TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Frantisek Chaloupka
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114116118––––
Marek Zaskodny
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingFrantisek Chaloupka above · Marek Zaskodny below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 51 set 3, 11-8
51 points played in total.
H2H Frantisek Chaloupka 9–4 Marek Zaskodny Marek Zaskodny has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Chaloupka beat Zaskodny 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Chaloupka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zaskodny form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsChaloupka 1.50 / Zaskodny 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 36%
Edge (Chaloupka)+2.0pp
TT Cup · #13165847
Chaloupka1.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 6
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite55% won 99 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it97% 63 of 65
Up 1–0, closes it76% 83 of 110
Zaskodny2.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 43 of 123
Down 0–1, comes back16% 11 of 67
Down 0–2, comes back8% 3 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeChaloupka7wins
AwayZaskodny3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderChaloupka leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeChaloupka80%4 of 5
AwayZaskodny40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Chaloupka5Zaskodny5n = 10split evenly
S2Chaloupka8Zaskodny2n = 10Chaloupka took 8 of 10
S3Chaloupka7Zaskodny3n = 10Chaloupka took 7 of 10
S4Chaloupka4Zaskodny4n = 8split evenly
S5Chaloupka2Zaskodny2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricChaloupkaZaskodnyC − ZBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match42.636.6+6.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricChaloupkaZaskodnyBasisWin rate · lifetime280 / 535 vs 119 / 29052.3%41%280 / 535 vs 119 / 290Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.536.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ChaloupkaChaloupka 1.50/Zaskodny 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.5%
Chaloupka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Chaloupka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 14:45F. Chaloupka4181111113M. Zaskodny32119661
WSep 1 · 14:40F. Chaloupka4181111113M. Zaskodny34117881
LMay 17 · 05:40F. Chaloupka50911119102M. Zaskodny47117611123
WApr 17 · 18:40F. Chaloupka4211911113M. Zaskodny23111381
LApr 6 · 05:40F. Chaloupka34911681M. Zaskodny4211911113
WMar 15 · 16:40F. Chaloupka341112113M. Zaskodny2261060
WJan 6 · 16:45F. Chaloupka331111113M. Zaskodny213990
WJan 1 · 15:10F. Chaloupka501111611113M. Zaskodny4466111382
WDec 26 · 20:40F. Chaloupka53811119143M. Zaskodny50117911122
LDec 26 · 18:40F. Chaloupka48118101182M. Zaskodny51811129113
F. Chaloupka10
WSep 20 · 16:15F. Chaloupka1.831111113J. Skalicky1.835570WSep 20 · 14:45M. Zaskodny2.20119661F. Chaloupka1.6181111113WSep 20 · 14:15D. Skulina1.9179111192F. Chaloupka1.80111197113WSep 19 · 13:15F. Chaloupka1.6081111113R. Benes2.07117881WSep 19 · 11:45K. Kleprlik1.83911961F. Chaloupka1.8311611113WSep 19 · 11:15R. Benes2.10611461F. Chaloupka1.6711911113LSep 19 · 10:15F. Chaloupka1.531041581R. Sedlacek2.38121113113LSep 19 · 09:09F. Chaloupka1.508570J. Travnicek2.501111113WSep 19 · 07:40F. Chaloupka1.611111113J. Travnicek2.208970WSep 19 · 06:40F. Chaloupka1.5781111113D. Vitasek2.25116891
M. Zaskodny10
LSep 20 · 15:45M. Zaskodny1.73121331162D. Skulina2.001411116113LSep 20 · 14:45M. Zaskodny2.20119661F. Chaloupka1.6181111113WSep 20 · 13:45M. Zaskodny1.7611118113J. Skalicky1.90691151LSep 14 · 16:50M. Zaskodny2.2064111192F. Sikora1.61111177113LSep 14 · 16:10D. Sarganek2.00118118113M. Zaskodny1.7341161152LSep 14 · 15:10M. Zaskodny2.25111155112P. Vicherek1.57891111133WSep 14 · 13:40F. Sikora1.6111119932M. Zaskodny2.20161111113LSep 8 · 21:10R. Niezgoda1.2241111113M. Zaskodny4.00113571WSep 8 · 20:10D. Sarganek2.203790M. Zaskodny1.611111113LSep 8 · 19:10M. Zaskodny3.406860R. Niezgoda1.301111113
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