TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Maksym Hubenko vs Oleksandr Syksa 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 23Finished
Maksym Hubenko
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911811118117911
Oleksandr Syksa
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:09 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMaksym Hubenko above · Oleksandr Syksa below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 96 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 62.5%
96 points played in total.
H2H Maksym Hubenko 116–71 Oleksandr Syksa Oleksandr Syksa has won 71 of their 187 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:09What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Hubenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
116-71 in 187
Hubenko
Wrong
gap of 45 in 187, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hubenko 1704 vs Syksa 1554
Hubenko
Wrong
both rated, 150 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hubenko 60% vs Syksa 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hubenko 50% vs Syksa 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Hubenko -1 · Syksa -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Hubenko) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syksa form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHubenko 1.44 / Syksa 2.63
Signal prob.68% / 32%
Edge (Hubenko)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13179651
Hubenko1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite73% won 244 of 334
Up 2–0, closes it94% 124 of 132
Up 1–0, closes it83% 173 of 208
Syksa2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog27% won 58 of 215
Down 0–1, comes back15% 21 of 144
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHubenko8wins
AwaySyksa2wins
7 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 8–2, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHubenko75%3 of 4
AwaySyksa16.7%1 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hubenko4Syksa6n = 10Syksa took 6 of 10
S2Hubenko5Syksa5n = 10split evenly
S3Hubenko5Syksa5n = 10split evenly
S4Hubenko6Syksa3n = 9Hubenko took 6 of 9
S5Hubenko5Syksa1n = 6Hubenko took 5 of 6
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home660%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricHubenkoSyksaH − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match45.741.6+4.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHubenkoSyksaBasisWin rate · lifetime564 / 1049 vs 588 / 111353.8%52.8%564 / 1049 vs 588 / 1113Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoHubenko 1.44/Syksa 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
68.1%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Syksa won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 20 · 06:30M. Hubenko548111011143O. Syksa51118128122
WSep 17 · 05:00M. Hubenko47711711113O. Syksa3711911242
WSep 16 · 10:30M. Hubenko6010111711113O. Syksa51121315562
WSep 14 · 04:30M. Hubenko49111197113O. Syksa4174111182
LSep 9 · 05:00M. Hubenko177640O. Syksa331111113
WSep 6 · 05:00M. Hubenko4411911133O. Syksa336115111
WSep 4 · 10:30M. Hubenko3911611113O. Syksa32611691
LSep 2 · 05:00M. Hubenko541212101192O. Syksa561014129113
WAug 31 · 05:30M. Hubenko47711117113O. Syksa4011861142
M. Hubenko10
LSep 23 · 07:00D. Prylepa2.638111110113M. Hubenko1.4411681242WSep 23 · 05:30M. Hubenko1.17191110113S. Miroshnychenko4.501781271WSep 22 · 17:00A. Vasylets2.385470M. Hubenko1.531111113LSep 22 · 16:30S. Chuhai1.401111113M. Hubenko2.755790WSep 22 · 15:00A. Lushchyk1.538950M. Hubenko2.381111113LSep 22 · 14:00M. Hubenko2.3810470A. Lushchyk1.531211113LSep 22 · 13:00M. Hubenko2.7597111192S. Chuhai1.40111188113WSep 22 · 12:00M. Hubenko1.531111113A. Vasylets2.385480WSep 20 · 11:30M. Hubenko1.3611111211113D. Kuzmenko3.0013514412LSep 20 · 09:30O. Ziakun2.751114113M. Hubenko1.4091270
O. Syksa10
LSep 23 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.501113123O. Syksa1.50911100WSep 23 · 05:00D. Prylepa2.75811971O. Syksa1.4011611113WSep 21 · 10:30O. Syksa1.4411117113D. Prylepa2.63481181WSep 21 · 09:00O. Syksa1.20111112113O. Lyman4.334131031LSep 21 · 07:30O. Syksa1.61111111452O. Kurylenko2.20781311113LSep 21 · 06:00O. Syksa1.6785111162D. Kuzmenko2.10111184113LSep 21 · 04:30O. Syksa1.6771050S. Maliuk2.101112113WSep 20 · 11:00S. Aristarkhov1.80311119112O. Syksa1.91118711133WSep 20 · 10:00D. Kuzmenko2.258570O. Syksa1.571111113LSep 20 · 08:30O. Ziakun2.50128118103O. Syksa1.50101171192
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.