TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155081
Played Sep 19Finished
Volodymyr Tatarnykov
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 2
Set by set
4111198111010––
Dmytro Prylepa
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:11 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Tatarnykov to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Tatarnykov above · Dmytro Prylepa below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 10-10
Point 74 set 4, 10-10 — our read held Volodymyr Tatarnykov at 66.1%
74 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Tatarnykov 25–19 Dmytro Prylepa Dmytro Prylepa has won 19 of their 44 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:11What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Tatarnykov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-19 in 44
Tatarnykov
Wrong
gap of 6 in 44, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tatarnykov 1589 vs Prylepa 1474
Tatarnykov
Wrong
both rated, 115 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tatarnykov 40% vs Prylepa 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tatarnykov 40% vs Prylepa 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Tatarnykov -1 · Prylepa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Tatarnykov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tatarnykov form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTatarnykov 1.50 / Prylepa 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Tatarnykov)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13155081
Tatarnykov1.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite68% won 49 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it80% 32 of 40
Prylepa2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 49 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back10% 10 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTatarnykov6wins
AwayPrylepa4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTatarnykov leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTatarnykov75%6 of 8
AwayPrylepan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tatarnykov8Prylepa2n = 10Tatarnykov took 8 of 10
S2Tatarnykov8Prylepa2n = 10Tatarnykov took 8 of 10
S3Tatarnykov6Prylepa4n = 10Tatarnykov took 6 of 10
S4Tatarnykov1Prylepa5n = 6Prylepa took 5 of 6
S5Tatarnykov2Prylepa3n = 5Prylepa took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricTatarnykovPrylepaT − PBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.736.0+4.7per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTatarnykovPrylepaBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 396 vs 393 / 79952.8%49.2%209 / 396 vs 393 / 799Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TatarnykovTatarnykov 1.50/Prylepa 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.1%
Tatarnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–2
Prylepa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 09:00V. Tatarnykov4111116762D. Prylepa49791111113
WAug 23 · 09:00V. Tatarnykov331111113D. Prylepa207490
WJul 25 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov481110511113D. Prylepa4661211892
WJul 11 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov331111113D. Prylepa226790
WJun 13 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov331111113D. Prylepa165560
LMay 9 · 17:40V. Tatarnykov53715111282D. Prylepa531113414113
LMay 9 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov49912117102D. Prylepa501110611123
LMay 2 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov351110771D. Prylepa4281211113
WApr 25 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov331111113D. Prylepa184950
WApr 19 · 09:00V. Tatarnykov49111197113D. Prylepa4459111182
V. Tatarnykov10
LSep 19 · 13:00V. Tatarnykov2.00871171M. Hubenko1.7311118113WSep 6 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov2.00812114133M. Hubenko1.731110911112LSep 6 · 09:00V. Tatarnykov1.5011116762D. Prylepa2.50791111113LSep 6 · 07:30V. Tatarnykov2.251111881S. Aristarkhov1.5713311113WSep 6 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov1.5311118113O. Syksa2.38881151LSep 6 · 04:30V. Tatarnykov1.14681111O. Lyman5.0011114113WSep 5 · 17:39D. Kuzmenko3.401399101V. Tatarnykov1.30111111123WSep 5 · 16:30V. Tatarnykov1.50611118113A. Vasylets2.5011671162LSep 5 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov2.38111831S. Aristarkhov1.531191163LSep 5 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov2.0010960M. Hubenko1.731211113
D. Prylepa10
LSep 19 · 15:00S. Aristarkhov1.4011911123D. Prylepa2.757116101WSep 19 · 12:30A. Vasylets1.671071131D. Prylepa2.1012112113LSep 14 · 10:30M. Hubenko1.441111113D. Prylepa2.633990LSep 14 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.67461191O. Kurylenko2.1011117113LSep 14 · 08:30D. Prylepa2.636980O. Syksa1.441111113WSep 14 · 07:00D. Prylepa1.531115911113D. Kuzmenko2.38131311732WSep 14 · 05:00D. Prylepa1.7311116113S. Maliuk2.00961171LSep 13 · 16:30A. Vasylets1.7312117113D. Prylepa2.001021141LSep 13 · 15:00D. Prylepa2.50341161M. Hubenko1.501111862WSep 6 · 09:00V. Tatarnykov1.5011116762D. Prylepa2.50791111113
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