TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155616
Played Sep 19Finished
Dmytro Prylepa
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
71161158––––
Maksym Hubenko
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:30 and never touched — 66.9% is still 66.9%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
66.9%
66.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Prylepa above · Maksym Hubenko below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 5-8
Point 48 set 3, 5-8 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 66.9%
48 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Prylepa 42–91 Maksym Hubenko Dmytro Prylepa has won 42 of their 133 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:30What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hubenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
42-91 in 133
Hubenko
Correct
gap of 49 in 133, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prylepa 1472 vs Hubenko 1716
Hubenko
Correct
both rated, 243 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prylepa 20% vs Hubenko 60%
Hubenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prylepa 40% vs Hubenko 70%
Hubenko
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prylepa -1 · Hubenko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Hubenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prylepa form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrylepa 2.50 / Hubenko 1.50
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Hubenko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13155616
Prylepa2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog30% won 49 of 161
Down 0–1, comes back10% 10 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 72
Hubenko1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 239 of 327
Up 2–0, closes it94% 120 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it83% 169 of 204
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrylepa3wins
AwayHubenko7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrylepa75%3 of 4
AwayHubenko100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prylepa4Hubenko6n = 10Hubenko took 6 of 10
S2Prylepa5Hubenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Prylepa4Hubenko6n = 10Hubenko took 6 of 10
S4Prylepa1Hubenko3n = 4Hubenko took 3 of 4
S5Prylepa1Hubenko3n = 4Hubenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrylepaHubenkoP − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match35.538.5−3.0per matchSweeps24−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrylepaHubenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 800 vs 556 / 104149.1%53.4%393 / 800 vs 556 / 1041Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoPrylepa 2.50/Hubenko 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
66.9%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 10:30D. Prylepa213990M. Hubenko331111113
LSep 6 · 07:00D. Prylepa2210570M. Hubenko341211113
LSep 4 · 07:00D. Prylepa48911512112M. Hubenko531181110133
LAug 31 · 07:00D. Prylepa4651311982M. Hubenko531111911113
WAug 30 · 14:30D. Prylepa341211113M. Hubenko1910360
WAug 28 · 08:30D. Prylepa381116113M. Hubenko3181490
LAug 20 · 05:00D. Prylepa2458110M. Hubenko351111133
LAug 16 · 17:30D. Prylepa52131118282M. Hubenko591162011113
LAug 16 · 13:30D. Prylepa2477100M. Hubenko341111123
WAug 13 · 08:00D. Prylepa46116117113M. Hubenko3441161122
D. Prylepa10
LSep 19 · 17:35D. Prylepa2.3820V. Tatarnykov1.5341LSep 19 · 15:00S. Aristarkhov1.4011911123D. Prylepa2.757116101WSep 19 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov1.504118101D. Prylepa2.5011911102WSep 19 · 12:30A. Vasylets1.671071131D. Prylepa2.1012112113LSep 14 · 10:30M. Hubenko1.441111113D. Prylepa2.633990LSep 14 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.67461191O. Kurylenko2.1011117113LSep 14 · 08:30D. Prylepa2.636980O. Syksa1.441111113WSep 14 · 07:00D. Prylepa1.531115911113D. Kuzmenko2.38131311732WSep 14 · 05:00D. Prylepa1.7311116113S. Maliuk2.00961171LSep 13 · 16:30A. Vasylets1.7312117113D. Prylepa2.001021141
M. Hubenko10
WSep 19 · 17:03M. Hubenko1.5041111103A. Vasylets2.50114771LSep 19 · 14:30A. Vasylets2.38111211123M. Hubenko1.5331013111WSep 19 · 13:00V. Tatarnykov2.00871171M. Hubenko1.7311118113WSep 19 · 12:00S. Aristarkhov1.83114871M. Hubenko1.839111193LSep 17 · 11:30O. Lyman3.75911119153M. Hubenko1.25114911132WSep 17 · 10:00M. Hubenko1.17111110113S. Miroshnychenko4.50481211LSep 17 · 08:00O. Kurylenko3.251111910153M. Hubenko1.33751112132WSep 17 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.6335130M. Hubenko1.441111153WSep 17 · 05:00O. Syksa2.2511911242M. Hubenko1.57711711113WSep 14 · 10:30M. Hubenko1.441111113D. Prylepa2.633990
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