TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Ziakun vs Maksym Hubenko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Oleksandr Ziakun
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210711114311311
Maksym Hubenko
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:08 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Ziakun above · Maksym Hubenko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 83 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 73.2%
83 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ziakun 14–46 Maksym Hubenko Oleksandr Ziakun has won 14 of their 60 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:08What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Hubenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
14-46 in 60
Hubenko
Correct
gap of 32 in 60, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1553 vs Hubenko 1688
Hubenko
Correct
both rated, 135 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 40% vs Hubenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 60% vs Hubenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun -1 · Hubenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Hubenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hubenko form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 3.00 / Hubenko 1.36
Signal prob.27% / 73%
Edge (Hubenko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13179631
Ziakun3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 91 of 257
Down 0–1, comes back21% 31 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 75
Hubenko1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 244 of 334
Up 2–0, closes it94% 124 of 132
Up 1–0, closes it83% 173 of 208
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun4wins
AwayHubenko6wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun50%2 of 4
AwayHubenko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun4Hubenko6n = 10Hubenko took 6 of 10
S2Ziakun6Hubenko4n = 10Ziakun took 6 of 10
S3Ziakun5Hubenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Ziakun2Hubenko6n = 8Hubenko took 6 of 8
S5Ziakun2Hubenko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunHubenkoZ − HBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match37.242.4−5.2per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunHubenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime362 / 760 vs 564 / 104947.6%53.8%362 / 760 vs 564 / 1049Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoZiakun 3.00/Hubenko 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.2%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 20 · 09:30O. Ziakun361114113M. Hubenko2891270
LSep 17 · 06:00O. Ziakun2135130M. Hubenko371111153
LSep 9 · 08:30O. Ziakun25117251M. Hubenko4071111113
LSep 2 · 10:30O. Ziakun358111151M. Hubenko4411139113
LAug 31 · 09:00O. Ziakun4211481182M. Hubenko46711116113
WAug 28 · 04:30O. Ziakun50111189113M. Hubenko4679111182
LAug 26 · 06:00O. Ziakun4171111662M. Hubenko48116911113
WAug 25 · 08:30O. Ziakun46111113113M. Hubenko411391181
WAug 21 · 10:30O. Ziakun43111136123M. Hubenko501171111102
LAug 19 · 10:30O. Ziakun33613771M. Hubenko44111111113
O. Ziakun10
LSep 23 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.0099111172D. Prylepa1.73111179113LSep 23 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.4471191192S. Miroshnychenko2.63119119113WSep 23 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.501113123O. Syksa1.50911100WSep 23 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.831111116113S. Maliuk1.8313941172LSep 22 · 10:30O. Lyman2.201011718143O. Ziakun1.611251116122LSep 22 · 09:30O. Ziakun1.91121311952O. Kurylenko1.801015611113WSep 22 · 08:30O. Ziakun1.401211113S. Miroshnychenko2.7510490WSep 22 · 07:00O. Ziakun1.83811611113S. Maliuk1.8311711492LSep 22 · 05:00O. Ziakun2.00511591D. Kuzmenko1.7311811113WSep 20 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov1.338111112112O. Ziakun3.25112414133
M. Hubenko10
WSep 23 · 11:00M. Hubenko1.4451111113S. Maliuk2.63118931LSep 23 · 08:00M. Hubenko1.4498111192O. Syksa2.63111187113LSep 23 · 07:00D. Prylepa2.638111110113M. Hubenko1.4411681242WSep 23 · 05:30M. Hubenko1.17191110113S. Miroshnychenko4.501781271WSep 22 · 17:00A. Vasylets2.385470M. Hubenko1.531111113LSep 22 · 16:30S. Chuhai1.401111113M. Hubenko2.755790WSep 22 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.538950M. Hubenko2.381111113LSep 22 · 14:00M. Hubenko2.3810470A. Lushchyk1.531211113LSep 22 · 13:00M. Hubenko2.7597111192S. Chuhai1.40111188113WSep 22 · 12:00M. Hubenko1.531111113A. Vasylets2.385480
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