TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Oleksandr Ziakun
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210811117811109
Oleksandr Syksa
Away
1.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:45 and never touched — 64.1% is still 64.1%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
64.1%
64.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Ziakun above · Oleksandr Syksa below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 10-9
Point 97 set 5, 10-9 — our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 64.1%
97 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Ziakun 32–67 Oleksandr Syksa Oleksandr Ziakun has won 32 of their 99 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:45What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Syksa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
32-67 in 99
Syksa
Wrong
gap of 35 in 99, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Ziakun 1530 vs Syksa 1575
Syksa
Wrong
both rated, 45 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Ziakun 40% vs Syksa 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Ziakun 50% vs Syksa 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Ziakun -2 · Syksa -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Syksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syksa form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZiakun 2.50 / Syksa 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Syksa)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13161067
Ziakun2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 90 of 255
Down 0–1, comes back21% 31 of 146
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 76
Syksa1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 244 of 356
Up 2–0, closes it94% 102 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it82% 165 of 201
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZiakun5wins
AwaySyksa5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZiakun66.7%2 of 3
AwaySyksa57.1%4 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Ziakun3Syksa7n = 10Syksa took 7 of 10
S2Ziakun6Syksa4n = 10Ziakun took 6 of 10
S3Ziakun4Syksa6n = 10Syksa took 6 of 10
S4Ziakun5Syksa4n = 9Ziakun took 5 of 9
S5Ziakun2Syksa1n = 3Ziakun took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZiakunSyksaZ − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match42.241.9+0.3per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZiakunSyksaBasisWin rate · lifetime355 / 749 vs 583 / 110547.4%52.8%355 / 749 vs 583 / 1105Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.237.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaZiakun 2.50/Syksa 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.1%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Ziakun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 18 · 06:00O. Ziakun46111211123O. Syksa375148101
LSep 17 · 10:30O. Ziakun3841111121O. Syksa4311135143
WSep 11 · 04:30O. Ziakun4011117113O. Syksa33851191
LSep 9 · 10:00O. Ziakun43111111101O. Syksa4713913123
LSep 2 · 06:00O. Ziakun4171210121O. Syksa47111012143
WAug 31 · 07:30O. Ziakun4491112123O. Syksa3511410101
LAug 28 · 09:00O. Ziakun53119111392O. Syksa559111311113
WAug 26 · 07:30O. Ziakun46611711113O. Syksa4011611932
LAug 23 · 05:00O. Ziakun2596100O. Syksa341111123
WAug 21 · 04:30O. Ziakun46711116113O. Syksa4811991182
O. Ziakun10
WSep 20 · 09:30O. Ziakun2.751114113M. Hubenko1.4091270LSep 20 · 07:00O. Ziakun3.751110831S. Aristarkhov1.2581211113LSep 20 · 05:00O. Ziakun2.10911491D. Kuzmenko1.6711411113WSep 18 · 10:30O. Ziakun1.6111127113O. Lyman2.209101171LSep 18 · 09:00O. Ziakun1.91612711112O. Kurylenko1.801110117133WSep 18 · 07:30O. Ziakun1.8051112113S. Maliuk1.911161081WSep 18 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.25111211123O. Syksa1.575148101WSep 18 · 04:30O. Ziakun2.101011911113D. Kuzmenko1.6712511572LSep 17 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.5041111121O. Syksa1.5011135143LSep 17 · 09:00O. Ziakun2.004990O. Kurylenko1.731111113
O. Syksa10
LSep 20 · 06:30M. Hubenko1.578111011143O. Syksa2.25118128122WSep 20 · 04:30V. Tatarnykov1.53813121172O. Syksa2.381115108113WSep 18 · 11:30S. Maliuk2.204111110112O. Syksa1.61118912133LSep 18 · 10:00O. Syksa1.619740D. Kuzmenko2.201111113LSep 18 · 08:00O. Kurylenko2.101411113O. Syksa1.6712570LSep 18 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.25111211123O. Syksa1.575148101WSep 18 · 05:00O. Lyman4.33811561O. Syksa1.2011911113WSep 17 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.5041111121O. Syksa1.5011135143WSep 17 · 09:30O. Syksa1.179111111113O. Lyman4.5011461392WSep 17 · 08:30O. Syksa1.4011119113S. Miroshnychenko2.75841151
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