TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155841
Played Sep 19Finished
Volodymyr Tatarnykov
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
811711118711––
Maksym Hubenko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:07 and never touched — 54.9% is still 54.9%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
54.9%
54.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Tatarnykov above · Maksym Hubenko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 74 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 54.9%
74 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Tatarnykov 16–20 Maksym Hubenko Volodymyr Tatarnykov has won 16 of their 36 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:07What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Hubenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-20 in 36
Hubenko
Correct
gap of 4 in 36, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tatarnykov 1597 vs Hubenko 1706
Hubenko
Correct
both rated, 108 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tatarnykov 40% vs Hubenko 60%
Hubenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tatarnykov 40% vs Hubenko 80%
Hubenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tatarnykov +1 · Hubenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hubenko) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTatarnykov 2.00 / Hubenko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hubenko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13155841
Tatarnykov2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 13 days ago (Sep 06) · back after a break
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog31% won 22 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back13% 6 of 46
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 30
Hubenko1.73
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 239 of 327
Up 2–0, closes it94% 120 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it83% 169 of 204
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTatarnykov7wins
AwayHubenko3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderTatarnykov leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTatarnykov75%3 of 4
AwayHubenko33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tatarnykov4Hubenko6n = 10Hubenko took 6 of 10
S2Tatarnykov3Hubenko7n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10
S3Tatarnykov6Hubenko4n = 10Tatarnykov took 6 of 10
S4Tatarnykov5Hubenko2n = 7Tatarnykov took 5 of 7
S5Tatarnykov4Hubenko0n = 4Tatarnykov took 4 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTatarnykovHubenkoT − HBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match39.140.2−1.1per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTatarnykovHubenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime215 / 407 vs 555 / 103952.8%53.4%215 / 407 vs 555 / 1039Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoTatarnykov 2.00/Hubenko 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.1%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov48812114133M. Hubenko521110911112
LSep 5 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov2510960M. Hubenko341211113
WAug 9 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov472111112113M. Hubenko52111391092
LAug 8 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov32116961M. Hubenko4071111113
WJul 26 · 08:30V. Tatarnykov3731111123M. Hubenko371197101
WJul 11 · 17:15V. Tatarnykov331111113M. Hubenko228680
WJul 11 · 14:30V. Tatarnykov531210812113M. Hubenko511012111082
WJun 27 · 17:15V. Tatarnykov4313811113M. Hubenko361111771
WJun 27 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov529101111113M. Hubenko4511125892
LJun 21 · 07:30V. Tatarnykov219840M. Hubenko331111113
V. Tatarnykov10
LSep 19 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov1.504118101D. Prylepa2.5011911102WSep 6 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov2.00812114133M. Hubenko1.731110911112LSep 6 · 09:00V. Tatarnykov1.5011116762D. Prylepa2.50791111113LSep 6 · 07:30V. Tatarnykov2.251111881S. Aristarkhov1.5713311113WSep 6 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov1.5311118113O. Syksa2.38881151LSep 6 · 04:30V. Tatarnykov1.14681111O. Lyman5.0011114113WSep 5 · 17:39D. Kuzmenko3.401399101V. Tatarnykov1.30111111123WSep 5 · 16:30V. Tatarnykov1.50611118113A. Vasylets2.5011671162LSep 5 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov2.38111831S. Aristarkhov1.531191163LSep 5 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov2.0010960M. Hubenko1.731211113
M. Hubenko10
WSep 19 · 12:00S. Aristarkhov1.83114871M. Hubenko1.839111193LSep 17 · 11:30O. Lyman3.75911119153M. Hubenko1.25114911132WSep 17 · 10:00M. Hubenko1.17111110113S. Miroshnychenko4.50481211LSep 17 · 08:00O. Kurylenko3.251111910153M. Hubenko1.33751112132WSep 17 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.6335130M. Hubenko1.441111153WSep 17 · 05:00O. Syksa2.2511911242M. Hubenko1.57711711113WSep 16 · 10:30O. Syksa2.50121315562M. Hubenko1.5010111711113WSep 16 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.361111133O. Kurylenko3.0064110LSep 6 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov2.00812114133M. Hubenko1.731110911112WSep 5 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov2.0010960M. Hubenko1.731211113
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