TT Lossbeater/TT Cup
Borek Moravec vs David Skulina 1-3 · TT Cup
TT Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Borek Moravec
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
61111611131113––
David Skulina
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:39 and never touched — 83.5% is still 83.5%
Graded at full timeBorek Moravec to win
83.5%
83.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingBorek Moravec above · David Skulina below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 82 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Borek Moravec at 83.5%
82 points played in total.
H2H Borek Moravec 8–1 David Skulina David Skulina has won 1 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:39What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Moravec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-1 in 9
Moravec
Wrong
gap of 7 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Moravec 1738 vs Skulina 1606
Moravec
Wrong
both rated, 132 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Moravec 60% vs Skulina 40%
Moravec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Moravec 80% vs Skulina 30%
Moravec
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Moravec -2 · Skulina +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Moravec) · live re-read · sealed at 84% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMoravec 1.44 / Skulina 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 31%
Edge (Moravec)+4.4pp
TT Cup · #13176838
Moravec1.44
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 111 of 153
Up 2–0, closes it100% 50 of 50
Up 1–0, closes it89% 80 of 90
Skulina2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 18 of 44
Down 0–1, comes back21% 5 of 24
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 14
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeMoravec8wins
AwaySkulina1wins
4 of 9 to a deciderMoravec leads 8–1, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMoravec100%7 of 7
AwaySkulinan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Moravec7Skulina2n = 9Moravec took 7 of 9
S2Moravec5Skulina4n = 9Moravec took 5 of 9
S3Moravec7Skulina2n = 9Moravec took 7 of 9
S4Moravec2Skulina5n = 7Skulina took 5 of 7
S5Moravec4Skulina0n = 4Moravec took 4 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home444%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricMoravecSkulinaM − SBasisWins81+7in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match42.835.9+6.9per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMoravecSkulinaBasisWin rate · lifetime267 / 462 vs 89 / 18057.8%49.4%267 / 462 vs 89 / 180Avg sets wonper match2.32.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.338.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MoravecMoravec 1.44/Skulina 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.9%
Moravec · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Skulina won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 16 · 17:14B. Moravec50111178133D. Skulina49791111112
WSep 16 · 13:45B. Moravec49811118113D. Skulina3711631162
WSep 15 · 19:15B. Moravec49117119113D. Skulina4691181172
WSep 15 · 17:13B. Moravec49117119113D. Skulina4691181172
WSep 15 · 13:45B. Moravec331111113D. Skulina217680
LAug 21 · 14:40B. Moravec401191191D. Skulina4113116113
WApr 29 · 15:40B. Moravec341111123D. Skulina1844100
WJan 27 · 15:10B. Moravec4011117113D. Skulina32581181
WJan 6 · 17:15B. Moravec4111811113D. Skulina33711961
B. Moravec10
LSep 22 · 14:45B. Moravec1.8091191162J. Pribyl1.91116117113LSep 22 · 13:45B. Moravec1.537780F. Chaloupka2.381111113WSep 16 · 17:14B. Moravec1.53111178133D. Skulina2.38791111112WSep 16 · 15:45B. Moravec1.50871111113F. Chaloupka2.5011116882WSep 16 · 14:45B. Moravec1.44117119113B. Mrowetz2.6351191172WSep 16 · 13:45B. Moravec1.50811118113D. Skulina2.5011631162WSep 15 · 19:15B. Moravec1.47117119113D. Skulina2.5091181172WSep 15 · 17:13B. Moravec1.44117119113D. Skulina2.6391181172WSep 15 · 15:45B. Moravec1.5071311113M. Macurak2.501111551WSep 15 · 14:45B. Moravec1.501111113B. Mrowetz2.504960
D. Skulina10
WSep 22 · 15:15F. Chaloupka1.7396111262D. Skulina2.001111810113WSep 22 · 14:15D. Skulina2.10111011113J. Pribyl1.67912181LSep 21 · 16:40A. Kanak2.1511312113D. Skulina1.639111041LSep 21 · 15:45D. Skulina1.83671271J. Krupnik1.83111110113LSep 21 · 14:45D. Skulina1.6171160B. Mrowetz2.201113113LSep 21 · 13:45D. Skulina1.7311771172A. Kanak2.00511118113LSep 16 · 17:14B. Moravec1.53111178133D. Skulina2.38791111112LSep 16 · 13:45B. Moravec1.50811118113D. Skulina2.5011631162LSep 15 · 19:15B. Moravec1.47117119113D. Skulina2.5091181172LSep 15 · 17:13B. Moravec1.44117119113D. Skulina2.6391181172
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