TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Dmytro Prylepa
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210115116––––
Serhii Maliuk
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:09 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeDmytro Prylepa to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDmytro Prylepa above · Serhii Maliuk below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 55 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Dmytro Prylepa at 56.2%
55 points played in total.
H2H Dmytro Prylepa 24–17 Serhii Maliuk Serhii Maliuk has won 17 of their 41 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:09What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Prylepa
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-17 in 41
Prylepa
Correct
gap of 7 in 41, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Prylepa 1455 vs Maliuk 1489
Maliuk
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Prylepa 20% vs Maliuk 40%
Maliuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Prylepa 30% vs Maliuk 60%
Maliuk
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Prylepa -1 · Maliuk +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Prylepa) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Prylepa form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsPrylepa 1.67 / Maliuk 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Prylepa)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Setka Cup · #13166136
Prylepa1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite62% won 124 of 200
Up 2–0, closes it98% 59 of 60
Up 1–0, closes it86% 100 of 116
Maliuk2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 85 of 214
Down 0–1, comes back17% 22 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back8% 6 of 72
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomePrylepa6wins
AwayMaliuk4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderPrylepa leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomePrylepa83.3%5 of 6
AwayMaliuk75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Prylepa6Maliuk4n = 10Prylepa took 6 of 10
S2Prylepa5Maliuk5n = 10split evenly
S3Prylepa4Maliuk6n = 10Maliuk took 6 of 10
S4Prylepa5Maliuk3n = 8Prylepa took 5 of 8
S5Prylepa2Maliuk1n = 3Prylepa took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricPrylepaMaliukP − MBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match37.039.0−2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricPrylepaMaliukBasisWin rate · lifetime393 / 802 vs 258 / 52349%49.3%393 / 802 vs 258 / 523Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
PrylepaPrylepa 1.67/Maliuk 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Prylepa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Prylepa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 14 · 05:00D. Prylepa3911116113S. Maliuk33961171
LSep 10 · 10:00D. Prylepa33613861S. Maliuk44111111113
LSep 7 · 06:00D. Prylepa26115551S. Maliuk4291111113
LSep 4 · 11:00D. Prylepa4467111192S. Maliuk47111168113
WAug 20 · 07:00D. Prylepa3951111123S. Maliuk391199101
WAug 18 · 08:30D. Prylepa47115119113S. Maliuk4371151192
LAug 13 · 11:00D. Prylepa206590S. Maliuk331111113
WAug 12 · 08:30D. Prylepa481110511113S. Maliuk4891211882
WAug 5 · 05:00D. Prylepa361111143S. Maliuk2677120
WJul 29 · 09:30D. Prylepa3811115113S. Maliuk35981171
D. Prylepa10
LSep 21 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.61116861O. Kurylenko2.2071111113LSep 21 · 07:00D. Prylepa1.33310111162O. Lyman3.25111259113WSep 21 · 05:00D. Prylepa1.57118811113D. Kuzmenko2.2561111772LSep 19 · 17:35D. Prylepa2.385850V. Tatarnykov1.531111113LSep 19 · 16:00D. Prylepa2.507650M. Hubenko1.50111183LSep 19 · 15:00S. Aristarkhov1.4011911123D. Prylepa2.757116101WSep 19 · 14:00V. Tatarnykov1.504118101D. Prylepa2.5011911102WSep 19 · 12:30A. Vasylets1.671071131D. Prylepa2.1012112113LSep 14 · 10:30M. Hubenko1.441111113D. Prylepa2.633990LSep 14 · 09:30D. Prylepa1.67461191O. Kurylenko2.1011117113
S. Maliuk10
WSep 21 · 06:30O. Kurylenko1.8310101331S. Maliuk1.83121211113WSep 21 · 04:30O. Syksa1.6771050S. Maliuk2.101112113LSep 18 · 11:30S. Maliuk2.204111110112O. Syksa1.61118912133LSep 18 · 09:30O. Lyman2.5012116133S. Maliuk1.5010911111LSep 18 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.8051112113S. Maliuk1.911161081WSep 18 · 06:30S. Maliuk2.001111113D. Kuzmenko1.736430WSep 18 · 05:30O. Kurylenko1.83711491S. Maliuk1.8311611113WSep 16 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.83121178122S. Maliuk1.831091111143WSep 16 · 10:00S. Maliuk2.2011116113D. Kuzmenko1.61471161LSep 16 · 08:00A. Vasylets1.53114712123S. Maliuk2.387111110102
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.