TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Dmytro Prylepa
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
3111012115119611
Oleksandr Lyman
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:54 and never touched — 72.5% is still 72.5%
Graded at full timeDmytro Prylepa to win
72.5%
72.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingDmytro Prylepa above · Oleksandr Lyman below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 89 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Dmytro Prylepa at 72.5%
89 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Prylepa 24–9 Oleksandr Lyman Oleksandr Lyman has won 9 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:54What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Prylepa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-9 in 33
Prylepa
Wrong
gap of 15 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prylepa 1455 vs Lyman 1415
Prylepa
Wrong
both rated, 41 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prylepa 40% vs Lyman 20%
Prylepa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prylepa 40% vs Lyman 20%
Prylepa
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prylepa +1 · Lyman -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 73% — Strong (leans Prylepa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lyman form (20%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrylepa 1.33 / Lyman 3.25
Signal prob.73% / 28%
Edge (Prylepa)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13166328
Prylepa1.33
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 124 of 200
Up 2–0, closes it98% 59 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it86% 100 of 116
Lyman3.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog29% won 61 of 211
Down 0–1, comes back18% 22 of 124
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrylepa6wins
AwayLyman4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderPrylepa leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrylepa100%4 of 4
AwayLyman66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prylepa4Lyman6n = 10Lyman took 6 of 10
S2Prylepa5Lyman5n = 10split evenly
S3Prylepa7Lyman3n = 10Prylepa took 7 of 10
S4Prylepa8Lyman0n = 8Prylepa took 8 of 8
S5Prylepa2Lyman4n = 6Lyman took 4 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrylepaLymanP − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match41.241.1+0.1per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrylepaLymanBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 802 vs 267 / 60749%44%393 / 802 vs 267 / 607Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrylepaPrylepa 1.33/Lyman 3.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.5%
Prylepa · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Lyman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 07:00D. Prylepa41310111162O. Lyman48111259113
LSep 10 · 06:30D. Prylepa4238111192O. Lyman48111169113
WSep 6 · 11:00D. Prylepa4181111113O. Lyman34117881
WSep 4 · 08:00D. Prylepa3911611113O. Lyman29711651
WAug 20 · 10:30D. Prylepa47611811113O. Lyman4111411692
LJun 18 · 11:00D. Prylepa40101121522O. Lyman561291113113
WJun 15 · 10:30D. Prylepa51128811123O. Lyman511011119102
WJun 10 · 07:00D. Prylepa371511113O. Lyman3013890
WJun 3 · 08:00D. Prylepa371111153O. Lyman2777130
LMay 30 · 15:00D. Prylepa3782111152O. Lyman47111159113
D. Prylepa10
WSep 21 · 05:00D. Prylepa1.57118811113D. Kuzmenko2.2561111772LSep 19 · 17:35D. Prylepa2.385850V. Tatarnykov1.531111113LSep 19 · 16:00D. Prylepa2.507650M. Hubenko1.50111183LSep 19 · 15:00S. Aristarkhov1.4011911123D. Prylepa2.757116101WSep 19 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov1.504118101D. Prylepa2.5011911102WSep 19 · 12:30A. Vasylets1.671071131D. Prylepa2.1012112113LSep 14 · 10:30M. Hubenko1.441111113D. Prylepa2.633990LSep 14 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.67461191O. Kurylenko2.1011117113LSep 14 · 08:30D. Prylepa2.636980O. Syksa1.441111113WSep 14 · 07:00D. Prylepa1.531115911113D. Kuzmenko2.38131311732
O. Lyman10
WSep 21 · 08:00O. Lyman2.7512118113D. Kuzmenko1.401071191LSep 21 · 05:30O. Lyman2.00121111782O. Kurylenko1.73147911113LSep 18 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.6111127113O. Lyman2.209101171WSep 18 · 09:30O. Lyman2.5012116133S. Maliuk1.5010911111LSep 18 · 08:30O. Lyman3.0096111192D. Kuzmenko1.36111176113LSep 18 · 07:00O. Lyman2.1068130O. Kurylenko1.671111153LSep 18 · 05:00O. Lyman4.33811561O. Syksa1.2011911113WSep 17 · 11:30O. Lyman3.75911119153M. Hubenko1.25114911132LSep 17 · 09:30O. Syksa1.179111111113O. Lyman4.5011461392LSep 17 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.571851012113O. Lyman2.251611121092
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