TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13147401
Played Sep 18Finished
Henryk Tkaczyk
Home
1.51
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911117611611––
Andrzej Krezel
Away
2.41
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:02 and never touched — 71.8% is still 71.8%
Graded at full timeHenryk Tkaczyk to win
71.8%
71.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
72 points played in total.
Set by set
911117611611––
H2H Henryk Tkaczyk 8–6 Andrzej Krezel Andrzej Krezel has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:02What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.51 (61%)
Tkaczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-6 in 14
Tkaczyk
Wrong
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tkaczyk 1610 vs Krezel 1529
Tkaczyk
Wrong
both rated, 81 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkaczyk 100% vs Krezel 100%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkaczyk 90% vs Krezel 90%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkaczyk +5 · Krezel +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Tkaczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krezel form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (41%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkaczyk 1.51 / Krezel 2.41
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Tkaczyk)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13147401
Tkaczyk1.51
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 8
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite70% won 394 of 563
Up 2–0, closes it94% 225 of 240
Up 1–0, closes it86% 306 of 358
Krezel2.41
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 52 of 174
Down 0–1, comes back11% 12 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 68
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTkaczyk6wins
AwayKrezel4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTkaczyk leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTkaczyk85.7%6 of 7
AwayKrezel100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tkaczyk7Krezel3n = 10Tkaczyk took 7 of 10
S2Tkaczyk6Krezel4n = 10Tkaczyk took 6 of 10
S3Tkaczyk6Krezel4n = 10Tkaczyk took 6 of 10
S4Tkaczyk5Krezel3n = 8Tkaczyk took 5 of 8
S5Tkaczyk1Krezel3n = 4Krezel took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTkaczykKrezelT − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.237.0+3.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkaczykKrezelBasisWin rate · lifetime1009 / 1507 vs 90 / 24767%36.4%1009 / 1507 vs 90 / 247Avg sets wonper match2.41.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.635.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkaczykTkaczyk 1.51/Krezel 2.41
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.7%
Tkaczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krezel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 05:05H. Tkaczyk47111171082A. Krezel49961112113
WSep 8 · 20:45H. Tkaczyk4111118113A. Krezel27441181
WSep 5 · 21:35H. Tkaczyk45111111123A. Krezel365138101
WSep 5 · 15:35H. Tkaczyk471131111113A. Krezel4341113962
WSep 4 · 01:25H. Tkaczyk4011126113A. Krezel349101141
WSep 3 · 19:20H. Tkaczyk331111113A. Krezel175750
WAug 27 · 01:25H. Tkaczyk391314123A. Krezel331112100
LAug 26 · 19:20H. Tkaczyk4185111162A. Krezel47111186113
LAug 21 · 01:00H. Tkaczyk25361151A. Krezel3711114113
LAug 20 · 18:55H. Tkaczyk4481111592A. Krezel47116811113
H. Tkaczyk10
WSep 18 · 05:05H. Tkaczyk1.2212116113A. Staniczek3.701081181WSep 18 · 03:30H. Tkaczyk1.41111011113J. Michalik2.71812971WSep 18 · 24:45H. Tkaczyk1.541111116113K. Kwiatkowski2.2313551192WSep 17 · 23:30H. Tkaczyk1.671111113J. Zelezik1.998970WSep 14 · 09:30J. Slawomir2.31881181H. Tkaczyk1.5011118113WSep 14 · 08:30T. Przebierala7.757220H. Tkaczyk1.041111113WSep 14 · 07:30H. Tkaczyk1.67512118113M. Wolny2.09111081182WSep 14 · 05:10T. Kordaszewski8.004660H. Tkaczyk1.031111113WSep 14 · 04:10W. Stechly5.709790H. Tkaczyk1.091111113WSep 14 · 03:30D. Maszczynski5.004370H. Tkaczyk1.111111113
A. Krezel10
LSep 18 · 04:40A. Krezel2.604780J. Zelezik1.341111113WSep 18 · 03:05K. Kwiatkowski1.6574120A. Krezel2.101111143WSep 18 · 01:30A. Krezel1.5713111211113A. Staniczek2.17117141392WSep 18 · 24:20A. Krezel1.801141111113J. Michalik1.8551161342WSep 17 · 22:40A. Krezel1.8571111113J. Zelezik1.80115551WSep 17 · 21:05K. Kwiatkowski1.751171110142A. Krezel1.90911812163WSep 17 · 20:20J. Michalik1.91813100A. Krezel1.801115123WSep 17 · 19:30A. Krezel1.571111113A. Staniczek2.179660WSep 17 · 18:20A. Krezel4.701112113D. Molenda1.1391090WSep 17 · 05:05A. Krezel1.59891311113A. Staniczek2.12111111492
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