TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142710
Played Sep 17Finished
Maksym Hubenko
Home
1.17
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1141181012111––
Serhii Miroshnychenko
Away
4.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:14 and never touched — 85.6% is still 85.6%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
85.6%
85.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMaksym Hubenko above · Serhii Miroshnychenko below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 11-1
Point 68 set 4, 11-1 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 85.6%
68 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Hubenko 68–6 Serhii Miroshnychenko Serhii Miroshnychenko has won 6 of their 74 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:14What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (79%)
Hubenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
68-6 in 74
Hubenko
Correct
gap of 62 in 74, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hubenko 1685 vs Miroshnychenko 1371
Hubenko
Correct
both rated, 315 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hubenko 80% vs Miroshnychenko 40%
Hubenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hubenko 80% vs Miroshnychenko 40%
Hubenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hubenko -1 · Miroshnychenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Hubenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miroshnychenko form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (22%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubenko 1.17 / Miroshnychenko 4.50
Signal prob.86% / 14%
Edge (Hubenko)+6.2pp
Setka Cup · #13142710
Hubenko1.17
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 236 of 322
Up 2–0, closes it94% 118 of 126
Up 1–0, closes it83% 167 of 201
Miroshnychenko4.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog23% won 74 of 316
Down 0–1, comes back12% 24 of 199
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHubenko9wins
AwayMiroshnychenko1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHubenko83.3%5 of 6
AwayMiroshnychenko0%0 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hubenko6Miroshnychenko4n = 10Hubenko took 6 of 10
S2Hubenko6Miroshnychenko4n = 10Hubenko took 6 of 10
S3Hubenko8Miroshnychenko2n = 10Hubenko took 8 of 10
S4Hubenko8Miroshnychenko0n = 8Hubenko took 8 of 8
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHubenkoMiroshnychenkoH − MBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.431.6+8.8per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubenkoMiroshnychenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime562 / 1052 vs 310 / 86253.4%36%562 / 1052 vs 310 / 862Avg sets wonper match2.11.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.134.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoHubenko 1.17/Miroshnychenko 4.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.6%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 12 · 07:30M. Hubenko4111811113S. Miroshnychenko33911491
WAug 11 · 08:30M. Hubenko331111113S. Miroshnychenko166550
WAug 8 · 12:30M. Hubenko3811511113S. Miroshnychenko30711571
WAug 5 · 04:30M. Hubenko526111014113S. Miroshnychenko48118121252
LAug 4 · 05:00M. Hubenko4511781182S. Miroshnychenko48611119113
WJul 29 · 10:00M. Hubenko4291111113S. Miroshnychenko32119481
WJul 23 · 08:30M. Hubenko331111113S. Miroshnychenko219390
WJul 22 · 11:30M. Hubenko4011711113S. Miroshnychenko28411491
WJun 23 · 11:30M. Hubenko4291111113S. Miroshnychenko26117261
WJun 19 · 04:30M. Hubenko3851111113S. Miroshnychenko34119861
M. Hubenko10
LSep 17 · 08:00O. Kurylenko3.251111910153M. Hubenko1.33751112132WSep 17 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.6335130M. Hubenko1.441111153WSep 17 · 05:00O. Syksa2.2511911242M. Hubenko1.57711711113WSep 16 · 10:30O. Syksa2.50121315562M. Hubenko1.5010111711113WSep 16 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.361111133O. Kurylenko3.0064110WSep 16 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.368121111113D. Kuzmenko3.0011145232WSep 16 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.5011115113A. Vasylets2.50491191LSep 16 · 05:00M. Hubenko1.44114471S. Maliuk2.6351111113WSep 14 · 10:30M. Hubenko1.441111113D. Prylepa2.633990WSep 14 · 09:00M. Hubenko1.331210511113D. Kuzmenko3.25101211222
S. Miroshnychenko10
LSep 17 · 08:30O. Syksa1.4011119113S. Miroshnychenko2.75841151WSep 17 · 06:30O. Lyman1.36911718122S. Miroshnychenko3.001181116143LSep 17 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.44139128113S. Miroshnychenko2.631111101182LSep 16 · 17:30S. Miroshnychenko1.131181171I. Torhachov5.5071113113WSep 16 · 16:00R. Boklah4.001111251S. Miroshnychenko1.2213511113WSep 16 · 14:30V. Ziakun3.006880S. Miroshnychenko1.361111113WSep 16 · 13:00I. Torhachov5.007580S. Miroshnychenko1.141111113LSep 16 · 12:00S. Priadko5.0011114123S. Miroshnychenko1.148911101LSep 15 · 11:00S. Miroshnychenko2.75611891D. Kuzmenko1.4011211113LSep 15 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.40119118113S. Miroshnychenko2.7571161162
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