TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13148353
Played Sep 18Finished
Andrzej Krezel
Home
2.60
At publish
Won last 10Form at publish
10–0Last 10Won last 10
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411711811––––
Jacek Zelezik
Away
1.34
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:08 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeAndrzej Krezel to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
52 points played in total.
Set by set
411711811––––
H2H Andrzej Krezel 5–2 Jacek Zelezik Jacek Zelezik has won 2 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Krezel beat Zelezik 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:08What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.34 (66%)
Zelezik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-2 in 7
Krezel
Wrong
gap of 3 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krezel 1559 vs Zelezik 1451
Krezel
Wrong
both rated, 108 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krezel 100% vs Zelezik 20%
Krezel
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krezel 100% vs Zelezik 50%
Krezel
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krezel +10 · Zelezik +1
Krezel
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Zelezik) · live re-read · sealed at 43% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelezik form (20%) is below what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrezel 2.60 / Zelezik 1.34
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Zelezik)-3.4pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13148353
Krezel2.60
100%won 10 of 10 · last 10
Won last 10
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog30% won 52 of 174
Down 0–1, comes back11% 12 of 105
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 68
Zelezik1.34
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 184 of 261
Up 2–0, closes it96% 106 of 111
Up 1–0, closes it82% 142 of 174
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKrezel5wins
AwayZelezik2wins
3 of 7 to a deciderKrezel leads 5–2, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrezel100%3 of 3
AwayZelezik50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krezel3Zelezik4n = 7Zelezik took 4 of 7
S2Krezel5Zelezik2n = 7Krezel took 5 of 7
S3Krezel4Zelezik3n = 7Krezel took 4 of 7
S4Krezel3Zelezik1n = 4Krezel took 3 of 4
S5Krezel2Zelezik1n = 3Krezel took 2 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home229%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricKrezelZelezikK − ZBasisWins52+3in 7 meetingsFirst set34−1of 7Avg pointsper match39.030.6+8.4per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrezelZelezikBasisWin rate · lifetime93 / 250 vs 382 / 70637.2%54.1%93 / 250 vs 382 / 706Avg sets wonper match1.72.0per matchAvg pointsper match35.536.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZelezikKrezel 2.60/Zelezik 1.34
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.6%
Zelezik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zelezik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 17 · 22:40A. Krezel4071111113J. Zelezik26115551
WSep 3 · 02:10A. Krezel331111113J. Zelezik51220
WSep 2 · 20:05A. Krezel331111113J. Zelezik186840
WAug 27 · 24:10A. Krezel501212411113J. Zelezik43141011352
WAug 26 · 20:30A. Krezel47113119133J. Zelezik45511711112
LAug 25 · 23:55A. Krezel4891191182J. Zelezik44113118113
LAug 25 · 17:55A. Krezel225890J. Zelezik331111113
A. Krezel10
WSep 18 · 03:05K. Kwiatkowski1.6574120A. Krezel2.101111143WSep 18 · 02:20H. Tkaczyk1.51911661A. Krezel2.4111711113WSep 18 · 01:30A. Krezel1.5713111211113A. Staniczek2.17117141392WSep 18 · 24:20A. Krezel1.801141111113J. Michalik1.8551161342WSep 17 · 22:40A. Krezel1.8571111113J. Zelezik1.80115551WSep 17 · 21:05K. Kwiatkowski1.751171110142A. Krezel1.90911812163WSep 17 · 20:20J. Michalik1.91813100A. Krezel1.801115123WSep 17 · 19:30A. Krezel1.571111113A. Staniczek2.179660WSep 17 · 18:20A. Krezel4.701112113D. Molenda1.1391090WSep 17 · 05:05A. Krezel1.59891311113A. Staniczek2.12111111492
J. Zelezik10
WSep 18 · 03:55A. Staniczek3.305850J. Zelezik1.211111113LSep 18 · 01:55K. Kwiatkowski1.901111113J. Zelezik1.809670LSep 18 · 01:10J. Michalik2.44611126143J. Zelezik1.451151011122LSep 17 · 23:30H. Tkaczyk1.671111113J. Zelezik1.998970LSep 17 · 22:40A. Krezel1.8571111113J. Zelezik1.80115551WSep 17 · 21:55A. Staniczek3.3028100J. Zelezik1.261111123WSep 17 · 19:55K. Kwiatkowski2.01119851J. Zelezik1.6671111113WSep 17 · 19:10D. Molenda1.3612311101J. Zelezik3.0014113123LSep 17 · 17:30J. Michalik2.0011911153J. Zelezik1.739117131WSep 15 · 01:50M. Karpiuk3.00971291J. Zelezik1.36111110113
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.