TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Oleksandr Ziakun
Home
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1191412117––––
Maksym Hubenko
Away
1.40
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:15 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeMaksym Hubenko to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Ziakun above · Maksym Hubenko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 64 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Maksym Hubenko at 70.7%
64 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ziakun 13–46 Maksym Hubenko Oleksandr Ziakun has won 13 of their 59 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:15What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Hubenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
13-46 in 59
Hubenko
Wrong
gap of 33 in 59, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1542 vs Hubenko 1729
Hubenko
Wrong
both rated, 186 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 40% vs Hubenko 100%
Hubenko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 50% vs Hubenko 80%
Hubenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun +1 · Hubenko +5
Hubenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Hubenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hubenko form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (71%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 2.75 / Hubenko 1.40
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Hubenko)+4.4pp
Setka Cup · #13161208
Ziakun2.75
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 90 of 255
Down 0–1, comes back21% 31 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 76
Hubenko1.40
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite73% won 242 of 331
Up 2–0, closes it94% 122 of 130
Up 1–0, closes it83% 171 of 206
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun3wins
AwayHubenko7wins
4 of 10 to a deciderHubenko leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun33.3%1 of 3
AwayHubenko71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun3Hubenko7n = 10Hubenko took 7 of 10
S2Ziakun5Hubenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Ziakun4Hubenko6n = 10Hubenko took 6 of 10
S4Ziakun2Hubenko6n = 8Hubenko took 6 of 8
S5Ziakun2Hubenko2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunHubenkoZ − HBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match35.942.9−7.0per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunHubenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime356 / 750 vs 561 / 104647.5%53.6%356 / 750 vs 561 / 1046Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.238.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HubenkoZiakun 2.75/Hubenko 1.40
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
70.7%
Hubenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Ziakun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 06:00O. Ziakun2135130M. Hubenko371111153
LSep 9 · 08:30O. Ziakun25117251M. Hubenko4071111113
LSep 2 · 10:30O. Ziakun358111151M. Hubenko4411139113
LAug 31 · 09:00O. Ziakun4211481182M. Hubenko46711116113
WAug 28 · 04:30O. Ziakun50111189113M. Hubenko4679111182
LAug 26 · 06:00O. Ziakun4171111662M. Hubenko48116911113
WAug 25 · 08:30O. Ziakun46111113113M. Hubenko411391181
WAug 21 · 10:30O. Ziakun43111136123M. Hubenko501171111102
LAug 19 · 10:30O. Ziakun33613771M. Hubenko44111111113
LAug 13 · 06:00O. Ziakun237970M. Hubenko331111113
O. Ziakun10
WSep 20 · 08:30O. Ziakun2.50128118103O. Syksa1.50101171192LSep 20 · 07:00O. Ziakun3.751110831S. Aristarkhov1.2581211113LSep 20 · 05:00O. Ziakun2.10911491D. Kuzmenko1.6711411113WSep 18 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.6111127113O. Lyman2.209101171LSep 18 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.91612711112O. Kurylenko1.801110117133WSep 18 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.8051112113S. Maliuk1.911161081WSep 18 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.25111211123O. Syksa1.575148101WSep 18 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.101011911113D. Kuzmenko1.6712511572LSep 17 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.5041111121O. Syksa1.5011135143LSep 17 · 09:00O. Ziakun2.004990O. Kurylenko1.731111113
M. Hubenko10
WSep 20 · 07:30V. Tatarnykov2.008860M. Hubenko1.731111113WSep 20 · 06:30M. Hubenko1.578111011143O. Syksa2.25118128122WSep 20 · 05:30S. Aristarkhov1.8381030M. Hubenko1.831112113WSep 19 · 17:03M. Hubenko1.5041111103A. Vasylets2.50114771WSep 19 · 16:00D. Prylepa2.507650M. Hubenko1.50111183LSep 19 · 14:30A. Vasylets2.38111211123M. Hubenko1.5331013111WSep 19 · 13:00V. Tatarnykov2.00871171M. Hubenko1.7311118113WSep 19 · 12:00S. Aristarkhov1.83114871M. Hubenko1.839111193LSep 17 · 11:30O. Lyman3.75911119153M. Hubenko1.25114911132WSep 17 · 10:00M. Hubenko1.17111110113S. Miroshnychenko4.50481211
Upcoming Matches
O. Ziakun
Nothing scheduled
M. Hubenko
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