TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13126684
Played Sep 14Finished
Henryk Tkaczyk
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
5111210118811118
Michal Wolny
Away
2.09
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 21:42 and never touched — 71.8% is still 71.8%
Graded at full timeHenryk Tkaczyk to win
71.8%
71.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
95 points played in total.
Set by set
5111210118811118
H2H Henryk Tkaczyk 15–8 Michal Wolny Michal Wolny has won 8 of their 23 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 21:42What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Tkaczyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-8 in 23
Tkaczyk
Correct
gap of 7 in 23, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tkaczyk 1590 vs Wolny 1309
Tkaczyk
Correct
both rated, 281 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkaczyk 80% vs Wolny 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkaczyk 80% vs Wolny 50%
Tkaczyk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkaczyk +3 · Wolny +4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Tkaczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wolny form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkaczyk 1.67 / Wolny 2.09
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Tkaczyk)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13126684
Tkaczyk1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 394 of 567
Up 2–0, closes it94% 222 of 237
Up 1–0, closes it85% 305 of 359
Wolny2.09
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog26% won 37 of 140
Down 0–1, comes back11% 10 of 90
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 61
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTkaczyk5wins
AwayWolny5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTkaczyk50%3 of 6
AwayWolny50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tkaczyk6Wolny4n = 10Tkaczyk took 6 of 10
S2Tkaczyk6Wolny4n = 10Tkaczyk took 6 of 10
S3Tkaczyk5Wolny5n = 10split evenly
S4Tkaczyk4Wolny5n = 9Wolny took 5 of 9
S5Tkaczyk2Wolny3n = 5Wolny took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTkaczykWolnyT − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.439.4+1.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkaczykWolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime1007 / 1505 vs 271 / 57266.9%47.4%1007 / 1505 vs 271 / 572Avg sets wonper match2.41.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.636.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkaczykTkaczyk 1.67/Wolny 2.09
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.6%
Tkaczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Tkaczyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 07:30H. Tkaczyk47512118113M. Wolny48111081182
LJul 30 · 05:00H. Tkaczyk367111171M. Wolny3711132113
WJul 29 · 20:45H. Tkaczyk3851111113M. Wolny24111661
WJul 23 · 05:05H. Tkaczyk48146611113M. Wolny47121111942
LJul 22 · 20:45H. Tkaczyk4612118872M. Wolny501071111113
LApr 2 · 23:55H. Tkaczyk501161111112M. Wolny52911136133
WApr 2 · 17:55H. Tkaczyk3911116113M. Wolny31571181
LDec 6 · 01:25H. Tkaczyk344911101M. Wolny4211118123
WDec 5 · 21:45H. Tkaczyk331111113M. Wolny167540
LNov 8 · 24:35H. Tkaczyk3311111552M. Wolny47591111113
H. Tkaczyk10
WSep 14 · 09:30J. Slawomir2.31881181H. Tkaczyk1.5011118113WSep 14 · 08:30T. Przebierala7.757220H. Tkaczyk1.041111113WSep 14 · 05:10T. Kordaszewski8.004660H. Tkaczyk1.031111113WSep 14 · 04:10W. Stechly5.709790H. Tkaczyk1.091111113WSep 14 · 03:30D. Maszczynski5.004370H. Tkaczyk1.111111113LSep 11 · 04:20H. Tkaczyk1.438980J. Michalik2.501111113WSep 11 · 03:05H. Tkaczyk1.859111111113M. Guzik1.8011913792WSep 11 · 01:55H. Tkaczyk1.561111113J. Zelezik2.197980WSep 11 · 24:45W. Stechly4.18911101142H. Tkaczyk1.19116123113WSep 10 · 23:55H. Tkaczyk1.2511111211113M. Machelski3.4513814632
M. Wolny10
LSep 14 · 08:50J. Slawomir1.68117911113M. Wolny2.0561111982WSep 14 · 06:30T. Przebierala4.454360M. Wolny1.161111113WSep 14 · 05:50D. Maszczynski2.5597120M. Wolny1.461111143WSep 14 · 04:30T. Kordaszewski5.306101431M. Wolny1.10111212113WSep 14 · 03:10W. Stechly3.40112281M. Wolny1.2491111113LSep 13 · 02:45M. Wolny2.056760A. Fomin1.651111113LSep 13 · 01:10M. Wolny2.859890C. Pawlik1.341111113LSep 13 · 24:00M. Wolny2.5059120A. Zmijewski1.461111143LSep 12 · 22:25M. Wolny1.75611871K. Malcher1.9511911113WSep 12 · 21:10M. Wolny2.35512117113O. Jedrzejowski1.48111071162
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