TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13130353
Played Sep 15Finished
Oleksandr Ziakun
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
131111810121210––
Viktor Ziakun
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:14 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Ziakun to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Ziakun above · Viktor Ziakun below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 12-10
Point 87 set 4, 12-10 — our read held Oleksandr Ziakun at 65.7%
87 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ziakun 20–12 Viktor Ziakun Viktor Ziakun has won 12 of their 32 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:14What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Ziakun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-12 in 32
Ziakun
Correct
gap of 8 in 32, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1524 vs Ziakun 1364
Ziakun
Correct
both rated, 161 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 60% vs Ziakun 80%
Ziakun
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 50% vs Ziakun 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun +1 · Ziakun -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Ziakun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ziakun form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 1.50 / Ziakun 2.50
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Ziakun)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13130353
Ziakun1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite70% won 75 of 107
Up 2–0, closes it97% 31 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it88% 53 of 60
Ziakun2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog25% won 23 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back15% 7 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun6wins
AwayZiakun4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZiakun leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun66.7%4 of 6
AwayZiakun50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun6Ziakun4n = 10Ziakun took 6 of 10
S2Ziakun5Ziakun5n = 10split evenly
S3Ziakun5Ziakun5n = 10split evenly
S4Ziakun5Ziakun5n = 10split evenly
S5Ziakun2Ziakun1n = 3Ziakun took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunZiakunZiakun − ZiakunBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match41.741.0+0.7per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunZiakunBasisWin rate · lifetime354 / 747 vs 376 / 62647.4%60.1%354 / 747 vs 376 / 626Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match39.136.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZiakunZiakun 1.50/Ziakun 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.7%
Ziakun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ziakun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 06:00O. Ziakun46131110123V. Ziakun4111812101
WSep 8 · 10:30O. Ziakun52911911123V. Ziakun49118119102
WAug 11 · 06:00O. Ziakun3811115113V. Ziakun32781161
LJul 28 · 09:00O. Ziakun391110991V. Ziakun4281211113
WJul 1 · 07:00O. Ziakun4011711113V. Ziakun32911481
LJun 26 · 05:30O. Ziakun38913971V. Ziakun44111111113
WJun 5 · 07:30O. Ziakun41311115113V. Ziakun4311931192
LMay 20 · 06:00O. Ziakun4311612592V. Ziakun507111011113
LApr 8 · 04:30O. Ziakun37891281V. Ziakun43111110113
WMar 31 · 07:30O. Ziakun4311911123V. Ziakun346117101
O. Ziakun10
WSep 15 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.1011213113D. Kuzmenko1.679111141LSep 11 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.83791141S. Maliuk1.8311118113LSep 11 · 09:00O. Ziakun2.009930D. Kuzmenko1.731111113WSep 11 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.911181112113O. Kurylenko1.80131191062WSep 11 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.571511113O. Lyman2.2513970WSep 11 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.2011117113O. Syksa1.61851191LSep 9 · 11:00S. Chuhai1.33111111113O. Ziakun3.25613771LSep 9 · 10:00O. Syksa1.5713913123O. Ziakun2.25111111101LSep 9 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.4471111113O. Ziakun2.63117251WSep 9 · 06:30A. Vasylets1.44731151O. Ziakun2.6311115113
V. Ziakun10
LSep 15 · 05:00S. Maliuk1.251111113V. Ziakun3.759690WSep 9 · 16:59R. Boklah8.00411231V. Ziakun1.0611911113WSep 9 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.509101111132V. Ziakun1.50111275153WSep 9 · 14:30V. Ziakun3.40111157113S. Miroshnychenko1.3097111162WSep 9 · 13:30S. Priadko3.401248141V. Ziakun1.30101111163WSep 9 · 12:30V. Ziakun1.141311113R. Boklah5.0011880LSep 8 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.50911911123V. Ziakun2.50118119102LSep 8 · 09:30V. Ziakun4.0075100S. Maliuk1.221111123WSep 8 · 08:30V. Ziakun3.501110611113O. Lyman1.2871211852LSep 8 · 07:00V. Ziakun3.257590O. Kurylenko1.331111113
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