TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Maksym Hubenko vs Serhii Maliuk 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Maksym Hubenko
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
511118119113––
Serhii Maliuk
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:07 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Hubenko above · Serhii Maliuk below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-3
Point 69 set 4, 11-3 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 68.5%
69 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Hubenko 26–14 Serhii Maliuk Serhii Maliuk has won 14 of their 40 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:07What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hubenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
26-14 in 40
Hubenko
Correct
gap of 12 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hubenko 1695 vs Maliuk 1501
Hubenko
Correct
both rated, 194 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hubenko 60% vs Maliuk 40%
Hubenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hubenko 50% vs Maliuk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hubenko +1 · Maliuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Hubenko)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubenko 1.44 / Maliuk 2.63
Signal prob.69% / 32%
Edge (Hubenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13179677
Hubenko1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 244 of 334
Up 2–0, closes it94% 124 of 132
Up 1–0, closes it83% 173 of 208
Maliuk2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog40% won 85 of 214
Down 0–1, comes back17% 22 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHubenko6wins
AwayMaliuk4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHubenko57.1%4 of 7
AwayMaliuk33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hubenko7Maliuk3n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10
S2Hubenko6Maliuk4n = 10Hubenko took 6 of 10
S3Hubenko8Maliuk2n = 10Hubenko took 8 of 10
S4Hubenko1Maliuk6n = 7Maliuk took 6 of 7
S5Hubenko2Maliuk2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHubenkoMaliukH − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.739.5+2.2per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubenkoMaliukBasisWin rate · lifetime564 / 1049 vs 265 / 53553.8%49.5%564 / 1049 vs 265 / 535Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoHubenko 1.44/Maliuk 2.63
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.5%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 05:00M. Hubenko26114471S. Maliuk3851111113
WSep 14 · 06:00M. Hubenko381111163S. Maliuk3189140
WSep 4 · 08:30M. Hubenko331111113S. Maliuk238690
WAug 26 · 05:00M. Hubenko521011127123S. Maliuk481251011102
WAug 25 · 05:00M. Hubenko4391211113S. Maliuk361110691
LAug 20 · 08:00M. Hubenko551110149112S. Maliuk502121211133
WAug 19 · 08:30M. Hubenko51119119113S. Maliuk4571181182
LAug 13 · 10:00M. Hubenko4291311272S. Maliuk511111711113
WAug 12 · 04:30M. Hubenko391117113S. Maliuk3061590
LAug 5 · 06:00M. Hubenko3811141031S. Maliuk4341612113
M. Hubenko10
WSep 23 · 09:00O. Ziakun3.0012711332M. Hubenko1.361011411113LSep 23 · 08:00M. Hubenko1.4498111192O. Syksa2.63111187113LSep 23 · 07:00D. Prylepa2.638111110113M. Hubenko1.4411681242WSep 23 · 05:30M. Hubenko1.17191110113S. Miroshnychenko4.501781271WSep 22 · 17:00A. Vasylets2.385470M. Hubenko1.531111113LSep 22 · 16:30S. Chuhai1.401111113M. Hubenko2.755790WSep 22 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.538950M. Hubenko2.381111113LSep 22 · 14:00M. Hubenko2.3810470A. Lushchyk1.531211113LSep 22 · 13:00M. Hubenko2.7597111192S. Chuhai1.40111188113WSep 22 · 12:00M. Hubenko1.531111113A. Vasylets2.385480
S. Maliuk10
LSep 23 · 10:00O. Syksa1.5751112113S. Maliuk2.251181071WSep 23 · 08:30D. Prylepa1.6711136782S. Maliuk2.109111111113WSep 23 · 06:30S. Miroshnychenko2.507640S. Maliuk1.501111113LSep 23 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.831111116113S. Maliuk1.8313941172LSep 22 · 11:00S. Maliuk1.447880S. Miroshnychenko2.631111113WSep 22 · 09:00O. Lyman2.509950S. Maliuk1.501111113WSep 22 · 08:00S. Maliuk1.8011611133D. Kuzmenko1.918118111LSep 22 · 07:00O. Ziakun1.83811611113S. Maliuk1.8311711492WSep 22 · 05:30S. Maliuk1.831111113O. Kurylenko1.835860WSep 21 · 11:00O. Lyman2.381396101S. Maliuk1.53111111123
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