TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Borek Moravec vs Frantisek Chaloupka 0-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Borek Moravec
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 9Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 9
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
711711811––––
Frantisek Chaloupka
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:02 and never touched — 55.9% is still 55.9%
Graded at full timeBorek Moravec to win
55.9%
55.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingBorek Moravec above · Frantisek Chaloupka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 55 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Borek Moravec at 55.9%
55 points played in total.
H2H Borek Moravec 38–22 Frantisek Chaloupka Frantisek Chaloupka has won 22 of their 60 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:02What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Moravec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
38-22 in 60
Moravec
Wrong
gap of 16 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1770 vs Chaloupka 1684
Moravec
Wrong
both rated, 86 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 100% vs Chaloupka 100%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 90% vs Chaloupka 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec +9 · Chaloupka +7
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Moravec) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Chaloupka form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.53 / Chaloupka 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Moravec)+0.4pp
TT Cup · #13176683
Moravec1.53
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 6 days ago (Sep 16)
Won last 9
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 111 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it100% 50 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it89% 80 of 90
Chaloupka2.38
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 20)
Won last 7
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog44% won 43 of 98
Down 0–1, comes back27% 15 of 56
Down 0–2, comes back4% 1 of 24
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMoravec6wins
AwayChaloupka4wins
7 of 10 to a deciderMoravec leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravec75%3 of 4
AwayChaloupka50%3 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec4Chaloupka6n = 10Chaloupka took 6 of 10
S2Moravec4Chaloupka6n = 10Chaloupka took 6 of 10
S3Moravec6Chaloupka4n = 10Moravec took 6 of 10
S4Moravec5Chaloupka4n = 9Moravec took 5 of 9
S5Moravec5Chaloupka2n = 7Moravec took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMoravecChaloupkaM − CBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match42.040.3+1.7per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecChaloupkaBasisWin rate · lifetime267 / 462 vs 281 / 53657.8%52.4%267 / 462 vs 281 / 536Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.239.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 1.53/Chaloupka 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Chaloupka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 15:45B. Moravec48871111113F. Chaloupka4411116882
WSep 12 · 05:40B. Moravec331111113F. Chaloupka165380
LSep 11 · 17:15B. Moravec419911121F. Chaloupka4411118143
LSep 11 · 13:45B. Moravec34911681F. Chaloupka4011711113
LSep 10 · 16:50B. Moravec4211741192F. Chaloupka43611114113
WSep 10 · 13:45B. Moravec47111195113F. Chaloupka4057111162
WSep 6 · 08:53B. Moravec44117114113F. Chaloupka4281151172
LSep 6 · 06:40B. Moravec3836111172F. Chaloupka47111159113
WAug 30 · 07:40B. Moravec45831112113F. Chaloupka43111181032
WAug 21 · 15:40B. Moravec48711811113F. Chaloupka4411711782
B. Moravec10
LSep 22 · 15:45B. Moravec1.4461111111D. Skulina2.6311613133LSep 22 · 14:45B. Moravec1.8091191162J. Pribyl1.91116117113WSep 16 · 17:14B. Moravec1.53111178133D. Skulina2.38791111112WSep 16 · 15:45B. Moravec1.50871111113F. Chaloupka2.5011116882WSep 16 · 14:45B. Moravec1.44117119113B. Mrowetz2.6351191172WSep 16 · 13:45B. Moravec1.50811118113D. Skulina2.5011631162WSep 15 · 19:15B. Moravec1.47117119113D. Skulina2.5091181172WSep 15 · 17:13B. Moravec1.44117119113D. Skulina2.6391181172WSep 15 · 15:45B. Moravec1.5071311113M. Macurak2.501111551WSep 15 · 14:45B. Moravec1.501111113B. Mrowetz2.504960
F. Chaloupka10
LSep 22 · 15:15F. Chaloupka1.7396111262D. Skulina2.001111810113WSep 20 · 17:14F. Chaloupka1.501111113M. Zaskodny2.504680WSep 20 · 16:15F. Chaloupka1.831111113J. Skalicky1.835570WSep 20 · 14:45M. Zaskodny2.20119661F. Chaloupka1.6181111113WSep 20 · 14:15D. Skulina1.9179111192F. Chaloupka1.80111197113WSep 19 · 13:15F. Chaloupka1.6081111113R. Benes2.07117881WSep 19 · 11:45K. Kleprlik1.83911961F. Chaloupka1.8311611113WSep 19 · 11:15R. Benes2.10611461F. Chaloupka1.6711911113LSep 19 · 10:15F. Chaloupka1.531041581R. Sedlacek2.38121113113LSep 16 · 15:45B. Moravec1.50871111113F. Chaloupka2.5011116882
Upcoming Matches
B. Moravec
Nothing scheduled
F. Chaloupka
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