TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13143082
Played Sep 17Finished
Oleh Kurylenko
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711811118711––
Oleksandr Lyman
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:41 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeOleh Kurylenko to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Kurylenko above · Oleksandr Lyman below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 74 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Oleh Kurylenko at 56.2%
74 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Kurylenko 51–35 Oleksandr Lyman Oleksandr Lyman has won 35 of their 86 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:41What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kurylenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
51-35 in 86
Kurylenko
Wrong
gap of 16 in 86, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurylenko 1430 vs Lyman 1443
Lyman
Correct
both rated, 12 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurylenko 20% vs Lyman 60%
Lyman
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurylenko 30% vs Lyman 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurylenko -2 · Lyman +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kurylenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lyman form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurylenko 1.67 / Lyman 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Kurylenko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13143082
Kurylenko1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite60% won 154 of 259
Up 2–0, closes it89% 71 of 80
Up 1–0, closes it79% 107 of 135
Lyman2.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog28% won 58 of 208
Down 0–1, comes back17% 21 of 123
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurylenko4wins
AwayLyman6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLyman leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurylenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayLyman75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurylenko2Lyman8n = 10Lyman took 8 of 10
S2Kurylenko4Lyman6n = 10Lyman took 6 of 10
S3Kurylenko5Lyman5n = 10split evenly
S4Kurylenko3Lyman3n = 6split evenly
S5Kurylenko2Lyman1n = 3Kurylenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurylenkoLymanK − LBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match33.738.2−4.5per matchSweeps13−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurylenkoLymanBasisWin rate · lifetime490 / 997 vs 274 / 61849.2%44.3%490 / 997 vs 274 / 618Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KurylenkoKurylenko 1.67/Lyman 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Kurylenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lyman won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 11 · 11:30O. Kurylenko48114913113O. Lyman50811111192
LSep 10 · 05:30O. Kurylenko25611171O. Lyman3911116113
LSep 8 · 11:00O. Kurylenko54820111142O. Lyman571118134113
LSep 4 · 11:30O. Kurylenko184860O. Lyman331111113
WSep 3 · 05:30O. Kurylenko46411119113O. Lyman4311571192
LAug 27 · 09:00O. Kurylenko327101141O. Lyman331112553
LAug 25 · 09:00O. Kurylenko1981010O. Lyman341112113
WAug 19 · 11:30O. Kurylenko3851111113O. Lyman33118681
WJun 17 · 05:30O. Kurylenko381413113O. Lyman27121140
LJun 12 · 06:30O. Kurylenko197570O. Lyman331111113
O. Kurylenko10
LSep 16 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.83121178122S. Maliuk1.831091111143LSep 16 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.361111133O. Kurylenko3.0064110WSep 16 · 07:30O. Syksa1.6111960O. Kurylenko2.201311113LSep 16 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.80511551D. Kuzmenko1.9111911113LSep 16 · 05:30A. Vasylets1.259111814143O. Kurylenko3.7511131612122LSep 14 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.80118281S. Maliuk1.9171111113WSep 14 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.67461191O. Kurylenko2.1011117113LSep 14 · 07:30M. Hubenko1.3311711133O. Kurylenko3.255118111LSep 14 · 06:30O. Kurylenko2.1011128762O. Syksa1.674101111113WSep 14 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.00711571O. Kurylenko1.7311611113
O. Lyman10
LSep 17 · 06:30O. Lyman1.36911718122S. Miroshnychenko3.001181116143WSep 15 · 11:30O. Lyman1.281111133V. Ziakun3.5077110WSep 15 · 09:30S. Maliuk1.501171091O. Lyman2.5051112113LSep 15 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.611112133O. Lyman2.20910110LSep 15 · 06:30O. Lyman3.4071371152D. Kuzmenko1.301111119113WSep 15 · 05:30S. Miroshnychenko3.00912991O. Lyman1.36111011113LSep 11 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.61114913113O. Lyman2.20811111192LSep 11 · 10:00O. Lyman4.501196101O. Syksa1.1771111123LSep 11 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko1.3011119113O. Lyman3.40861151LSep 11 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.571511113O. Lyman2.2513970
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