TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Starts 21:00Scheduled
Mateusz Baran
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 14–6Last 10Won last 1
Head to head
2 – 4
All 6 meetings · 33.3%
Last 6 · 2–4Same side
Jacek Zelezik
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 24–6Last 10Lost last 2
Both players are 4–6 over their last ten. The difference is the direction — Mateusz Baran arrives off a win, Jacek Zelezik off a loss, and the streak is one of the signals the engine reads.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 4h before this match
Baran beat Zelezik 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBaran 2.10 / Zelezik 1.67
TT Elite Series · #13168716
Baran2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog44% won 27 of 61
Down 0–1, comes back30% 12 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back8% 2 of 26
Zelezik1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 186 of 266
Up 2–0, closes it96% 107 of 112
Up 1–0, closes it81% 143 of 177
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeBaran2wins
AwayZelezik4wins
1 of 6 to a deciderZelezik leads 4–2, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBaran25%1 of 4
AwayZelezikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Baran4Zelezik2n = 6Baran took 4 of 6
S2Baran2Zelezik4n = 6Zelezik took 4 of 6
S3Baran3Zelezik3n = 6split evenly
S4Baran1Zelezik3n = 4Zelezik took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricBaranZelezikB − ZBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match35.335.0+0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBaranZelezikBasisWin rate · lifetime82 / 153 vs 386 / 71453.6%54.1%82 / 153 vs 386 / 714Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.736.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 21 · 16:35M. Baran331111113J. Zelezik172690
LAug 31 · 22:50M. Baran34115991J. Zelezik3741111113
LAug 31 · 14:10M. Baran4311811762J. Zelezik45911311113
LAug 26 · 03:05M. Baran28117371J. Zelezik4181111113
LAug 25 · 21:05M. Baran3115880J. Zelezik391711113
WJul 20 · 18:30M. Baran43101111113J. Zelezik31125681
M. Baran10
WSep 21 · 16:35M. Baran2.381111113J. Zelezik1.532690LSep 21 · 15:50A. Zmijewski1.531111113M. Baran2.388730LSep 18 · 02:35M. Baran1.91961281K. Gudzik1.80111110113LSep 18 · 01:00M. Baran3.751010111252M. Guzik1.251212710113WSep 17 · 23:45M. Baran2.20117116113Z. Nocun1.6171171152LSep 17 · 22:10M. Baran1.531249121M. Brunner2.38101111143WSep 17 · 21:00M. Baran1.8311616113G. Mucha1.833111491WSep 17 · 19:40M. Brunner2.2511891162M. Baran1.57811117113LSep 17 · 18:55M. Guzik1.2511711113M. Baran3.75611771LSep 17 · 18:10M. Baran3.25515971K. Gudzik1.33111311113
J. Zelezik10
LSep 21 · 17:20K. Kwiatkowski2.50111164123J. Zelezik1.50941111102LSep 21 · 16:35M. Baran2.381111113J. Zelezik1.532690WSep 21 · 15:00M. Lewczuk2.1013117572J. Zelezik1.671151111113WSep 18 · 04:40A. Krezel2.604780J. Zelezik1.341111113WSep 18 · 03:55A. Staniczek3.305850J. Zelezik1.211111113LSep 18 · 01:55K. Kwiatkowski1.901111113J. Zelezik1.809670LSep 18 · 01:10J. Michalik2.44611126143J. Zelezik1.451151011122LSep 17 · 23:30H. Tkaczyk1.671111113J. Zelezik1.998970LSep 17 · 22:40A. Krezel1.8571111113J. Zelezik1.80115551WSep 17 · 21:55A. Staniczek3.3028100J. Zelezik1.261111123
Upcoming Matches
M. Baran
Sep 21 · 18:55M. Baran2.00M. Lewczuk1.73—Sep 21 · 19:40M. Baran2.38K. Kwiatkowski1.53—Sep 21 · 22:10M. Baran2.38K. Kwiatkowski1.53—Sep 21 · 23:30M. Baran2.75A. Zmijewski1.40—Sep 22 · 24:30M. Baran2.00M. Lewczuk1.73—Sep 22 · 01:50M. Baran1.67M. Karpiuk2.10—Sep 22 · 17:30M. Baran—M. Brunner——Sep 22 · 19:10M. Baran—P. Gesiarz——Sep 22 · 19:55M. Baran—K. Kwiatkowski——
J. Zelezik
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