TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13142764
Played Sep 17Finished
Oleksandr Syksa
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118114911115––
Serhii Miroshnychenko
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:31 and never touched — 74.9% is still 74.9%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
74.9%
74.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Syksa above · Serhii Miroshnychenko below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 70 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 74.9%
70 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Syksa 85–44 Serhii Miroshnychenko Serhii Miroshnychenko has won 44 of their 129 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:31What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Syksa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
85-44 in 129
Syksa
Correct
gap of 41 in 129, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Syksa 1610 vs Miroshnychenko 1376
Syksa
Correct
both rated, 234 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Syksa 40% vs Miroshnychenko 60%
Miroshnychenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Syksa 60% vs Miroshnychenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Syksa +1 · Miroshnychenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Syksa) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Miroshnychenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (36%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSyksa 1.40 / Miroshnychenko 2.75
Signal prob.70% / 30%
Edge (Syksa)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13142764
Syksa1.40
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite68% won 242 of 354
Up 2–0, closes it94% 100 of 106
Up 1–0, closes it82% 163 of 199
Miroshnychenko2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog23% won 74 of 316
Down 0–1, comes back12% 24 of 199
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 106
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSyksa8wins
AwayMiroshnychenko2wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSyksa leads 8–2, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSyksa80%4 of 5
AwayMiroshnychenko20%1 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Syksa5Miroshnychenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Syksa8Miroshnychenko2n = 10Syksa took 8 of 10
S3Syksa8Miroshnychenko2n = 10Syksa took 8 of 10
S4Syksa5Miroshnychenko2n = 7Syksa took 5 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricSyksaMiroshnychenkoS − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.233.2+6.0per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSyksaMiroshnychenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime585 / 1111 vs 310 / 86252.7%36%585 / 1111 vs 310 / 862Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match37.334.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaSyksa 1.40/Miroshnychenko 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.3%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Syksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 10:30O. Syksa4061111123S. Miroshnychenko311146101
WSep 1 · 11:00O. Syksa4212811113S. Miroshnychenko341011491
WAug 24 · 04:30O. Syksa50981111113S. Miroshnychenko4311118582
WAug 23 · 10:00O. Syksa4181111113S. Miroshnychenko30116941
WAug 21 · 10:00O. Syksa3631111113S. Miroshnychenko32119751
WAug 20 · 06:30O. Syksa331111113S. Miroshnychenko216780
LAug 18 · 06:00O. Syksa4311119752S. Miroshnychenko48961111113
LAug 14 · 07:30O. Syksa408139101S. Miroshnychenko45111111123
WAug 12 · 11:30O. Syksa341112113S. Miroshnychenko2591060
WAug 10 · 10:30O. Syksa331111113S. Miroshnychenko236890
O. Syksa10
WSep 17 · 09:30O. Syksa1.179111111113O. Lyman4.5011461392WSep 17 · 07:00O. Syksa1.61981111113O. Kurylenko2.2011117962LSep 17 · 05:00O. Syksa2.2511911242M. Hubenko1.57711711113LSep 16 · 10:30O. Syksa2.50121315562M. Hubenko1.5010111711113WSep 16 · 09:00O. Syksa1.91911111113A. Vasylets1.8011118782LSep 16 · 07:30O. Syksa1.6111960O. Kurylenko2.201311113WSep 16 · 06:00O. Syksa1.6111115113S. Maliuk2.20871171WSep 16 · 04:30O. Syksa1.531211113D. Kuzmenko2.3810290LSep 14 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko2.381211123O. Syksa1.53109100WSep 14 · 10:00S. Maliuk2.105117101O. Syksa1.6711711123
S. Miroshnychenko10
LSep 17 · 10:00M. Hubenko1.17111110113S. Miroshnychenko4.50481211WSep 17 · 06:30O. Lyman1.36911718122S. Miroshnychenko3.001181116143LSep 17 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.44139128113S. Miroshnychenko2.631111101182LSep 16 · 17:30S. Miroshnychenko1.131181171I. Torhachov5.5071113113WSep 16 · 16:00R. Boklah4.001111251S. Miroshnychenko1.2213511113WSep 16 · 14:30V. Ziakun3.006880S. Miroshnychenko1.361111113WSep 16 · 13:00I. Torhachov5.007580S. Miroshnychenko1.141111113LSep 16 · 12:00S. Priadko5.0011114123S. Miroshnychenko1.148911101LSep 15 · 11:00S. Miroshnychenko2.75611891D. Kuzmenko1.4011211113LSep 15 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.40119118113S. Miroshnychenko2.7571161162
Upcoming Matches
O. Syksa
S. Miroshnychenko
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.