TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148312
Played Sep 18Finished
Oleksandr Ziakun
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1012115911115117
Dmitro Kuzmenko
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:04 and never touched — 56.6% is still 56.6%
Graded at full timeDmitro Kuzmenko to win
56.6%
56.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Ziakun above · Dmitro Kuzmenko below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 92 set 5, 11-7 — our read held Dmitro Kuzmenko at 56.6%
92 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ziakun 50–63 Dmitro Kuzmenko Oleksandr Ziakun has won 50 of their 113 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:04What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kuzmenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
50-63 in 113
Kuzmenko
Wrong
gap of 13 in 113, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1517 vs Kuzmenko 1551
Kuzmenko
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 40% vs Kuzmenko 20%
Ziakun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 70% vs Kuzmenko 50%
Ziakun
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun -2 · Kuzmenko -3
Kuzmenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Kuzmenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kuzmenko form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 2.10 / Kuzmenko 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Kuzmenko)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13148312
Ziakun2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog35% won 88 of 249
Down 0–1, comes back21% 30 of 141
Down 0–2, comes back6% 4 of 73
Kuzmenko1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 98 of 146
Up 2–0, closes it93% 50 of 54
Up 1–0, closes it81% 74 of 91
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun4wins
AwayKuzmenko6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderKuzmenko leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun60%3 of 5
AwayKuzmenko80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun5Kuzmenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Ziakun3Kuzmenko7n = 10Kuzmenko took 7 of 10
S3Ziakun4Kuzmenko6n = 10Kuzmenko took 6 of 10
S4Ziakun4Kuzmenko3n = 7Ziakun took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunKuzmenkoZ − KBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match33.638.3−4.7per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunKuzmenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime351 / 742 vs 383 / 92047.3%41.6%351 / 742 vs 383 / 920Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match39.136.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KuzmenkoZiakun 2.10/Kuzmenko 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Kuzmenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ziakun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 15 · 04:30O. Ziakun3711213113D. Kuzmenko359111141
LSep 11 · 09:00O. Ziakun219930D. Kuzmenko331111113
LSep 9 · 04:30O. Ziakun29115761D. Kuzmenko4071111113
LSep 3 · 04:30O. Ziakun217860D. Kuzmenko331111113
WSep 2 · 04:30O. Ziakun43111110113D. Kuzmenko31861251
WAug 28 · 06:00O. Ziakun4281111123D. Kuzmenko391199101
LAug 25 · 06:30O. Ziakun2255120D. Kuzmenko361111143
WAug 21 · 07:30O. Ziakun4313711123D. Kuzmenko3811116101
LAug 17 · 06:30O. Ziakun368412121D. Kuzmenko46111110143
LAug 14 · 08:30O. Ziakun42111171032D. Kuzmenko52991112113
O. Ziakun10
WSep 18 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.25111211123O. Syksa1.575148101LSep 17 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.5041111121O. Syksa1.5011135143LSep 17 · 09:00O. Ziakun2.004990O. Kurylenko1.731111113WSep 17 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.571851012113O. Lyman2.251611121092LSep 17 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.6335130M. Hubenko1.441111153WSep 17 · 04:30O. Ziakun1.44139128113S. Miroshnychenko2.631111101182WSep 15 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.73116711113S. Maliuk2.0091111922WSep 15 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.40119118113S. Miroshnychenko2.7571161162WSep 15 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.611112133O. Lyman2.20910110WSep 15 · 06:00O. Ziakun1.50131110123V. Ziakun2.5011812101
D. Kuzmenko10
LSep 16 · 11:00A. Vasylets1.531111113D. Kuzmenko2.385870LSep 16 · 10:00S. Maliuk2.2011116113D. Kuzmenko1.61471161LSep 16 · 08:30M. Hubenko1.368121111113D. Kuzmenko3.0011145232WSep 16 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.80511551D. Kuzmenko1.9111911113LSep 16 · 04:30O. Syksa1.531211113D. Kuzmenko2.3810290WSep 15 · 11:00S. Miroshnychenko2.75611891D. Kuzmenko1.4011211113WSep 15 · 10:00V. Ziakun3.503790D. Kuzmenko1.281111113WSep 15 · 08:30S. Maliuk2.105890D. Kuzmenko1.671111113WSep 15 · 06:30O. Lyman3.4071371152D. Kuzmenko1.301111119113LSep 15 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.1011213113D. Kuzmenko1.679111141
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