TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136654
Played Sep 16Finished
Andrii Vasylets
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
9111113181614121412
Oleh Kurylenko
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:59 and never touched — 81.3% is still 81.3%
Graded at full timeAndrii Vasylets to win
81.3%
81.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Vasylets above · Oleh Kurylenko below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 18-16
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 14-12
Point 130 set 5, 14-12 — our read held Andrii Vasylets at 81.3%
130 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Vasylets 29–4 Oleh Kurylenko Oleh Kurylenko has won 4 of their 33 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:59What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Vasylets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
29-4 in 33
Vasylets
Correct
gap of 25 in 33, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vasylets 1665 vs Kurylenko 1446
Vasylets
Correct
both rated, 219 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasylets 80% vs Kurylenko 40%
Vasylets
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasylets 70% vs Kurylenko 40%
Vasylets
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasylets +4 · Kurylenko -1
Vasylets
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Vasylets)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurylenko form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasylets 1.25 / Kurylenko 3.75
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Vasylets)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13136654
Vasylets1.25
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite53% won 27 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it74% 23 of 31
Kurylenko3.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog30% won 66 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back16% 22 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVasylets10wins
AwayKurylenko0wins
1 of 10 to a deciderVasylets leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVasylets100%8 of 8
AwayKurylenkon = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vasylets8Kurylenko2n = 10Vasylets took 8 of 10
S2Vasylets9Kurylenko1n = 10Vasylets took 9 of 10
S3Vasylets6Kurylenko4n = 10Vasylets took 6 of 10
S4Vasylets6Kurylenko0n = 6Vasylets took 6 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVasyletsKurylenkoV − KBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match39.826.8+13.0per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasyletsKurylenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime234 / 522 vs 492 / 99844.8%49.3%234 / 522 vs 492 / 998Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VasyletsVasylets 1.25/Kurylenko 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.3%
Vasylets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vasylets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 05:30A. Vasylets4011117113O. Kurylenko30951151
WAug 19 · 05:30A. Vasylets517111111113O. Kurylenko3611513342
WMay 30 · 14:30A. Vasylets331111113O. Kurylenko165740
WMar 28 · 15:30A. Vasylets4211119113O. Kurylenko29761151
WJan 20 · 18:12A. Vasylets351112123O. Kurylenko21110100
WJan 20 · 17:00A. Vasylets331111113O. Kurylenko207850
WDec 4 · 13:00A. Vasylets4011711113O. Kurylenko26611631
WNov 12 · 17:56A. Vasylets4212111183O. Kurylenko32148461
WNov 12 · 15:30A. Vasylets49111112153O. Kurylenko397514131
WNov 5 · 14:30A. Vasylets331111113O. Kurylenko196490
A. Vasylets10
WSep 13 · 17:35O. Syksa1.83171151A. Vasylets1.8311119113WSep 13 · 16:30A. Vasylets1.7312117113D. Prylepa2.001021141WSep 13 · 15:30A. Vasylets1.911111811113O. Syksa1.8061311332WSep 13 · 14:00A. Vasylets2.5011611793M. Hubenko1.5051161172LSep 13 · 13:00A. Vasylets2.50771181S. Aristarkhov1.5011115103WSep 9 · 11:30A. Vasylets1.91811174113O. Syksa1.80116151192WSep 9 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.5312117882A. Vasylets2.381081111113WSep 9 · 07:30D. Kuzmenko2.25641161A. Vasylets1.5711116113LSep 9 · 06:30A. Vasylets1.44731151O. Ziakun2.6311115113LSep 9 · 05:30S. Chuhai1.501111113A. Vasylets2.505740
O. Kurylenko10
LSep 16 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.80511551D. Kuzmenko1.9111911113LSep 14 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.80118281S. Maliuk1.9171111113WSep 14 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.67461191O. Kurylenko2.1011117113LSep 14 · 07:30M. Hubenko1.3311711133O. Kurylenko3.255118111LSep 14 · 06:30O. Kurylenko2.1011128762O. Syksa1.674101111113WSep 14 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.00711571O. Kurylenko1.7311611113WSep 11 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.61114913113O. Lyman2.20811111192LSep 11 · 09:30S. Maliuk1.911111113O. Kurylenko1.807870LSep 11 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.911181112113O. Kurylenko1.80131191062WSep 11 · 06:30O. Kurylenko2.001381113163O. Syksa1.731111315142
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