TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142745
Played Sep 17Finished
Oleksandr Ziakun
Home
2.63
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 6
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
3115111315––––
Maksym Hubenko
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:25 and never touched — 68.9% is still 68.9%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
68.9%
68.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Ziakun above · Maksym Hubenko below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 5-11
Set 3 · 13-15
Point 58 set 3, 13-15 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 68.9%
58 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ziakun 13–46 Maksym Hubenko Oleksandr Ziakun has won 13 of their 59 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:25What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hubenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-46 in 59
Hubenko
Correct
gap of 33 in 59, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1537 vs Hubenko 1704
Hubenko
Correct
both rated, 167 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 100% vs Hubenko 100%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 80% vs Hubenko 90%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun +5 · Hubenko +5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Hubenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hubenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 2.63 / Hubenko 1.44
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Hubenko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13142745
Ziakun2.63
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 88 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back21% 30 of 141
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 73
Hubenko1.44
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite73% won 236 of 322
Up 2–0, closes it94% 118 of 126
Up 1–0, closes it83% 167 of 201
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun3wins
AwayHubenko7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun33.3%1 of 3
AwayHubenko71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun3Hubenko7n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10
S2Ziakun5Hubenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Ziakun4Hubenko6n = 10Hubenko took 6 of 10
S4Ziakun2Hubenko6n = 8Hubenko took 6 of 8
S5Ziakun2Hubenko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunHubenkoZ − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.942.9−7.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunHubenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime353 / 745 vs 562 / 105147.4%53.5%353 / 745 vs 562 / 1051Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.138.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoZiakun 2.63/Hubenko 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.9%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 06:00O. Ziakun2135130M. Hubenko371111153
LSep 9 · 08:30O. Ziakun25117251M. Hubenko4071111113
LSep 2 · 10:30O. Ziakun358111151M. Hubenko4411139113
LAug 31 · 09:00O. Ziakun4211481182M. Hubenko46711116113
WAug 28 · 04:30O. Ziakun50111189113M. Hubenko4679111182
LAug 26 · 06:00O. Ziakun4171111662M. Hubenko48116911113
WAug 25 · 08:30O. Ziakun46111113113M. Hubenko411391181
WAug 21 · 10:30O. Ziakun43111136123M. Hubenko501171111102
LAug 19 · 10:30O. Ziakun33613771M. Hubenko44111111113
LAug 13 · 06:00O. Ziakun237970M. Hubenko331111113
O. Ziakun10
WSep 17 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.44139128113S. Miroshnychenko2.631111101182WSep 15 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.73116711113S. Maliuk2.0091111922WSep 15 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.40119118113S. Miroshnychenko2.7571161162WSep 15 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.611112133O. Lyman2.20910110WSep 15 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.50131110123V. Ziakun2.5011812101WSep 15 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.1011213113D. Kuzmenko1.679111141LSep 11 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.83791141S. Maliuk1.8311118113LSep 11 · 09:00O. Ziakun2.009930D. Kuzmenko1.731111113WSep 11 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.911181112113O. Kurylenko1.80131191062WSep 11 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.571511113O. Lyman2.2513970
M. Hubenko10
WSep 17 · 05:00O. Syksa2.2511911242M. Hubenko1.57711711113WSep 16 · 10:30O. Syksa2.50121315562M. Hubenko1.5010111711113WSep 16 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.361111133O. Kurylenko3.0064110WSep 16 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.368121111113D. Kuzmenko3.0011145232WSep 16 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.5011115113A. Vasylets2.50491191LSep 16 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.44114471S. Maliuk2.6351111113WSep 14 · 10:30M. Hubenko1.441111113D. Prylepa2.633990WSep 14 · 09:00M. Hubenko1.331210511113D. Kuzmenko3.25101211222WSep 14 · 07:30M. Hubenko1.3311711133O. Kurylenko3.255118111WSep 14 · 06:00M. Hubenko1.531111163S. Maliuk2.3889140
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