TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13147396
Played Sep 18Finished
Adam Staniczek
Home
3.30
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511811511––––
Jacek Zelezik
Away
1.21
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:00 and never touched — 72.4% is still 72.4%
Graded at full timeJacek Zelezik to win
72.4%
72.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
51 points played in total.
Set by set
511811511––––
H2H Adam Staniczek 2–27 Jacek Zelezik Adam Staniczek has won 2 of their 29 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Zelezik beat Staniczek 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:00What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.21 (73%)
Zelezik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-27 in 29
Zelezik
Correct
gap of 25 in 29, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Staniczek 1287 vs Zelezik 1443
Zelezik
Correct
both rated, 155 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staniczek 20% vs Zelezik 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staniczek 30% vs Zelezik 50%
Zelezik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Staniczek -2 · Zelezik -4
Zelezik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Zelezik) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelezik form (20%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaniczek 3.30 / Zelezik 1.21
Signal prob.21% / 80%
Edge (Zelezik)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13147396
Staniczek3.30
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog25% won 115 of 453
Down 0–1, comes back11% 32 of 287
Down 0–2, comes back2% 5 of 214
Zelezik1.21
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite71% won 184 of 261
Up 2–0, closes it96% 106 of 111
Up 1–0, closes it82% 142 of 174
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStaniczek1wins
AwayZelezik9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderZelezik leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStaniczek33.3%1 of 3
AwayZelezik100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Staniczek3Zelezik7n = 10Zelezik took 7 of 10
S2Staniczek1Zelezik9n = 10Zelezik took 9 of 10
S3Staniczek2Zelezik8n = 10Zelezik took 8 of 10
S4Staniczek0Zelezik4n = 4Zelezik took 4 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away660%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaniczekZelezikS − ZBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match28.338.4−10.1per matchSweeps06−63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaniczekZelezikBasisWin rate · lifetime369 / 1017 vs 381 / 70536.3%54%369 / 1017 vs 381 / 705Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match33.836.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZelezikStaniczek 3.30/Zelezik 1.21
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.5%
Zelezik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zelezik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 21:55A. Staniczek2028100J. Zelezik341111123
LSep 3 · 23:55A. Staniczek2671090J. Zelezik341112113
LSep 3 · 17:55A. Staniczek367101271J. Zelezik44111210113
LSep 1 · 24:25A. Staniczek199640J. Zelezik331111113
LAug 31 · 20:10A. Staniczek189450J. Zelezik331111113
WAug 25 · 24:25A. Staniczek53128139113J. Zelezik521011111192
LAug 24 · 20:45A. Staniczek26113481J. Zelezik4071111113
LAug 19 · 21:45A. Staniczek2251070J. Zelezik341112113
LAug 19 · 17:45A. Staniczek47121168102J. Zelezik471031111123
LAug 18 · 24:25A. Staniczek168440J. Zelezik331111113
A. Staniczek10
LSep 18 · 05:05H. Tkaczyk1.2212116113A. Staniczek3.701081181LSep 18 · 02:45J. Michalik1.501111123A. Staniczek2.3128100LSep 18 · 01:30A. Krezel1.5713111211113A. Staniczek2.17117141392WSep 17 · 23:55K. Kwiatkowski1.50139118102A. Staniczek2.401111811123LSep 17 · 23:05J. Michalik1.501113113A. Staniczek2.3131190LSep 17 · 21:55A. Staniczek3.3028100J. Zelezik1.261111123LSep 17 · 20:45D. Molenda1.081111113A. Staniczek5.605270LSep 17 · 19:30A. Krezel1.571111113A. Staniczek2.179660WSep 17 · 17:55K. Kwiatkowski1.37311141132A. Staniczek2.89116167113LSep 17 · 05:05A. Krezel1.59891311113A. Staniczek2.12111111492
J. Zelezik10
WSep 18 · 04:40A. Krezel2.604780J. Zelezik1.341111113LSep 18 · 01:55K. Kwiatkowski1.901111113J. Zelezik1.809670LSep 18 · 01:10J. Michalik2.44611126143J. Zelezik1.451151011122LSep 17 · 23:30H. Tkaczyk1.671111113J. Zelezik1.998970LSep 17 · 22:40A. Krezel1.8571111113J. Zelezik1.80115551WSep 17 · 21:55A. Staniczek3.3028100J. Zelezik1.261111123WSep 17 · 19:55K. Kwiatkowski2.01119851J. Zelezik1.6671111113WSep 17 · 19:10D. Molenda1.3612311101J. Zelezik3.0014113123LSep 17 · 17:30J. Michalik2.0011911153J. Zelezik1.739117131WSep 15 · 01:50M. Karpiuk3.00971291J. Zelezik1.36111110113
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