TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka CupMatch #13148365
Played Sep 18Finished
Oleh Kurylenko
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1412115117––––
Oleksandr Syksa
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:01 and never touched — 59.4% is still 59.4%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Syksa to win
59.4%
59.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleh Kurylenko above · Oleksandr Syksa below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 60 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Syksa at 59.4%
60 points played in total.
H2H Oleh Kurylenko 65–89 Oleksandr Syksa Oleh Kurylenko has won 65 of their 154 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:01What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Syksa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
65-89 in 154
Syksa
Wrong
gap of 24 in 154, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurylenko 1462 vs Syksa 1621
Syksa
Wrong
both rated, 158 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurylenko 80% vs Syksa 80%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurylenko 50% vs Syksa 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurylenko +1 · Syksa -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Syksa)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Syksa form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurylenko 2.10 / Syksa 1.67
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Syksa)+3.6pp
Setka Cup · #13148365
Kurylenko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog31% won 68 of 221
Down 0–1, comes back16% 22 of 137
Down 0–2, comes back6% 5 of 80
Syksa1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 246 of 358
Up 2–0, closes it94% 102 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it82% 165 of 201
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurylenko6wins
AwaySyksa4wins
6 of 10 to a deciderKurylenko leads 6–4, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurylenko71.4%5 of 7
AwaySyksa66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurylenko7Syksa3n = 10Kurylenko took 7 of 10
S2Kurylenko7Syksa3n = 10Kurylenko took 7 of 10
S3Kurylenko4Syksa6n = 10Syksa took 6 of 10
S4Kurylenko3Syksa5n = 8Syksa took 5 of 8
S5Kurylenko3Syksa3n = 6split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurylenkoSyksaK − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match44.141.6+2.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurylenkoSyksaBasisWin rate · lifetime490 / 996 vs 584 / 110849.2%52.7%490 / 996 vs 584 / 1108Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.137.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SyksaKurylenko 2.10/Syksa 1.67
Miss
What we said
59.4%
Syksa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Kurylenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 17 · 07:00O. Kurylenko4411117962O. Syksa50981111113
WSep 16 · 07:30O. Kurylenko351311113O. Syksa2611960
LSep 14 · 06:30O. Kurylenko4411128762O. Syksa474101111113
WSep 11 · 06:30O. Kurylenko611381113163O. Syksa541111315142
LSep 10 · 07:00O. Kurylenko29101180O. Syksa361213113
WSep 7 · 09:30O. Kurylenko4111117123O. Syksa357711101
WSep 4 · 07:30O. Kurylenko47116118113O. Syksa4241181182
LSep 2 · 08:00O. Kurylenko4481111862O. Syksa43119111113
WAug 27 · 11:00O. Kurylenko51811811133O. Syksa46119114112
WAug 24 · 07:30O. Kurylenko45111112113O. Syksa37791471
O. Kurylenko10
WSep 18 · 07:00O. Lyman2.1068130O. Kurylenko1.671111153LSep 18 · 05:30O. Kurylenko1.83711491S. Maliuk1.8311611113WSep 17 · 11:00O. Kurylenko1.4411117113S. Miroshnychenko2.63361141WSep 17 · 09:00O. Ziakun2.004990O. Kurylenko1.731111113WSep 17 · 08:00O. Kurylenko3.251111910153M. Hubenko1.33751112132LSep 17 · 07:00O. Syksa1.61981111113O. Kurylenko2.2011117962LSep 17 · 05:30O. Kurylenko1.67781171O. Lyman2.1011118113LSep 16 · 11:30O. Kurylenko1.83121178122S. Maliuk1.831091111143LSep 16 · 09:30M. Hubenko1.361111133O. Kurylenko3.0064110WSep 16 · 07:30O. Syksa1.6111960O. Kurylenko2.201311113
O. Syksa10
LSep 18 · 06:00O. Ziakun2.25111211123O. Syksa1.575148101WSep 18 · 05:00O. Lyman4.33811561O. Syksa1.2011911113WSep 17 · 10:30O. Ziakun2.5041111121O. Syksa1.5011135143WSep 17 · 09:30O. Syksa1.179111111113O. Lyman4.5011461392WSep 17 · 08:30O. Syksa1.4011119113S. Miroshnychenko2.75841151WSep 17 · 07:00O. Syksa1.61981111113O. Kurylenko2.2011117962LSep 17 · 05:00O. Syksa2.2511911242M. Hubenko1.57711711113LSep 16 · 10:30O. Syksa2.50121315562M. Hubenko1.5010111711113WSep 16 · 09:00O. Syksa1.91911111113A. Vasylets1.8011118782LSep 16 · 07:30O. Syksa1.6111960O. Kurylenko2.201311113
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