TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148398
Played Sep 18Finished
Oleksandr Ziakun
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191210711117––
Oleksandr Lyman
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:33 and never touched — 61.7% is still 61.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Ziakun to win
61.7%
61.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Ziakun above · Oleksandr Lyman below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 78 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Ziakun at 61.7%
78 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ziakun 58–28 Oleksandr Lyman Oleksandr Lyman has won 28 of their 86 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:33What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Ziakun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
58-28 in 86
Ziakun
Correct
gap of 30 in 86, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1542 vs Lyman 1431
Ziakun
Correct
both rated, 111 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 60% vs Lyman 40%
Ziakun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 60% vs Lyman 40%
Ziakun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun -1 · Lyman +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Ziakun)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 1.61 / Lyman 2.20
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Ziakun)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13148398
Ziakun1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite72% won 81 of 113
Up 2–0, closes it97% 33 of 34
Up 1–0, closes it89% 59 of 66
Lyman2.20
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog28% won 60 of 212
Down 0–1, comes back18% 22 of 125
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun7wins
AwayLyman3wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZiakun leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun83.3%5 of 6
AwayLyman50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun6Lyman4n = 10Ziakun took 6 of 10
S2Ziakun7Lyman3n = 10Ziakun took 7 of 10
S3Ziakun5Lyman5n = 10split evenly
S4Ziakun5Lyman2n = 7Ziakun took 5 of 7
S5Ziakun2Lyman1n = 3Ziakun took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunLymanZ − LBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.938.0+2.9per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunLymanBasisWin rate · lifetime354 / 746 vs 268 / 61347.5%43.7%354 / 746 vs 268 / 613Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.236.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZiakunZiakun 1.61/Lyman 2.20
Hit
What we said
61.7%
Ziakun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Ziakun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 07:30O. Ziakun561851012113O. Lyman581611121092
WSep 15 · 07:30O. Ziakun361112133O. Lyman30910110
WSep 11 · 06:00O. Ziakun371511113O. Lyman2913970
LSep 8 · 04:30O. Ziakun361181071O. Lyman4061112113
WSep 3 · 09:00O. Ziakun331111113O. Lyman207760
LAug 26 · 04:30O. Ziakun3410113101O. Lyman4212711123
WAug 25 · 04:30O. Ziakun3961111113O. Lyman25114461
LAug 19 · 06:00O. Ziakun3983111162O. Lyman47111177113
WJun 20 · 16:00O. Ziakun47121212113O. Lyman4210101481
WJun 18 · 04:30O. Ziakun528121011113O. Lyman47111012772
O. Ziakun10
LSep 18 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.91612711112O. Kurylenko1.801110117133WSep 18 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.8051112113S. Maliuk1.911161081WSep 18 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.25111211123O. Syksa1.575148101WSep 18 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.101011911113D. Kuzmenko1.6712511572LSep 17 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.5041111121O. Syksa1.5011135143LSep 17 · 09:00O. Ziakun2.004990O. Kurylenko1.731111113WSep 17 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.571851012113O. Lyman2.251611121092LSep 17 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.6335130M. Hubenko1.441111153WSep 17 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.44139128113S. Miroshnychenko2.631111101182WSep 15 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.73116711113S. Maliuk2.0091111922
O. Lyman10
WSep 18 · 09:30O. Lyman2.5012116133S. Maliuk1.5010911111LSep 18 · 08:30O. Lyman3.0096111192D. Kuzmenko1.36111176113LSep 18 · 07:00O. Lyman2.1068130O. Kurylenko1.671111153LSep 18 · 05:00O. Lyman4.33811561O. Syksa1.2011911113WSep 17 · 11:30O. Lyman3.75911119153M. Hubenko1.25114911132LSep 17 · 09:30O. Syksa1.179111111113O. Lyman4.5011461392LSep 17 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.571851012113O. Lyman2.251611121092LSep 17 · 06:30O. Lyman1.36911718122S. Miroshnychenko3.001181116143WSep 17 · 05:30O. Kurylenko1.67781171O. Lyman2.1011118113WSep 15 · 11:30O. Lyman1.281111133V. Ziakun3.5077110
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