TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13160516
Played Sep 19Finished
Maksym Hubenko
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
411114117107––
Andrii Vasylets
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
How it is goingMaksym Hubenko above · Andrii Vasylets below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 10-7
Point 65 set 4, 10-7
65 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Hubenko 30–20 Andrii Vasylets Andrii Vasylets has won 20 of their 50 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Vasylets beat Hubenko 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Hubenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vasylets form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubenko 1.50 / Vasylets 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Hubenko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13160516
Hubenko1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 239 of 327
Up 2–0, closes it94% 120 of 128
Up 1–0, closes it83% 169 of 204
Vasylets2.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 52 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back18% 19 of 103
Down 0–2, comes back13% 8 of 64
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHubenko5wins
AwayVasylets5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHubenko83.3%5 of 6
AwayVasylets100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hubenko6Vasylets4n = 10Hubenko took 6 of 10
S2Hubenko7Vasylets3n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10
S3Hubenko3Vasylets7n = 10Vasylets took 7 of 10
S4Hubenko5Vasylets1n = 6Hubenko took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHubenkoVasyletsH − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.736.6+2.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubenkoVasyletsBasisWin rate · lifetime557 / 1042 vs 233 / 51853.5%45%557 / 1042 vs 233 / 518Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.137.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoHubenko 1.50/Vasylets 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Hubenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WSep 16 · 07:00M. Hubenko3811115113A. Vasylets33491191
LSep 9 · 09:30M. Hubenko4612117882A. Vasylets511081111113
WSep 2 · 09:30M. Hubenko351211123A. Vasylets28108100
LAug 30 · 12:00M. Hubenko49911101182A. Vasylets46115127113
LAug 26 · 08:00M. Hubenko1853100A. Vasylets341111123
WAug 19 · 07:00M. Hubenko4312911113A. Vasylets371011791
WAug 16 · 15:30M. Hubenko4211119113A. Vasylets27191161
M. Hubenko10
WSep 19 · 16:00D. Prylepa2.507650M. Hubenko1.50111183LSep 19 · 14:30A. Vasylets2.38111211123M. Hubenko1.5331013111WSep 19 · 13:00V. Tatarnykov2.00871171M. Hubenko1.7311118113WSep 19 · 12:00S. Aristarkhov1.83114871M. Hubenko1.839111193LSep 17 · 11:30O. Lyman3.75911119153M. Hubenko1.25114911132WSep 17 · 10:00M. Hubenko1.17111110113S. Miroshnychenko4.50481211LSep 17 · 08:00O. Kurylenko3.251111910153M. Hubenko1.33751112132WSep 17 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.6335130M. Hubenko1.441111153WSep 17 · 05:00O. Syksa2.2511911242M. Hubenko1.57711711113WSep 16 · 10:30O. Syksa2.50121315562M. Hubenko1.5010111711113
A. Vasylets10
WSep 19 · 15:30V. Tatarnykov1.53111031162A. Vasylets2.38812117113WSep 19 · 14:30A. Vasylets2.38111211123M. Hubenko1.5331013111WSep 19 · 13:30S. Aristarkhov1.5044111162A. Vasylets2.50111157113LSep 19 · 12:30A. Vasylets1.671071131D. Prylepa2.1012112113WSep 16 · 11:00A. Vasylets1.531111113D. Kuzmenko2.385870LSep 16 · 09:00O. Syksa1.91911111113A. Vasylets1.8011118782WSep 16 · 08:00A. Vasylets1.53114712123S. Maliuk2.387111110102LSep 16 · 07:00M. Hubenko1.5011115113A. Vasylets2.50491191WSep 16 · 05:30A. Vasylets1.259111814143O. Kurylenko3.7511131612122WSep 13 · 17:35O. Syksa1.83171151A. Vasylets1.8311119113
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