below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 91 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Jan Pribyl at 54.1%
91 points played in total.
H2H Jan Pribyl 8–3 Frantisek Chaloupka Frantisek Chaloupka has won 3 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:38What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Pribyl
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-3 in 11
Pribyl
Correct
gap of 5 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Pribyl 1655 vs Chaloupka 1674
Chaloupka
Wrong
both rated, 19 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Pribyl 60% vs Chaloupka 80%
Chaloupka
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Pribyl 40% vs Chaloupka 80%
Chaloupka
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Pribyl +1 · Chaloupka -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Pribyl) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chaloupka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPribyl 1.61 / Chaloupka 2.20
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Pribyl)+1.6pp
TT Cup · #13176834
Pribyl1.61
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 48 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it96% 25 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it74% 36 of 49
Chaloupka2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 43 of 98
Down 0–1, comes back27% 15 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePribyl7wins
AwayChaloupka3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPribyl leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePribyl71.4%5 of 7
AwayChaloupka33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Pribyl7Chaloupka3n = 10Pribyl took 7 of 10
S2Pribyl5Chaloupka5n = 10split evenly
S3Pribyl8Chaloupka2n = 10Pribyl took 8 of 10
S4Pribyl5Chaloupka2n = 7Pribyl took 5 of 7
S5Pribyl1Chaloupka2n = 3Chaloupka took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPribylChaloupkaP − CBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match38.535.4+3.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPribylChaloupkaBasisWin rate · lifetime114 / 209 vs 282 / 53854.6%52.4%114 / 209 vs 282 / 538Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.139.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PribylPribyl 1.61/Chaloupka 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.3%
Pribyl · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Pribyl won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 11 · 15:15J. Pribyl26551151F. Chaloupka4211119113
WSep 10 · 16:15J. Pribyl46121111123F. Chaloupka3710134101
WJun 24 · 14:40J. Pribyl4181111113F. Chaloupka29113691
WJun 10 · 16:45J. Pribyl48911611113F. Chaloupka4411911492
WJun 10 · 13:40J. Pribyl4111511143F. Chaloupka357115121
WMay 13 · 15:10J. Pribyl331111113F. Chaloupka206680
WMay 5 · 17:10J. Pribyl331111113F. Chaloupka236890
LMay 5 · 14:10J. Pribyl471111211122F. Chaloupka53713118143
WMar 24 · 17:40J. Pribyl331111113F. Chaloupka207850
LMar 24 · 15:40J. Pribyl3711611272F. Chaloupka51911911113
J. Pribyl10
WSep 22 · 14:45B. Moravec1.8091191162J. Pribyl1.91116117113LSep 22 · 14:15D. Skulina2.10111011113J. Pribyl1.67912181WSep 12 · 12:39A. Kanak1.806450J. Pribyl1.911111113WSep 12 · 11:40M. Macurak2.2012970J. Pribyl1.611411113LSep 12 · 11:10D. Jr2.00711115113J. Pribyl1.7311981162LSep 12 · 10:10J. Pribyl1.7311551192A. Kanak2.00811115113WSep 11 · 16:45R. Benes3.255880J. Pribyl1.331111113LSep 11 · 15:45B. Moravec1.8011118113J. Pribyl1.91861161LSep 11 · 15:15F. Chaloupka2.7511119113J. Pribyl1.40551151LSep 11 · 14:15J. Pribyl1.91911129122R. Benes1.801171011143
F. Chaloupka10
LSep 22 · 15:15F. Chaloupka1.7396111262D. Skulina2.001111810113WSep 22 · 13:45B. Moravec1.537780F. Chaloupka2.381111113WSep 20 · 17:14F. Chaloupka1.501111113M. Zaskodny2.504680WSep 20 · 16:15F. Chaloupka1.831111113J. Skalicky1.835570WSep 20 · 14:45M. Zaskodny2.20119661F. Chaloupka1.6181111113WSep 20 · 14:15D. Skulina1.9179111192F. Chaloupka1.80111197113WSep 19 · 13:15F. Chaloupka1.6081111113R. Benes2.07117881WSep 19 · 11:45K. Kleprlik1.83911961F. Chaloupka1.8311611113WSep 19 · 11:15R. Benes2.10611461F. Chaloupka1.6711911113WSep 11 · 15:15F. Chaloupka2.7511119113J. Pribyl1.40551151
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