TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13130365
Played Sep 15Finished
Serhii Miroshnychenko
Home
2.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
611112811911––
Dmitro Kuzmenko
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:09 and never touched — 66.1% is still 66.1%
Graded at full timeDmitro Kuzmenko to win
66.1%
66.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Miroshnychenko above · Dmitro Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-2
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 69 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Dmitro Kuzmenko at 66.1%
69 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Miroshnychenko 45–73 Dmitro Kuzmenko Serhii Miroshnychenko has won 45 of their 118 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:09What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Kuzmenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-73 in 118
Kuzmenko
Correct
gap of 28 in 118, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Miroshnychenko 1376 vs Kuzmenko 1589
Kuzmenko
Correct
both rated, 213 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Miroshnychenko 40% vs Kuzmenko 80%
Kuzmenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Miroshnychenko 40% vs Kuzmenko 60%
Kuzmenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Miroshnychenko -1 · Kuzmenko +3
Kuzmenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Clear lean (leans Kuzmenko) · live re-read · sealed at 66% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMiroshnychenko 2.75 / Kuzmenko 1.40
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Kuzmenko)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13130365
Miroshnychenko2.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog23% won 74 of 317
Down 0–1, comes back13% 25 of 199
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 108
Kuzmenko1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 96 of 142
Up 2–0, closes it93% 50 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it81% 72 of 89
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMiroshnychenko5wins
AwayKuzmenko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMiroshnychenko66.7%2 of 3
AwayKuzmenko57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Miroshnychenko3Kuzmenko7n = 10Kuzmenko took 7 of 10
S2Miroshnychenko6Kuzmenko4n = 10Miroshnychenko took 6 of 10
S3Miroshnychenko6Kuzmenko4n = 10Miroshnychenko took 6 of 10
S4Miroshnychenko3Kuzmenko6n = 9Kuzmenko took 6 of 9
S5Miroshnychenko3Kuzmenko1n = 4Miroshnychenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMiroshnychenkoKuzmenkoM − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match39.742.0−2.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMiroshnychenkoKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime307 / 858 vs 382 / 92035.8%41.5%307 / 858 vs 382 / 920Avg sets wonper match1.61.8per matchAvg pointsper match34.936.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmenkoMiroshnychenko 2.75/Kuzmenko 1.40
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
69.9%
Kuzmenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kuzmenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 18 · 07:30S. Miroshnychenko31481181D. Kuzmenko4211119113
LAug 14 · 04:30S. Miroshnychenko45118312112D. Kuzmenko516111110133
LAug 11 · 06:30S. Miroshnychenko333121081D. Kuzmenko44111012113
WAug 10 · 07:30S. Miroshnychenko46116117113D. Kuzmenko4581191162
WAug 6 · 08:00S. Miroshnychenko48711116133D. Kuzmenko44115611112
LAug 5 · 06:30S. Miroshnychenko28511661D. Kuzmenko4011711113
WJul 30 · 08:00S. Miroshnychenko411114163D. Kuzmenko34812140
LJul 29 · 06:00S. Miroshnychenko26651141D. Kuzmenko4211119113
WJul 23 · 05:00S. Miroshnychenko4391112113D. Kuzmenko381191081
WJul 22 · 10:00S. Miroshnychenko561411911113D. Kuzmenko4016411452
S. Miroshnychenko10
LSep 15 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.40119118113S. Miroshnychenko2.7571161162WSep 15 · 08:00S. Miroshnychenko1.40111011113V. Ziakun2.75412881WSep 15 · 07:00S. Maliuk1.3310730S. Miroshnychenko3.251211113LSep 15 · 05:30S. Miroshnychenko3.00912991O. Lyman1.36111011113LSep 10 · 10:30S. Miroshnychenko3.401146101O. Syksa1.3061111123LSep 10 · 09:00S. Miroshnychenko2.635111031O. Kurylenko1.4411612113LSep 10 · 07:30S. Miroshnychenko3.00811681O. Lyman1.3611711113LSep 10 · 06:00S. Miroshnychenko2.751139121S. Maliuk1.4091111143WSep 10 · 04:30S. Miroshnychenko3.251111113D. Prylepa1.339890WSep 9 · 17:29S. Miroshnychenko1.171111113I. Torhachov4.507250
D. Kuzmenko10
WSep 15 · 10:00V. Ziakun3.503790D. Kuzmenko1.281111113WSep 15 · 08:30S. Maliuk2.105890D. Kuzmenko1.671111113WSep 15 · 06:30O. Lyman3.4071371152D. Kuzmenko1.301111119113LSep 15 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.1011213113D. Kuzmenko1.679111141WSep 14 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko2.381211123O. Syksa1.53109100LSep 14 · 09:00M. Hubenko1.331210511113D. Kuzmenko3.25101211222WSep 14 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko1.7311117113S. Maliuk2.00851161LSep 14 · 07:00D. Prylepa1.531115911113D. Kuzmenko2.38131311732LSep 14 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.00711571O. Kurylenko1.7311611113WSep 11 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko2.1091111133O. Syksa1.671159111
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