TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155766
Played Sep 19Finished
Andrii Vasylets
Home
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
113121011131211––
Maksym Hubenko
Away
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:48 and never touched — 61.2% is still 61.2%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
61.2%
61.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Vasylets above · Maksym Hubenko below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 12-11
Point 83 set 4, 12-11 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 61.2%
83 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Vasylets 19–30 Maksym Hubenko Andrii Vasylets has won 19 of their 49 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:48What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Hubenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-30 in 49
Hubenko
Wrong
gap of 11 in 49, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vasylets 1639 vs Hubenko 1714
Hubenko
Wrong
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasylets 60% vs Hubenko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasylets 70% vs Hubenko 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasylets +1 · Hubenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Hubenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasylets form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasylets 2.38 / Hubenko 1.53
Signal prob.39% / 61%
Edge (Hubenko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13155766
Vasylets2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog31% won 52 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back18% 19 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back13% 8 of 64
Hubenko1.53
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 239 of 327
Up 2–0, closes it94% 120 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it83% 169 of 204
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVasylets5wins
AwayHubenko5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVasylets100%3 of 3
AwayHubenko71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vasylets3Hubenko7n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10
S2Vasylets2Hubenko8n = 10Hubenko took 8 of 10
S3Vasylets8Hubenko2n = 10Vasylets took 8 of 10
S4Vasylets2Hubenko5n = 7Hubenko took 5 of 7
S5Vasylets3Hubenko0n = 3Vasylets took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVasyletsHubenkoV − HBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.539.6−1.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasyletsHubenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 517 vs 556 / 104044.7%53.5%231 / 517 vs 556 / 1040Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.138.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoVasylets 2.38/Hubenko 1.53
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.2%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vasylets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 16 · 07:00A. Vasylets33491191M. Hubenko3811115113
WSep 9 · 09:30A. Vasylets511081111113M. Hubenko4612117882
LSep 2 · 09:30A. Vasylets28108100M. Hubenko351211123
WAug 30 · 12:00A. Vasylets46115127113M. Hubenko49911101182
WAug 26 · 08:00A. Vasylets341111123M. Hubenko1853100
LAug 19 · 07:00A. Vasylets371011791M. Hubenko4312911113
LAug 16 · 15:30A. Vasylets27191161M. Hubenko4211119113
WAug 12 · 09:00A. Vasylets521271111113M. Hubenko4614118672
A. Vasylets10
WSep 19 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov1.53111031162A. Vasylets2.38812117113WSep 19 · 13:30S. Aristarkhov1.5044111162A. Vasylets2.50111157113LSep 19 · 12:30A. Vasylets1.671071131D. Prylepa2.1012112113WSep 16 · 11:00A. Vasylets1.531111113D. Kuzmenko2.385870LSep 16 · 09:00O. Syksa1.91911111113A. Vasylets1.8011118782WSep 16 · 08:00A. Vasylets1.53114712123S. Maliuk2.387111110102LSep 16 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.5011115113A. Vasylets2.50491191WSep 16 · 05:30A. Vasylets1.259111814143O. Kurylenko3.7511131612122WSep 13 · 17:35O. Syksa1.83171151A. Vasylets1.8311119113WSep 13 · 16:30A. Vasylets1.7312117113D. Prylepa2.001021141
M. Hubenko10
WSep 19 · 13:00V. Tatarnykov2.00871171M. Hubenko1.7311118113WSep 19 · 12:00S. Aristarkhov1.83114871M. Hubenko1.839111193LSep 17 · 11:30O. Lyman3.75911119153M. Hubenko1.25114911132WSep 17 · 10:00M. Hubenko1.17111110113S. Miroshnychenko4.50481211LSep 17 · 08:00O. Kurylenko3.251111910153M. Hubenko1.33751112132WSep 17 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.6335130M. Hubenko1.441111153WSep 17 · 05:00O. Syksa2.2511911242M. Hubenko1.57711711113WSep 16 · 10:30O. Syksa2.50121315562M. Hubenko1.5010111711113WSep 16 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.361111133O. Kurylenko3.0064110WSep 16 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.5011115113A. Vasylets2.50491191
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