TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136559
Played Sep 16Finished
Maksym Hubenko
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1161141311––––
Oleh Kurylenko
Away
3.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:41 and never touched — 73.2% is still 73.2%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
73.2%
73.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Hubenko above · Oleh Kurylenko below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 56 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 73.2%
56 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Hubenko 73–20 Oleh Kurylenko Oleh Kurylenko has won 20 of their 93 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:41What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Hubenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
73-20 in 93
Hubenko
Correct
gap of 53 in 93, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hubenko 1661 vs Kurylenko 1448
Hubenko
Correct
both rated, 213 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hubenko 80% vs Kurylenko 40%
Hubenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hubenko 70% vs Kurylenko 40%
Hubenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hubenko +2 · Kurylenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 75% — Strong (leans Hubenko) · live re-read · sealed at 73% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubenko 1.36 / Kurylenko 3.00
Signal prob.75% / 25%
Edge (Hubenko)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13136559
Hubenko1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite74% won 236 of 321
Up 2–0, closes it94% 118 of 126
Up 1–0, closes it84% 167 of 200
Kurylenko3.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog30% won 66 of 219
Down 0–1, comes back16% 22 of 139
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 82
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHubenko9wins
AwayKurylenko1wins
3 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHubenko100%5 of 5
AwayKurylenko20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hubenko5Kurylenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Hubenko7Kurylenko3n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10
S3Hubenko10Kurylenko0n = 10Hubenko took 10 of 10
S4Hubenko3Kurylenko3n = 6split evenly
S5Hubenko3Kurylenko0n = 3Hubenko took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHubenkoKurylenkoH − KBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.335.0+6.3per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubenkoKurylenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime559 / 1048 vs 491 / 99853.3%49.2%559 / 1048 vs 491 / 998Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoHubenko 1.36/Kurylenko 3.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
75.1%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 09:30M. Hubenko351111133O. Kurylenko2164110
WSep 14 · 07:30M. Hubenko4211711133O. Kurylenko355118111
WSep 4 · 09:30M. Hubenko541211118123O. Kurylenko44144511102
WSep 2 · 07:00M. Hubenko48811126113O. Kurylenko47119101162
WAug 31 · 08:00M. Hubenko371211143O. Kurylenko26104120
WAug 25 · 07:00M. Hubenko49791111113O. Kurylenko4611116992
WAug 21 · 07:00M. Hubenko351311113O. Kurylenko2811980
LAug 19 · 09:30M. Hubenko37691391O. Kurylenko44111111113
WAug 17 · 07:00M. Hubenko331111113O. Kurylenko249960
WAug 13 · 11:30M. Hubenko4371411113O. Kurylenko351112661
M. Hubenko10
WSep 16 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.368121111113D. Kuzmenko3.0011145232WSep 16 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.5011115113A. Vasylets2.50491191LSep 16 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.44114471S. Maliuk2.6351111113WSep 14 · 10:30M. Hubenko1.441111113D. Prylepa2.633990WSep 14 · 09:00M. Hubenko1.331210511113D. Kuzmenko3.25101211222WSep 14 · 07:30M. Hubenko1.3311711133O. Kurylenko3.255118111WSep 14 · 06:00M. Hubenko1.531111163S. Maliuk2.3889140WSep 14 · 04:30M. Hubenko1.53111197113O. Syksa2.3874111182LSep 13 · 17:04S. Aristarkhov1.8311911113M. Hubenko1.83411971LSep 13 · 16:00M. Hubenko1.8381181172S. Aristarkhov1.83116115113
O. Kurylenko10
WSep 16 · 07:30O. Syksa1.6111960O. Kurylenko2.201311113LSep 16 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.80511551D. Kuzmenko1.9111911113LSep 16 · 05:30A. Vasylets1.259111814143O. Kurylenko3.7511131612122LSep 14 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.80118281S. Maliuk1.9171111113WSep 14 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.67461191O. Kurylenko2.1011117113LSep 14 · 07:30M. Hubenko1.3311711133O. Kurylenko3.255118111LSep 14 · 06:30O. Kurylenko2.1011128762O. Syksa1.674101111113WSep 14 · 05:30D. Kuzmenko2.00711571O. Kurylenko1.7311611113WSep 11 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.61114913113O. Lyman2.20811111192LSep 11 · 09:30S. Maliuk1.911111113O. Kurylenko1.807870
Upcoming Matches
M. Hubenko
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O. Kurylenko
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