TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142673
Played Sep 17Finished
Oleksandr Lyman
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
91111871118161214
Serhii Miroshnychenko
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:12 and never touched — 73.1% is still 73.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Lyman to win
73.1%
73.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Lyman above · Serhii Miroshnychenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 18-16
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 117 set 5, 12-14 — our read held Oleksandr Lyman at 73.1%
117 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Lyman 70–14 Serhii Miroshnychenko Serhii Miroshnychenko has won 14 of their 84 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:12What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Lyman
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
70-14 in 84
Lyman
Wrong
gap of 56 in 84, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lyman 1441 vs Miroshnychenko 1381
Lyman
Wrong
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lyman 60% vs Miroshnychenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lyman 40% vs Miroshnychenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lyman +3 · Miroshnychenko -2
Lyman
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Lyman) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miroshnychenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLyman 1.36 / Miroshnychenko 3.00
Signal prob.72% / 28%
Edge (Lyman)+3.5pp
Setka Cup · #13142673
Lyman1.36
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite75% won 33 of 44
Up 2–0, closes it100% 13 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it88% 22 of 25
Miroshnychenko3.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog23% won 74 of 316
Down 0–1, comes back12% 24 of 199
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLyman8wins
AwayMiroshnychenko2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLyman leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLyman100%6 of 6
AwayMiroshnychenko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lyman6Miroshnychenko4n = 10Lyman took 6 of 10
S2Lyman4Miroshnychenko6n = 10Miroshnychenko took 6 of 10
S3Lyman7Miroshnychenko3n = 10Lyman took 7 of 10
S4Lyman7Miroshnychenko1n = 8Lyman took 7 of 8
S5Lyman2Miroshnychenko1n = 3Lyman took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLymanMiroshnychenkoL − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.838.0+3.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLymanMiroshnychenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime274 / 619 vs 310 / 86144.3%36%274 / 619 vs 310 / 861Avg sets wonper match1.91.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.534.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LymanLyman 1.36/Miroshnychenko 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
72.3%
Lyman · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Miroshnychenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 06:30O. Lyman57911718122S. Miroshnychenko601181116143
WSep 15 · 05:30O. Lyman43111011113S. Miroshnychenko39912991
WSep 10 · 07:30O. Lyman4011711113S. Miroshnychenko33811681
WSep 8 · 10:00O. Lyman351113113S. Miroshnychenko2251160
WSep 3 · 08:00O. Lyman54711146163S. Miroshnychenko531151211142
WSep 1 · 07:00O. Lyman3911611113S. Miroshnychenko31611681
WAug 20 · 04:30O. Lyman3811511113S. Miroshnychenko31611591
LJun 18 · 10:00O. Lyman248790S. Miroshnychenko331111113
WJun 17 · 06:30O. Lyman4211911113S. Miroshnychenko35911781
WJun 15 · 09:00O. Lyman46611711113S. Miroshnychenko4311511882
O. Lyman10
WSep 17 · 05:30O. Kurylenko1.67781171O. Lyman2.1011118113WSep 15 · 11:30O. Lyman1.281111133V. Ziakun3.5077110WSep 15 · 09:30S. Maliuk1.501171091O. Lyman2.5051112113LSep 15 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.611112133O. Lyman2.20910110LSep 15 · 06:30O. Lyman3.4071371152D. Kuzmenko1.301111119113WSep 15 · 05:30S. Miroshnychenko3.00912991O. Lyman1.36111011113LSep 11 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.61114913113O. Lyman2.20811111192LSep 11 · 10:00O. Lyman4.501196101O. Syksa1.1771111123LSep 11 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko1.3011119113O. Lyman3.40861151LSep 11 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.571511113O. Lyman2.2513970
S. Miroshnychenko10
LSep 17 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.44139128113S. Miroshnychenko2.631111101182LSep 16 · 17:30S. Miroshnychenko1.131181171I. Torhachov5.5071113113WSep 16 · 16:00R. Boklah4.001111251S. Miroshnychenko1.2213511113WSep 16 · 14:30V. Ziakun3.006880S. Miroshnychenko1.361111113WSep 16 · 13:00I. Torhachov5.007580S. Miroshnychenko1.141111113LSep 16 · 12:00S. Priadko5.0011114123S. Miroshnychenko1.148911101LSep 15 · 11:00S. Miroshnychenko2.75611891D. Kuzmenko1.4011211113LSep 15 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.40119118113S. Miroshnychenko2.7571161162WSep 15 · 08:00S. Miroshnychenko1.40111011113V. Ziakun2.75412881LSep 15 · 05:30S. Miroshnychenko3.00912991O. Lyman1.36111011113
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