TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13148352
Played Sep 18Finished
Henryk Tkaczyk
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1210118611118––
Adam Staniczek
Away
3.70
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:08 and never touched — 67.9% is still 67.9%
Graded at full timeHenryk Tkaczyk to win
67.9%
67.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
77 points played in total.
Set by set
1210118611118––
H2H Henryk Tkaczyk 59–15 Adam Staniczek Adam Staniczek has won 15 of their 74 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:08What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (75%)
Tkaczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
59-15 in 74
Tkaczyk
Correct
gap of 44 in 74, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tkaczyk 1600 vs Staniczek 1278
Tkaczyk
Correct
both rated, 321 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkaczyk 80% vs Staniczek 20%
Tkaczyk
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkaczyk 90% vs Staniczek 20%
Tkaczyk
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkaczyk +1 · Staniczek -3
Staniczek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 80% — Strong (leans Tkaczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkaczyk 1.22 / Staniczek 3.70
Signal prob.80% / 20%
Edge (Tkaczyk)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13148352
Tkaczyk1.22
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite70% won 394 of 563
Up 2–0, closes it94% 225 of 240
Up 1–0, closes it86% 306 of 358
Staniczek3.70
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog25% won 115 of 453
Down 0–1, comes back11% 32 of 287
Down 0–2, comes back2% 5 of 214
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTkaczyk9wins
AwayStaniczek1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderTkaczyk leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTkaczyk90%9 of 10
AwayStaniczekn = 0, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tkaczyk10Staniczek0n = 10Tkaczyk took 10 of 10
S2Tkaczyk9Staniczek1n = 10Tkaczyk took 9 of 10
S3Tkaczyk6Staniczek4n = 10Tkaczyk took 6 of 10
S4Tkaczyk2Staniczek3n = 5Staniczek took 3 of 5
S5Tkaczyk2Staniczek1n = 3Tkaczyk took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTkaczykStaniczekT − SBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set100+10of 10Avg pointsper match40.431.6+8.8per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkaczykStaniczekBasisWin rate · lifetime1010 / 1509 vs 369 / 101866.9%36.3%1010 / 1509 vs 369 / 1018Avg sets wonper match2.41.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.633.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkaczykTkaczyk 1.22/Staniczek 3.70
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
79.6%
Tkaczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Tkaczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 20 · 22:10H. Tkaczyk331111113A. Staniczek196670
LAug 20 · 19:40H. Tkaczyk4411119672A. Staniczek39331111113
WAug 18 · 01:35H. Tkaczyk4112117113A. Staniczek321041171
WAug 17 · 19:35H. Tkaczyk331111113A. Staniczek237790
WAug 6 · 23:50H. Tkaczyk47111510113A. Staniczek364131271
WAug 6 · 17:55H. Tkaczyk341211113A. Staniczek2810990
WAug 4 · 01:35H. Tkaczyk50111198113A. Staniczek4385111182
WAug 3 · 19:35H. Tkaczyk331111113A. Staniczek239590
WJul 26 · 22:55H. Tkaczyk5511111110123A. Staniczek50913612102
WJul 26 · 16:55H. Tkaczyk341211113A. Staniczek2310490
H. Tkaczyk10
WSep 18 · 03:30H. Tkaczyk1.41111011113J. Michalik2.71812971LSep 18 · 02:20H. Tkaczyk1.51911661A. Krezel2.4111711113WSep 18 · 24:45H. Tkaczyk1.541111116113K. Kwiatkowski2.2313551192WSep 17 · 23:30H. Tkaczyk1.671111113J. Zelezik1.998970WSep 14 · 09:30J. Slawomir2.31881181H. Tkaczyk1.5011118113WSep 14 · 08:30T. Przebierala7.757220H. Tkaczyk1.041111113WSep 14 · 07:30H. Tkaczyk1.67512118113M. Wolny2.09111081182WSep 14 · 05:10T. Kordaszewski8.004660H. Tkaczyk1.031111113WSep 14 · 04:10W. Stechly5.709790H. Tkaczyk1.091111113WSep 14 · 03:30D. Maszczynski5.004370H. Tkaczyk1.111111113
A. Staniczek10
LSep 18 · 03:55A. Staniczek3.305850J. Zelezik1.211111113LSep 18 · 02:45J. Michalik1.501111123A. Staniczek2.3128100LSep 18 · 01:30A. Krezel1.5713111211113A. Staniczek2.17117141392WSep 17 · 23:55K. Kwiatkowski1.50139118102A. Staniczek2.401111811123LSep 17 · 23:05J. Michalik1.501113113A. Staniczek2.3131190LSep 17 · 21:55A. Staniczek3.3028100J. Zelezik1.261111123LSep 17 · 20:45D. Molenda1.081111113A. Staniczek5.605270LSep 17 · 19:30A. Krezel1.571111113A. Staniczek2.179660WSep 17 · 17:55K. Kwiatkowski1.37311141132A. Staniczek2.89116167113LSep 17 · 05:05A. Krezel1.59891311113A. Staniczek2.12111111492
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