TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Oleksandr Lyman
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
13119116111012––
Serhii Maliuk
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:08 and never touched — 62.0% is still 62.0%
Graded at full timeSerhii Maliuk to win
62.0%
62.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Lyman above · Serhii Maliuk below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 83 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Serhii Maliuk at 62.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Lyman 28–42 Serhii Maliuk Oleksandr Lyman has won 28 of their 70 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:08What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Maliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
28-42 in 70
Maliuk
Correct
gap of 14 in 70, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lyman 1407 vs Maliuk 1487
Maliuk
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lyman 40% vs Maliuk 60%
Maliuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lyman 40% vs Maliuk 60%
Maliuk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lyman -1 · Maliuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Clear lean (leans Maliuk)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLyman 2.38 / Maliuk 1.53
Signal prob.38% / 62%
Edge (Maliuk)+1.2pp
Setka Cup · #13166174
Lyman2.38
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog29% won 61 of 211
Down 0–1, comes back18% 22 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 75
Maliuk1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 66 of 103
Up 2–0, closes it92% 33 of 36
Up 1–0, closes it75% 49 of 65
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLyman5wins
AwayMaliuk5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLymann = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayMaliuk62.5%5 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lyman2Maliuk8n = 10Maliuk took 8 of 10
S2Lyman4Maliuk6n = 10Maliuk took 6 of 10
S3Lyman4Maliuk6n = 10Maliuk took 6 of 10
S4Lyman4Maliuk1n = 5Lyman took 4 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricLymanMaliukL − MBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match32.136.7−4.6per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLymanMaliukBasisWin rate · lifetime267 / 608 vs 259 / 52543.9%49.3%267 / 608 vs 259 / 525Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaliukLyman 2.38/Maliuk 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62%
Maliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Maliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 09:30O. Lyman4212116133S. Maliuk4110911111
WSep 15 · 09:30O. Lyman3951112113S. Maliuk371171091
LSep 11 · 05:00O. Lyman209650S. Maliuk331111113
WSep 10 · 11:30O. Lyman49911117113S. Maliuk4811991182
LSep 8 · 06:30O. Lyman2587100S. Maliuk341111123
LSep 4 · 10:00O. Lyman2351080S. Maliuk341112113
WSep 3 · 07:00O. Lyman4061211113S. Maliuk341110671
LSep 1 · 10:30O. Lyman197750S. Maliuk331111113
WAug 27 · 10:30O. Lyman4011711113S. Maliuk37911981
LAug 26 · 08:30O. Lyman2457120S. Maliuk361111143
O. Lyman10
LSep 21 · 09:00O. Syksa1.20111112113O. Lyman4.334131031WSep 21 · 08:00O. Lyman2.7512118113D. Kuzmenko1.401071191WSep 21 · 07:00D. Prylepa1.33310111162O. Lyman3.25111259113LSep 21 · 05:30O. Lyman2.00121111782O. Kurylenko1.73147911113LSep 18 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.6111127113O. Lyman2.209101171WSep 18 · 09:30O. Lyman2.5012116133S. Maliuk1.5010911111LSep 18 · 08:30O. Lyman3.0096111192D. Kuzmenko1.36111176113LSep 18 · 07:00O. Lyman2.1068130O. Kurylenko1.671111153LSep 18 · 05:00O. Lyman4.33811561O. Syksa1.2011911113WSep 17 · 11:30O. Lyman3.75911119153M. Hubenko1.25114911132
S. Maliuk10
WSep 21 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko1.83911491S. Maliuk1.8311911113LSep 21 · 08:30D. Prylepa1.671211113S. Maliuk2.1010560WSep 21 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.8310101331S. Maliuk1.83121211113WSep 21 · 04:30O. Syksa1.6771050S. Maliuk2.101112113LSep 18 · 11:30S. Maliuk2.204111110112O. Syksa1.61118912133LSep 18 · 09:30O. Lyman2.5012116133S. Maliuk1.5010911111LSep 18 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.8051112113S. Maliuk1.911161081WSep 18 · 06:30S. Maliuk2.001111113D. Kuzmenko1.736430WSep 18 · 05:30O. Kurylenko1.83711491S. Maliuk1.8311611113WSep 16 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.83121178122S. Maliuk1.831091111143
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.