TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13136649
Played Sep 16Finished
Andrii Vasylets
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115118117––––
Dmitro Kuzmenko
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:55 and never touched — 64.4% is still 64.4%
Graded at full timeAndrii Vasylets to win
64.4%
64.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Vasylets above · Dmitro Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 53 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Andrii Vasylets at 64.4%
53 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Vasylets 15–10 Dmitro Kuzmenko Dmitro Kuzmenko has won 10 of their 25 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:55What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Vasylets
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-10 in 25
Vasylets
Correct
gap of 5 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vasylets 1649 vs Kuzmenko 1562
Vasylets
Correct
both rated, 87 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vasylets 60% vs Kuzmenko 40%
Vasylets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vasylets 70% vs Kuzmenko 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vasylets -1 · Kuzmenko -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Vasylets)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVasylets 1.53 / Kuzmenko 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Vasylets)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13136649
Vasylets1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite53% won 27 of 51
Up 2–0, closes it88% 14 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it74% 23 of 31
Kuzmenko2.38
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog34% won 105 of 305
Down 0–1, comes back17% 30 of 175
Down 0–2, comes back6% 6 of 107
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVasylets5wins
AwayKuzmenko5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVasylets71.4%5 of 7
AwayKuzmenko100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vasylets7Kuzmenko3n = 10Vasylets took 7 of 10
S2Vasylets4Kuzmenko6n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S3Vasylets3Kuzmenko7n = 10Kuzmenko took 7 of 10
S4Vasylets4Kuzmenko4n = 8split evenly
S5Vasylets2Kuzmenko1n = 3Vasylets took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVasyletsKuzmenkoV − KBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.938.2−0.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVasyletsKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime236 / 526 vs 384 / 92144.9%41.7%236 / 526 vs 384 / 921Avg sets wonper match1.91.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.936.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VasyletsVasylets 1.53/Kuzmenko 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.4%
Vasylets · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vasylets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 07:30A. Vasylets3911116113D. Kuzmenko27641161
LSep 5 · 12:00A. Vasylets3711610101D. Kuzmenko4381112123
LSep 2 · 06:30A. Vasylets44114127102D. Kuzmenko539111011123
LAug 22 · 14:30A. Vasylets37811991D. Kuzmenko4211911113
WAug 16 · 14:00A. Vasylets341211113D. Kuzmenko2410950
LJul 25 · 16:00A. Vasylets26511461D. Kuzmenko3911611113
WJul 18 · 14:00A. Vasylets50117912113D. Kuzmenko50911111092
WJul 11 · 17:28A. Vasylets3711411113D. Kuzmenko29711831
LJul 11 · 15:00A. Vasylets249870D. Kuzmenko331111113
WJul 4 · 12:30A. Vasylets51118911123D. Kuzmenko42611114102
A. Vasylets10
LSep 16 · 09:00O. Syksa1.91911111113A. Vasylets1.8011118782WSep 16 · 08:00A. Vasylets1.53114712123S. Maliuk2.387111110102LSep 16 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.5011115113A. Vasylets2.50491191WSep 16 · 05:30A. Vasylets1.259111814143O. Kurylenko3.7511131612122WSep 13 · 17:35O. Syksa1.83171151A. Vasylets1.8311119113WSep 13 · 16:30A. Vasylets1.7312117113D. Prylepa2.001021141WSep 13 · 15:30A. Vasylets1.911111811113O. Syksa1.8061311332WSep 13 · 14:00A. Vasylets2.5011611793M. Hubenko1.5051161172LSep 13 · 13:00A. Vasylets2.50771181S. Aristarkhov1.5011115103WSep 9 · 11:30A. Vasylets1.91811174113O. Syksa1.80116151192
D. Kuzmenko10
LSep 16 · 10:00S. Maliuk2.2011116113D. Kuzmenko1.61471161LSep 16 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.368121111113D. Kuzmenko3.0011145232WSep 16 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.80511551D. Kuzmenko1.9111911113LSep 16 · 04:30O. Syksa1.531211113D. Kuzmenko2.3810290WSep 15 · 11:00S. Miroshnychenko2.75611891D. Kuzmenko1.4011211113WSep 15 · 10:00V. Ziakun3.503790D. Kuzmenko1.281111113WSep 15 · 08:30S. Maliuk2.105890D. Kuzmenko1.671111113WSep 15 · 06:30O. Lyman3.4071371152D. Kuzmenko1.301111119113LSep 15 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.1011213113D. Kuzmenko1.679111141WSep 14 · 11:00D. Kuzmenko2.381211123O. Syksa1.53109100
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