TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142026
Played Sep 17Finished
Oleh Kurylenko
Home
3.25
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
11711591110121513
Maksym Hubenko
Away
1.33
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:26 and never touched — 75.1% is still 75.1%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
75.1%
75.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Kurylenko above · Maksym Hubenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 10-12
Set 5 · 15-13
Point 104 set 5, 15-13 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 75.1%
104 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Kurylenko 20–73 Maksym Hubenko Oleh Kurylenko has won 20 of their 93 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:26What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.33 (71%)
Hubenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-73 in 93
Hubenko
Wrong
gap of 53 in 93, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurylenko 1413 vs Hubenko 1704
Hubenko
Wrong
both rated, 291 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurylenko 20% vs Hubenko 100%
Hubenko
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurylenko 20% vs Hubenko 90%
Hubenko
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurylenko -4 · Hubenko +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 77% — Strong (leans Hubenko) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hubenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (75%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurylenko 3.25 / Hubenko 1.33
Signal prob.23% / 77%
Edge (Hubenko)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13142026
Kurylenko3.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 67 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back16% 22 of 137
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 80
Hubenko1.33
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite73% won 236 of 322
Up 2–0, closes it94% 118 of 126
Up 1–0, closes it83% 167 of 201
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurylenko1wins
AwayHubenko9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurylenko20%1 of 5
AwayHubenko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurylenko5Hubenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Kurylenko3Hubenko7n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10
S3Kurylenko0Hubenko10n = 10Hubenko took 10 of 10
S4Kurylenko3Hubenko3n = 6split evenly
S5Kurylenko0Hubenko3n = 3Hubenko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurylenkoHubenkoK − HBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match35.041.3−6.3per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurylenkoHubenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime490 / 998 vs 562 / 105149.1%53.5%490 / 998 vs 562 / 1051Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoKurylenko 3.25/Hubenko 1.33
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
77.2%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kurylenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 09:30O. Kurylenko2164110M. Hubenko351111133
LSep 14 · 07:30O. Kurylenko355118111M. Hubenko4211711133
LSep 4 · 09:30O. Kurylenko44144511102M. Hubenko541211118123
LSep 2 · 07:00O. Kurylenko47119101162M. Hubenko48811126113
LAug 31 · 08:00O. Kurylenko26104120M. Hubenko371211143
LAug 25 · 07:00O. Kurylenko4611116992M. Hubenko49791111113
LAug 21 · 07:00O. Kurylenko2811980M. Hubenko351311113
WAug 19 · 09:30O. Kurylenko44111111113M. Hubenko37691391
LAug 17 · 07:00O. Kurylenko249960M. Hubenko331111113
LAug 13 · 11:30O. Kurylenko351112661M. Hubenko4371411113
O. Kurylenko10
WSep 17 · 09:00O. Ziakun2.004990O. Kurylenko1.731111113LSep 17 · 07:00O. Syksa1.61981111113O. Kurylenko2.2011117962LSep 17 · 05:30O. Kurylenko1.67781171O. Lyman2.1011118113LSep 16 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.83121178122S. Maliuk1.831091111143LSep 16 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.361111133O. Kurylenko3.0064110WSep 16 · 07:30O. Syksa1.6111960O. Kurylenko2.201311113LSep 16 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.80511551D. Kuzmenko1.9111911113LSep 16 · 05:30A. Vasylets1.259111814143O. Kurylenko3.7511131612122LSep 14 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.80118281S. Maliuk1.9171111113WSep 14 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.67461191O. Kurylenko2.1011117113
M. Hubenko10
WSep 17 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.6335130M. Hubenko1.441111153WSep 17 · 05:00O. Syksa2.2511911242M. Hubenko1.57711711113WSep 16 · 10:30O. Syksa2.50121315562M. Hubenko1.5010111711113WSep 16 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.361111133O. Kurylenko3.0064110WSep 16 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.368121111113D. Kuzmenko3.0011145232WSep 16 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.5011115113A. Vasylets2.50491191LSep 16 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.44114471S. Maliuk2.6351111113WSep 14 · 10:30M. Hubenko1.441111113D. Prylepa2.633990WSep 14 · 09:00M. Hubenko1.331210511113D. Kuzmenko3.25101211222WSep 14 · 07:30M. Hubenko1.3311711133O. Kurylenko3.255118111
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