TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13155747
Played Sep 19Finished
Volodymyr Tatarnykov
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181012311117611
Andrii Vasylets
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:38 and never touched — 59.2% is still 59.2%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Tatarnykov to win
59.2%
59.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingVolodymyr Tatarnykov above · Andrii Vasylets below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 90 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Volodymyr Tatarnykov at 59.2%
90 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Tatarnykov 43–22 Andrii Vasylets Andrii Vasylets has won 22 of their 65 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:38What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Tatarnykov
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
43-22 in 65
Tatarnykov
Wrong
gap of 21 in 65, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tatarnykov 1583 vs Vasylets 1638
Vasylets
Correct
both rated, 55 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tatarnykov 40% vs Vasylets 60%
Vasylets
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tatarnykov 40% vs Vasylets 70%
Vasylets
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tatarnykov -1 · Vasylets +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Tatarnykov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasylets form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTatarnykov 1.53 / Vasylets 2.38
Signal prob.59% / 41%
Edge (Tatarnykov)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13155747
Tatarnykov1.53
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite68% won 49 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it80% 32 of 40
Vasylets2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog31% won 52 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back18% 19 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back13% 8 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTatarnykov6wins
AwayVasylets4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderTatarnykov leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTatarnykov60%3 of 5
AwayVasylets40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tatarnykov5Vasylets5n = 10split evenly
S2Tatarnykov4Vasylets6n = 10Vasylets took 6 of 10
S3Tatarnykov5Vasylets5n = 10split evenly
S4Tatarnykov4Vasylets2n = 6Tatarnykov took 4 of 6
S5Tatarnykov3Vasylets1n = 4Tatarnykov took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricTatarnykovVasyletsT − VBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.037.8+1.2per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTatarnykovVasyletsBasisWin rate · lifetime209 / 396 vs 232 / 51852.8%44.8%209 / 396 vs 232 / 518Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.937.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TatarnykovTatarnykov 1.53/Vasylets 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.2%
Tatarnykov · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Vasylets won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 5 · 16:30V. Tatarnykov47611118113A. Vasylets4111671162
WAug 22 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov361114113A. Vasylets2551280
LAug 8 · 17:33V. Tatarnykov4111512582A. Vasylets474111011113
WJul 25 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov5410101112113A. Vasylets46121251072
WJun 27 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov51119911113A. Vasylets4691111962
LJun 20 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov166820A. Vasylets331111113
WJun 13 · 16:30V. Tatarnykov4311138113A. Vasylets315111141
LJun 6 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov248790A. Vasylets331111113
V. Tatarnykov10
WSep 19 · 16:30V. Tatarnykov2.201141192S. Aristarkhov1.61711991LSep 19 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov1.504118101D. Prylepa2.5011911102LSep 19 · 13:00V. Tatarnykov2.00871171M. Hubenko1.7311118113WSep 6 · 10:30V. Tatarnykov2.00812114133M. Hubenko1.731110911112LSep 6 · 09:00V. Tatarnykov1.5011116762D. Prylepa2.50791111113LSep 6 · 07:30V. Tatarnykov2.251111881S. Aristarkhov1.5713311113WSep 6 · 06:00V. Tatarnykov1.5311118113O. Syksa2.38881151LSep 6 · 04:30V. Tatarnykov1.14681111O. Lyman5.0011114113WSep 5 · 17:39D. Kuzmenko3.401399101V. Tatarnykov1.30111111123WSep 5 · 16:30V. Tatarnykov1.50611118113A. Vasylets2.5011671162
A. Vasylets10
WSep 19 · 14:30A. Vasylets2.38111211123M. Hubenko1.5331013111WSep 19 · 13:30S. Aristarkhov1.5044111162A. Vasylets2.50111157113LSep 19 · 12:30A. Vasylets1.671071131D. Prylepa2.1012112113WSep 16 · 11:00A. Vasylets1.531111113D. Kuzmenko2.385870LSep 16 · 09:00O. Syksa1.91911111113A. Vasylets1.8011118782WSep 16 · 08:00A. Vasylets1.53114712123S. Maliuk2.387111110102LSep 16 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.5011115113A. Vasylets2.50491191WSep 16 · 05:30A. Vasylets1.259111814143O. Kurylenko3.7511131612122WSep 13 · 17:35O. Syksa1.83171151A. Vasylets1.8311119113LSep 5 · 16:30V. Tatarnykov1.50611118113A. Vasylets2.5011671162
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.