TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13130358
Played Sep 15Finished
Serhii Maliuk
Home
1.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
119116119––––
Viktor Ziakun
Away
3.75
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:12 and never touched — 81.3% is still 81.3%
Graded at full timeSerhii Maliuk to win
81.3%
81.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingSerhii Maliuk above · Viktor Ziakun below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 57 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Serhii Maliuk at 81.3%
57 points played in total.
H2H Serhii Maliuk 34–6 Viktor Ziakun Viktor Ziakun has won 6 of their 40 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:12What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Maliuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
34-6 in 40
Maliuk
Correct
gap of 28 in 40, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Maliuk 1487 vs Ziakun 1381
Maliuk
Correct
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Maliuk 20% vs Ziakun 100%
Ziakun
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Maliuk 40% vs Ziakun 60%
Ziakun
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Maliuk +1 · Ziakun +5
Ziakun
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Maliuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Ziakun form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMaliuk 1.25 / Ziakun 3.75
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Maliuk)+6.3pp
Setka Cup · #13130358
Maliuk1.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite65% won 65 of 100
Up 2–0, closes it91% 32 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it76% 48 of 63
Ziakun3.75
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog25% won 23 of 92
Down 0–1, comes back15% 7 of 47
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 31
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMaliuk8wins
AwayZiakun2wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMaliuk leads 8–2, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMaliuk83.3%5 of 6
AwayZiakun25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Maliuk6Ziakun4n = 10Maliuk took 6 of 10
S2Maliuk7Ziakun3n = 10Maliuk took 7 of 10
S3Maliuk8Ziakun2n = 10Maliuk took 8 of 10
S4Maliuk4Ziakun2n = 6Maliuk took 4 of 6
S5Maliuk3Ziakun2n = 5Maliuk took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMaliukZiakunM − ZBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.634.0+6.6per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMaliukZiakunBasisWin rate · lifetime251 / 507 vs 380 / 63349.5%60%251 / 507 vs 380 / 633Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaliukMaliuk 1.25/Ziakun 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.3%
Maliuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Maliuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 09:30S. Maliuk341111123V. Ziakun2275100
WSep 1 · 07:30S. Maliuk43411116113V. Ziakun3811751142
LAug 27 · 05:00S. Maliuk4311911932V. Ziakun46411911113
WJul 28 · 11:00S. Maliuk4011117113V. Ziakun33781171
WJul 21 · 09:00S. Maliuk505121011123V. Ziakun501110127102
LJul 14 · 07:30S. Maliuk4697111182V. Ziakun45111139113
WJul 8 · 10:30S. Maliuk341112113V. Ziakun2261060
WJun 5 · 06:30S. Maliuk45391111113V. Ziakun3811118352
WMay 20 · 11:30S. Maliuk361111143V. Ziakun2374120
WApr 8 · 08:30S. Maliuk351111133V. Ziakun2348110
S. Maliuk10
LSep 15 · 07:00S. Maliuk1.3310730S. Miroshnychenko3.251211113WSep 14 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.80118281S. Maliuk1.9171111113LSep 14 · 10:00S. Maliuk2.105117101O. Syksa1.6711711123LSep 14 · 08:00D. Kuzmenko1.7311117113S. Maliuk2.00851161LSep 14 · 06:00M. Hubenko1.531111163S. Maliuk2.3889140LSep 14 · 05:00D. Prylepa1.7311116113S. Maliuk2.00961171WSep 11 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.83791141S. Maliuk1.8311118113WSep 11 · 09:30S. Maliuk1.911111113O. Kurylenko1.807870LSep 11 · 08:30S. Maliuk2.101281111102O. Syksa1.671011713123LSep 11 · 07:00S. Maliuk1.91610100D. Kuzmenko1.801112123
V. Ziakun10
LSep 15 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.50131110123V. Ziakun2.5011812101WSep 9 · 16:59R. Boklah8.00411231V. Ziakun1.0611911113WSep 9 · 15:30I. Torhachov2.509101111132V. Ziakun1.50111275153WSep 9 · 14:30V. Ziakun3.40111157113S. Miroshnychenko1.3097111162WSep 9 · 13:30S. Priadko3.401248141V. Ziakun1.30101111163WSep 9 · 12:30V. Ziakun1.141311113R. Boklah5.0011880LSep 8 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.50911911123V. Ziakun2.50118119102LSep 8 · 09:30V. Ziakun4.0075100S. Maliuk1.221111123WSep 8 · 08:30V. Ziakun3.501110611113O. Lyman1.2871211852LSep 8 · 07:00V. Ziakun3.257590O. Kurylenko1.331111113
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