TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13160616
Played Sep 19Finished
Dmytro Prylepa
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511811511––––
Volodymyr Tatarnykov
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
How it is goingDmytro Prylepa above · Volodymyr Tatarnykov below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 5-11
Point 51 set 3, 5-11
51 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Prylepa 19–25 Volodymyr Tatarnykov Dmytro Prylepa has won 19 of their 44 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Prylepa beat Tatarnykov 2-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Tatarnykov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tatarnykov form (20%) is below what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrylepa 2.38 / Tatarnykov 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Tatarnykov)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13160616
Prylepa2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog30% won 49 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back10% 10 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 72
Tatarnykov1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite68% won 49 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it80% 32 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrylepa4wins
AwayTatarnykov6wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTatarnykov leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrylepan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayTatarnykov75%6 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prylepa2Tatarnykov8n = 10Tatarnykov took 8 of 10
S2Prylepa2Tatarnykov8n = 10Tatarnykov took 8 of 10
S3Prylepa4Tatarnykov6n = 10Tatarnykov took 6 of 10
S4Prylepa5Tatarnykov1n = 6Prylepa took 5 of 6
S5Prylepa3Tatarnykov2n = 5Prylepa took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrylepaTatarnykovP − TBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.040.7−4.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrylepaTatarnykovBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 801 vs 209 / 39749.1%52.6%393 / 801 vs 209 / 397Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.436.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TatarnykovPrylepa 2.38/Tatarnykov 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.4%
Tatarnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Tatarnykov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 6 · 09:00D. Prylepa49791111113V. Tatarnykov4111116762
LAug 23 · 09:00D. Prylepa207490V. Tatarnykov331111113
LJul 25 · 15:30D. Prylepa4661211892V. Tatarnykov481110511113
LJul 11 · 15:30D. Prylepa226790V. Tatarnykov331111113
LJun 13 · 14:00D. Prylepa165560V. Tatarnykov331111113
WMay 9 · 17:40D. Prylepa531113414113V. Tatarnykov53715111282
WMay 9 · 15:30D. Prylepa501110611123V. Tatarnykov49912117102
WMay 2 · 15:30D. Prylepa4281211113V. Tatarnykov351110771
LApr 25 · 14:00D. Prylepa184950V. Tatarnykov331111113
LApr 19 · 09:00D. Prylepa4459111182V. Tatarnykov49111197113
D. Prylepa10
LSep 19 · 16:00D. Prylepa2.507650M. Hubenko1.50111183LSep 19 · 15:00S. Aristarkhov1.4011911123D. Prylepa2.757116101WSep 19 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov1.504118101D. Prylepa2.5011911102WSep 19 · 12:30A. Vasylets1.671071131D. Prylepa2.1012112113LSep 14 · 10:30M. Hubenko1.441111113D. Prylepa2.633990LSep 14 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.67461191O. Kurylenko2.1011117113LSep 14 · 08:30D. Prylepa2.636980O. Syksa1.441111113WSep 14 · 07:00D. Prylepa1.531115911113D. Kuzmenko2.38131311732WSep 14 · 05:00D. Prylepa1.7311116113S. Maliuk2.00961171LSep 13 · 16:30A. Vasylets1.7312117113D. Prylepa2.001021141
V. Tatarnykov10
WSep 19 · 16:30V. Tatarnykov2.201141192S. Aristarkhov1.61711991LSep 19 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov1.53111031162A. Vasylets2.38812117113LSep 19 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov1.504118101D. Prylepa2.5011911102LSep 19 · 13:00V. Tatarnykov2.00871171M. Hubenko1.7311118113WSep 6 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov2.00812114133M. Hubenko1.731110911112LSep 6 · 09:00V. Tatarnykov1.5011116762D. Prylepa2.50791111113LSep 6 · 07:30V. Tatarnykov2.251111881S. Aristarkhov1.5713311113WSep 6 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov1.5311118113O. Syksa2.38881151LSep 6 · 04:30V. Tatarnykov1.14681111O. Lyman5.0011114113WSep 5 · 17:39D. Kuzmenko3.401399101V. Tatarnykov1.30111111123
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