TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite Series
Starts 23:10Scheduled
Kacper Kwiatkowski
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 14–6Last 10Won last 1
Head to head
6 – 10
All 16 meetings · 37.5%
Last 10 · 4–6Same side
Jacek Zelezik
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 24–6Last 10Lost last 2
Both players are 4–6 over their last ten. The difference is the direction — Kacper Kwiatkowski arrives off a win, Jacek Zelezik off a loss, and the streak is one of the signals the engine reads.
Compare playersSame-day rematch · 6h before this match
Kwiatkowski beat Zelezik 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKwiatkowski 2.38 / Zelezik 1.53
TT Elite Series · #13169101
Kwiatkowski2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog37% won 67 of 181
Down 0–1, comes back22% 23 of 107
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 67
Zelezik1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 186 of 266
Up 2–0, closes it96% 107 of 112
Up 1–0, closes it81% 143 of 177
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKwiatkowski4wins
AwayZelezik6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZelezik leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKwiatkowski50%4 of 8
AwayZelezikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kwiatkowski8Zelezik2n = 10Kwiatkowski took 8 of 10
S2Kwiatkowski5Zelezik5n = 10split evenly
S3Kwiatkowski3Zelezik7n = 10Zelezik took 7 of 10
S4Kwiatkowski0Zelezik6n = 6Zelezik took 6 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away550%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKwiatkowskiZelezikK − ZBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match33.034.3−1.3per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKwiatkowskiZelezikBasisWin rate · lifetime115 / 265 vs 386 / 71443.4%54.1%115 / 265 vs 386 / 714Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match WinnerForecastThe edge lives in the pick, one screen up
No price history
Neither player has a record at this price yet, so there is no odds range to publish.
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 17:20K. Kwiatkowski44111164123J. Zelezik45941111102
WSep 18 · 01:55K. Kwiatkowski331111113J. Zelezik229670
LSep 17 · 19:55K. Kwiatkowski33119851J. Zelezik4071111113
WAug 26 · 01:55K. Kwiatkowski331111113J. Zelezik259970
LAug 25 · 19:55K. Kwiatkowski28113771J. Zelezik4291111113
LAug 19 · 22:35K. Kwiatkowski305113111J. Zelezik3811311133
WAug 19 · 15:00K. Kwiatkowski331111113J. Zelezik142840
LAug 18 · 23:30K. Kwiatkowski401188131J. Zelezik4471111153
LAug 18 · 19:10K. Kwiatkowski33116791J. Zelezik3961111113
LJul 30 · 21:00K. Kwiatkowski2371060J. Zelezik341112113
K. Kwiatkowski10
WSep 21 · 17:20K. Kwiatkowski2.50111164123J. Zelezik1.50941111102LSep 21 · 16:15M. Lewczuk2.10111164123K. Kwiatkowski1.67661111102WSep 21 · 15:25K. Kwiatkowski1.57111116113M. Karpiuk2.25791881WSep 18 · 04:20K. Kwiatkowski1.611311113J. Michalik2.2011370LSep 18 · 03:05K. Kwiatkowski1.6574120A. Krezel2.101111143WSep 18 · 01:55K. Kwiatkowski1.901111113J. Zelezik1.809670LSep 18 · 24:45H. Tkaczyk1.541111116113K. Kwiatkowski2.2313551192LSep 17 · 23:55K. Kwiatkowski1.50139118102A. Staniczek2.401111811123LSep 17 · 22:20K. Kwiatkowski2.751011461D. Molenda1.3712811113LSep 17 · 21:05K. Kwiatkowski1.751171110142A. Krezel1.90911812163
J. Zelezik10
LSep 21 · 17:20K. Kwiatkowski2.50111164123J. Zelezik1.50941111102LSep 21 · 16:35M. Baran2.381111113J. Zelezik1.532690WSep 21 · 15:00M. Lewczuk2.1013117572J. Zelezik1.671151111113WSep 18 · 04:40A. Krezel2.604780J. Zelezik1.341111113WSep 18 · 03:55A. Staniczek3.305850J. Zelezik1.211111113LSep 18 · 01:55K. Kwiatkowski1.901111113J. Zelezik1.809670LSep 18 · 01:10J. Michalik2.44611126143J. Zelezik1.451151011122LSep 17 · 23:30H. Tkaczyk1.671111113J. Zelezik1.998970LSep 17 · 22:40A. Krezel1.8571111113J. Zelezik1.80115551WSep 17 · 19:55K. Kwiatkowski2.01119851J. Zelezik1.6671111113
Upcoming Matches
K. Kwiatkowski
Sep 21 · 18:30K. Kwiatkowski2.20A. Zmijewski1.61—Sep 21 · 19:40K. Kwiatkowski1.53M. Baran2.38—Sep 21 · 21:20K. Kwiatkowski1.57M. Karpiuk2.25—Sep 21 · 22:10K. Kwiatkowski1.53M. Baran2.38—Sep 22 · 24:10K. Kwiatkowski2.20A. Zmijewski1.61—Sep 22 · 01:10K. Kwiatkowski1.73M. Lewczuk2.00—Sep 22 · 17:55K. Kwiatkowski—M. Karpiuk——Sep 22 · 18:45K. Kwiatkowski—M. Brunner——Sep 22 · 19:55K. Kwiatkowski—M. Baran——
J. Zelezik
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